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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Very good analysis Julian. Thank you.

I had a year ago set my Gas & Electricity price fixed for 3 years. So i will cook and warm my home cheap for 2 years. But my Sensing tells me that over 2 years Europe as we (think to) know it, is completely different.

We have municipal elections in a few weeks and the result will be that the parties that finally produced a government, that nobody wants, will get a strong loss. But that will not kill the government so it looks black. But i use my 'X' in the battle and i have an (extreme right) party selected, that in its anti-imperialism and anti-EU position comes close to mine.

So now i have a party-flag that temporary replaces the Russian Victory flag and a poster on my front facade window next to my Iranian Flag.

Yes my neighbours know about me, without coming to drink coffee...

Well, i suppose that doing as if the world is not taking a dangerous course, is the best way to prevent people to lose their sleep.

Just saying

Cassandra

PS. The AfD in Germany must be stopped to be classified as Extreme Right (which sounds like NAZIS), but in Holland my selected party is still called Extreme Right and i am 70 years extreme left and didn't change my standpoint since the Hippie and Vietnam time.

Gemma's avatar

"The AfD in Germany must be stopped to be classified as Extreme Right (which sounds like NAZIS)" - now look at the tactics the US/Mainstream media are using to promote the AfD. Remember that it's not the tone of the headline that counts, it is the sheer number of them that mention the AfD.

Much the same as happened when the US was promoting Hitler...

Then look at what the AfD "want" to do and "promise" to do if elected... everything that Merz would like to do but is muzzled. The AfD, like "New Labour" in the UK, will promise a lot - but then decline to implement these promises because of "circumstances beyond their control."

Spercepolnes's avatar

Strange how that works. As an ex Vietnam era old fuck, I find a lot of my opinions now coincide with many so called right wingers. I think the old paradigms are changing, and it's becoming a moral, ethical, aware, empathic viewpoint vs a subservient, immoral, unaware viewpoint. ... ie ..human/inhuman divide.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

I find my old ex-Vietnam friends the most perceptive, compared to, say, journalists at the Press Club. Or ex-pats business people here in Tokyo. Even the ones who were not combat veterans, but were "there" in support roles (still under threat, of course) understand viscerally. That's a huge difference.

Cassandra Occupy's avatar

As my Sensing tells me, Spercepolnes, The Dark Empire of Granbretan uses its 4,000 yo Media and Threat/Brainwashing POWER to slowly change the minds of large groups of people and that i - being Autistic - who don't use mainly words to think - somehow escape these attacks.

It was meant to slowly turn the Socialist- and Communist followers after WW2 into Media-monsters (Gladio) and price the pacifists and human rights, Climate, environment and other human movement to lower its threat.

My old friends in Left-organisations and Trade unions are either exhausted and tired or have given up the fight or are otherwise incapacitated or are kicked out of the Trade Union or party. And yes a lot died of old age.

Where are all the Hippies gone...?

Human Rights->https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G_WFtaPXsAAqyfB?format=jpg

Cassandra

Tom Welsh's avatar

"Ritter says the girls’ school where 160 children died was once upon a time somehow associated with the IRGC".

That won't wash. It's actually the exact excuse the Americans trotted out when he hit the Chinese embassy in Belgrade. They said they were using old maps! Come on, pull the other one. Today, I expect that Google Maps would give them all the targetting information they need.

Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

That's a good question: are the Americans really that incompetent and foolish to not bother using up to date maps, or are they just cold blooded murderers with the ethics of a serial killer?

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

As usual, Tom Welsh identifies a contradiction (yet ANOTHER contradiction!). I don't believe that the Americans have trotted out the AI story as an excuse, however -- this is Ritter's take probably based on military scuttlebut. Similarly, the Gringos did not use AI as an excuse for inaccurate bombings in Caracas instead insisting it was wonderfully precise. When the school photos first appeared, Grok was reporting that they might be "misinformation". Of course, it said "might be"-- but the meaning was clear. It seems that the US does not need excuses for war crimes -- except for nuclear armed states.

Marc Leif's avatar

This so sickening.. and so predictable

After Israel murdered JFK for his resistance to Israel acquiring nuclear weapons and their influence over US, Israel then ruled the US like the Mongol Golden Horde ruled medieval Russia for 300 years.( Russian princes were free to do as they liked internally and the Mongols didn't occupy Russia. Russia just had to pay tribute and their foreign policy was approved by the Mongols.)

That's the way Israel ruled until they conquered the US outright when they did the 9/11 attacks on the US. They then completely hijacked the Pentagon and began their wars of destruction in the middle east to create Greater Israel.

Russia and China must not stand by as spectators while their ally is destroyed.

China could end the American empire by blockading Taiwan now. There is nothing the US could do about it. It would be a crippling blow to the Zionist tech companies, depriving them and the US military of their supply of chips.

And Russia needs to end the Nazi terrorist state of Ukraine now. America's NATO would also be helpless. They need to push the Zionist Empire into a 3 front war, instead of letting themselves be picked off one by one as the have been doing by observing legalistic niceties in the face of demonic, murderous states rampaging over the entire globe.

