This was my recent voiceover for SouthFront.
Analyzing this, we can see that the Israelis are opening yet another front—as if preparing for a new war.
In the case of Syria, the Zionists and Russia had a tacit agreement not to threaten the Syrian government’s control of the territory that it controlled—with any major offensive - so the Israelis kept their tanks on their side of the border and launched the occasional salvo of missiles. Conflict, yes. War, no.
In turn, the Russians did not empower Assad with full military support to attempt to regain territorial integrity or sovereignty—instead encouraging Syria to focus on rebuilding and re-organizing the areas under their control and devastated by war. .
To this end, they did not supply the“layered” air defense system such as the Russians use for their own purposes. They gave the Syrians S300s. But no S400s
In other words,, the Syrians got just enough to get by .
That’s because, as usual, the Russians have a big picture in mind — a lot bigger than just little Syria—as we can see from BRICS and the emergence of the multipolar world.
It’s complicated. Israel is indeed a problem .
But Syria cannot help to take back the Golan anytime soon.
As for its Eastern territories, it has to deal with the Kurds. — also Turks and the Americans. The Turks hate the Kurds; who are protected by the Americans who also support Islamic extremists such as Hay-at Tahrir al -Sham—but are under constant attack by the Axis of Resistance also attacking Israel.
The Russians do not just sit back and watch — they support the Syrians with air strikes while all the while gaining intelligence on American air assets.
Israeli attacks across the border are humiliating for Syria but they mostly target Iranian operatives and Hezbollah. They create martyrs but in no way weaken either Iran or Hezbollah —or Syria, for that matter. Rather, they incentivize Iran and Hezbollah.
The Israelis pretend they can attack Syria with impunity. But the Syrians still down a sizeable proportion of missiles shot at them. War with Syria will be no slam-dunk.
Recently, the Israelis made the mistake of firing missiles over Russian base— all of them “reportedly” shot down, with debris from one setting fire to a depot outside the perimeter of the base and reported as a direct hit by the Israeli (and afterwards, foreign) media.
“Reportedly” by the way, means the Israelis didn’t mention losses over the base and the Russians didn’t make claims -which suggests the reports were probably true.
The Russians don’t want escalation. They have enough going on in Ukraine.
If the Israelis, however, mount an invasion of Syria, am Russian moderation vanishes. The Russian military has grown so it now has resources it did not have before. If it decides to fight, it is a force to be reckoned with.
Still, chutzpah may exceed audacity to become arrogance. The ZioNazis clearly want to destabilize the Middle East by involving the Americans in a major war. That will force the Russians will move from their role as “honest broker” to breaking bones.
That threat is more real than ever.
The US has assembled one of the most powerful naval fleets ever in the Mediterranean.
My favorite analyst Will Schryver provided this map on X:
He writes:
In my view, this powerful fleet can have only one possible mission: to eradicate all Russian, Iranian, and Iranian-affiliated military power currently present in Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq. Needless to say, these are extremely portentous developments that entail great risk of plunging the world into the biggest and most destructive war in human history. Will Schryver.
Russia will not let the Americans attack them or Iran or anywhere in the ME really. .
Russia has too much at stake now — the future of BRICS.
BRICS, which is central to Russian and Chinese planning,depends on the stability of the Middle East and the oil States, not just Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the rest — but Iran and Iraq .
The Russians saw what the Americans did to Iraq. They saw what they attempted to do to Syria using Al Qaeda and ISIS. They saw Afghanistan. They cannot allow another incident like these in West Asia. Gaza demonstrates bleakly the horrors wrought by rogue states out of control.
Fortunately, it is unlikely that a Trump government would start a ME war, whatever Trump’s Zionist sympathies. It’s bad for business.
And it’s a war that the US would lose.
The US has the world’s biggest, bestest and baddest WWII naval fleet. Facing the world’s biggest, bestest and baddest WWIII missile systems.
Guess who wins?
Russia has the world’s second largest military after China. The US is number three.
The Israelis must know all this. But so far they have not exhibited anything like reason, only an emotional logic that can only result in a Second Diaspora.
It seems that despite their defeat in Lebanon, their crashing economy, and the likelihood of a devastating retaliatory strike by Iran, they might try Syria next. Like the Americans they make a habit of doubling down on failure.
Two thousand years after Masada, Zion faces a second Diaspora.
Chappy Tales
Here’s Chappy with Little Friends.
The Shelter has been busy. It is located in Saitama prefecture about 50 km from Tokyo.
The problem now is getting Chappy from there to here. The lady who runs the Shelter (Chappy’s Mommy) wants to deliver him and “inspect” my apartment.
Since Japanese Shelters have strict rules for adoption, I have to pretend to be married, so my “wife” who actually lives in Saitama will drive her to “our” place….. I also have to pretend to be 60 or so.
Not difficult, since I don’t look my age.
I will also pay about $400 to cover medical bills, etc- very reasonable considering the enormous cost so far!
On the other hand, Chappy does have a Mansoni tapeworm, and most “normal” Japanese people will not adopt him since this worm is so hard to get rid or.
I think Chappy’s Mom guesses that I am skirting the rules. The Shelter has not asked for any verification. That’s OK as long as I pretend to follow them. And she didn’t make the rules.
A very Japanese thing. Japan has a LOT of “rules”. Some you can break. Some you can bend. But you have to pretend to follow them, no matter what.
The important thing for me is to rescue Chappy and give him a good home. A second chance. People have given me second chances. And third chances….And… I am grateful.
I am so thankful for Chappy’s Mom. There are good people everywhere.
Today, with so many awful things happening, we need to remember that and to honor small kindnesses and good hearts.
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'The Israelis pretend they cannot attack Syria with impunity. But the Syrians still down a sizeable proportion of missiles shot at them. War with Syria will be no slam-dunk'. Cannot should be can..correct it.
Thank you Julian...
A very welcome update of the Syrian Situation, now Satanyahu seems to want to fight the whole world.
Sander
PS. The Will Schryver Map is dated.
The USS Eisenhower CVN69 Carrier strike group is in its home port Norfolk VA since september 30.
The CVN78 Ford Carrier strike group is sailing in the West Atlantic since nov 04.
And i have serious doubts about the 1, 2, 4 and 6 dot locations. Those are within range of the Hezbollah anti-ship hypersonic missiles... Not to mention the Russian air-launched anti-ship missiles with a range of over 2,000 KM (from over the Black Sea)
The only Carrier that is more or less in or close to the main-theatre is the CVN72 Abraham Lincoln, that has left the Gulf of Oman recently (in a hurry) into the Arab Sea, to create distance from Iran mainland.
->https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/US_CSG_locations_05_11_2024.jpg