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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Thank you Julian...

I start sensing your gallows humor (as we call it in the Netherlands) i understand it makes it possible for you to write about the awfulness of what happens in that way and i start appreciating it even more...

The question that rises, now it is clear there will NOT be a last 'surrender negotiation', how far the Russian Army has to go. I still see maps that indicate in the North-West place for a 'rump-Ukraine state'. With a surrender negotiation the current regime can be removed and elections could be held, after which a new constitution, that needs a 2/3 of the votes and also for a future change TWO votes with some time in between but both with a 2/3 of the votes necessary for a change, like the constitution of the Netherlands.

For a couple of years Russia could demand a veto right. This can then be accepted by the US and many countries outside Europe and with the help of the US a few EU-countries.

But when the UKRO-NAZIS, with help of the EURO-NAZIS continue to fight (flee) till they are pushed into Poland, that Rump-Ukraine will get very little support and a 'NAZI-Regime in exile' will be constructed, which will be supported by the EURO-NAZIS to launch a 'guerilla war' in mostly the West of current Ukraine.

Putin could stop at some border before Galicia, say give it to Poland. But can he get promises that that Border will then be peaceful ? The US / Trump could assist this project, by each action that prevents a stable peace to withdraw another piece of the US control over Europe, like:

Stop all AID to Kiev. Stop giving satellite info to UK, France and Germany, close the US base in the Baltics, remove the US Navy from the Baltics, Close the US Base in Romania, including the so called air-defence infrastructure, that is able to launch also nuclear cruise missiles and the same for Poland, withdrawing all US troops from the Bases in Germany (ending the occupation since 1945) and removing all ~200 Gravity Nuclear bombs from its bases in Europe (including Turkey).

I think Trump would like to play that game with the puppets of the Monster in Europe.

I cannot give a proper prediction. There are far to many possibilities.

I do predict, that when NATO troops (UK+France) are moving direction Romania, for an attempt to occupy Odessa, to make it difficult because of the terrain, to attack from say Kherson, that Putin will act fast enough, to cut the road from Romania (the presidency was stolen precisely for that purpose) via Moldova to Odessa by train (the road from the Danube delta along the coast is not usable) and cut the connection Odessa to Kiev and Lviv, including connecting to Transnistria to cut the road from Romania to Odessa. That would create a Siege with no possible way to keep defending it.

We will see...

Cassandra

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Roger Sterling's avatar

When are we going to rid ourselves of these evil people/forces? Time to cut the cord and let the chips fall where they may. There is no way Ukraine can win...period. That and it isn't our fight. Pax

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