It is time for the BRICS nations to unite and stop the murderous Zionist Empire now before Israel attacks Iran with nuclear weapons. If they don't, the entire world will be engulfed in a nuclear war which the US rapture crazed Zionist "Christians" lust after.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

I agree on one level anyway. For example, I really wanted Russia to end Ukraine fast. And I would love to see Taiwan cut off from trade with the "Zionist Empire". That's my emotional response. But, intellectually I see the reasons not to -- to adopt a long war strategy. The US will fall as Rome did -- over time -- crippled by its hubris, corruption, and moral cancer.

Steve Naidamast's avatar

Unless Russia and China develop a concrete plan to remove the US federal government from power and return that power back to the States where it has always and still does to this day, rightfully belong, our planet will still have such ongoing problems.

This is because the US federal government (like Israel) is comprised of sociopaths.

Sociopaths cannot deviate from their internal scripts, which means that no matter what happens, they will still continue to find ways to throw the world into chaos for their own sick, twisted agendas.

This process can be seen with the continuous push for territorial and resource gains by the neoconservative class that makes up many of the senior members of the US federal government. None of their plans and\or endeavors have ever succeeded but they still continue to engage in these activities, despite the fact thy will continue to land up in failure.

Sean H.'s avatar

Absolutely spot on.Keep up the pace and the GREAT WORK!

People forget that Ritter made his name as a UNSCOM member overseeing the destruction of Iraqi WMDs from 1991-1998 resigning in protest over the false and misleading info being generated that suggested Iraq was producing WMDs that led to the Idiot Bush ( Cheney without the Dick) invading of Iraq in 2003. For all his faults he’s been proven correct more times than not.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

He is limited by his Marine Corps training, I think, which affects his judgment of strategic situations. I reviewed some of his videos after some people I was being unfair to him and I get the sense of him as a sensitive and emotional person -- and most of all, a patriot. He has principles. He resigned out of principle. As a marine, he was taught certain values and he took that seriously. As a result, he has been subjected to a lot of pressure. In some of his videos he is less than coherent, and rants and gets emotional so is hard to follow. I think I reacted the wrong way to that. He is very good at sorting the wheat from the chaff in American military pronouncements, even if his predictions are not always right. But who am I to criticize...LOL

Mary Makary's avatar

It's awesome that Ritter knows stuff not being reported anywhere - like Abraham Lincoln "retreating." Other countries don't actually have surveillance satellites.

Spercepolnes's avatar

What other countries? Russia, China, perhaps France and probably several other countries? Apart from all those?

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Mar 4Edited
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Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Most of what Ritter said HAS been reported elsewhere -- all of it I think. However, in this interview is makes connections between different reports (what I call "rhizomatic thinking), so it is easier to see a coherent whole and get a sense of the endgame. That is very GOOD on his part.

J M Hatch's avatar

One has to worry about the FBI if this is the best they can hire to troll.

Razz's avatar

Let's say you're a civilian, with just the normal tools of the internet available. Let's say you wonder where the carriers are, knowing one is somewhere in the Arabian Sea and one is somewhere in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Let's say you have a very basic knowledge of naval Operations and know they generally keep civilians at "arms length"

It becomes very, very easy to make an educated guess at where those carriers are - and my guess is that Ritter is correct and that the Abe has been moved CLOSER to Iran to actively participate in operations.

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Mar 5
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Razz's avatar

And that is a good example of why Ritter "knows" things you don't.

Thanks for making your troll status crystal clear though.

Gil's avatar

Recall the Kinzhal strike on a Patriot battery in Kiev 2022.. The entire battery magazine was launched to intercept one missile - 16 missiles @ $2+million a pop and still failed

Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

If I remember correctly the Patriot performed horribly even in the first Iraq war, with a 99% miss rate against ancient, poorly maintained SCUDs fired by largely poorly trained Iraqi soldiers (if my memory serves me right, out of 50 missiles the Patriot missed 48 of them, one malfunctioned and crashed on its own, and one may have been knocked off course and crashed due to a near miss. Maybe). But of course there was no Internet back then and the American media machine got away with one of the most egregiously ridiculous scams in history, selling the piece of junk Patriot as some sort of impenetrable anti-missile shield.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

All the AIs I have used insist that Patriot has a near perfect intercept score. When you probe, however, the sources are a.) Ukraine, whose claims are all over the map b.) the manufacturers relying on test data c.) Israeli claims. PAC3 is much improved, over older versions, of course, with more sophisticated electronics, basically "AI" and they can launch more missiles automatically. That is fine for the Iranians who are shooting mostly old stuff that would have to bin otherwise. In volley fire, one or two missiles always get through. The Iranians seem to be saving their most potent weapons for later, when US and Israeli resources have been attrited.

Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

The one thing that surely has been improved is the profit margin. PAC-3s have performed pretty poorly last year in Israel - there's a lot of videos of entire volleys of interceptor missiles not even going anywhere near the ballistic missiles they're supposed to "intercept" - even when not considering Ukrainian data at all (after all, knowing the Ukrainians, their Patriot batteries might very well have been missing the most crucial and valuable parts, mysteriously reappearing on the black market). Seems to me we're in another F-35 / Emperor's New Clothes scenario, everyone can see the Patriot is a piece of worthless yet expensive junk but nobody's allowed to say it out loud without risking a stock price crash, therefore angry lobbyists, therefore angry calls to senators and cancellation of donations to charities and electoral funds.

Mary Makary's avatar

Julian MacFarlane is a feckless, ruZZia-fellating, failed grifter

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Correct. Patriot was first marketed as "anti-aircraft". Then the marketing people noticed that Russian missiles also had "anti-ballistic" properties.. So, gotta add that too.

And Patriots give you whiter teeth. LOL.

Razz's avatar

Don't forget, they cure erectile dysfunction!

Tom Welsh's avatar

That trick of holding negotiations and hitting the designated enemy in the middle of them? It's what Butch Cassidy does in the movie. OK; his adversary is a tough outlaw who means to kill him. And he has just declared that there are no rules.

But it's also familiar from Ukraine. The negotiations in Istanbul in 2022, where a deal was actually signed until Boris Johnson came along and forbade it.

Same plan.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

The US is mindlessly repetitive.

"Stupid".

Henar's avatar

¿La culpa la tiene la IA? No lo creo. El sionismo no tiene reparos en matar niños, es más, ese es uno de sus objetivos: que el resto del mundo reduzca su población y su nivel de natalidad disminuya. Eran niñas. Los israelíes sólo son 6 millones y muchos de ellos ya se están marchando a la Patagonia. En Gaza no tienen ningún reparo en matar niños y niñas. Los americanos hasta cuando se avergüenzan de si mismos son incapaces de reconocer su responsabilidad.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Quite right. Zionism prioritizes killing children. Simple terrorism. However, AI provides cover for the sadism. The Americans just don't care.

Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

regarding Cyprus... I may be wrong, but I'm really doubtful the drone attack was conducted either by Iran or Hezbollah. Cyprus is out of the operation area, belongs to the RAF which, at least officially, is not taking part in the US / Israeli aggression, and to top it all, one or two drones can't and didn't deal any significant damage. So, cui prodest? Who profits from this seemingly senseless attack?

Well. There's one nation who's both in the area, involved in the aggression, with a long history of conducting false flag on allies in order to force them to intervene on their behalf, whose intelligence services very recently used drones to conduct terrorist attacks on foreign countries, and who would profit from dragging other countries in the war, and it has a six-pointed star on its flag.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

There has been a LOT of scuttebutt about Israeli false flags. However, Cyprus is within range of a Shaheed drone from Lebanon. That is not to say you are wrong. This is a possibility that I should have mentioned.

Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

If we play detective we can see that only one of the "players" has both means, motive, and opportunity.

Hezbollah has the means and the opportunity, but not the motive (why should it attack a formally neutral party risking to bring it on its enemies' side and open another front? Hezbollah may be a lot of things but stupid, they are not).

Iran has the means and the opportunity but not the motive as well, for the same reasons as Hezbollah.

Israel has all three: the means (a number of drones likely acquired from Ukraine on the black market), the motive (dragging another country into the war on its behalf) and the opportunity, plus a past history of false flags, a well known, total disregard for international law and a fondness for perfidy.

EDIT: Forgot to mention, I've read that Qatari police arrested several Mossad agents who either have conducted or have been planning to conduct false flag attacks on Qatari soil, and that Iran denied attacks on Saudi oil refineries, of which some are accusing Israel of being responsible. So, they're already backstabbing allies and conducting terror attacks on them.

This leaves the US out, and to be fair it also has both means and opportunity, but I think it lacks the motive: as of now the Trump team is desperately trying to find an off-ramp leading to a ceasefire, allowing Trump to declare victory and go home avoiding more losses and embarrassment (I've heard he asked Italy to mediate a ceasefire, as if the famously incompetent and irrelevant foreign minister Tajani would be able to do anything besides bringing coffee to the table).

John Cary's avatar

I agree the most PROBABLE candidate is israhell, however a couple of points missing from these posts, the UK has flown thousands of spy flights over Gaza aiding israhell, secondly the base has been used by the Usrael in their attacks. That said I still suspect israhell.

Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

This just in: the British ministry of defence just said out loud that "The Ministry of Defence can confirm that a Shahed-like drone which targeted RAF Akrotiri at midnight on 2nd March was not launched from Iran.”, "probably" having been launched by "Iranian-aligned guerrillas". Of course they can't openly say it as an Israeli false flag.

Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

Good point, although wasting two drones in an attack on a RAF base in Cyprus seems very pointless and self defeating for Hezbollah... the only reason for that could only be a debatable, fleeting PR "victory" with a potential price tag many times higher than any eventual gain. I'm not saying it cannot be, but as of now every single detail points to Israel like a floodlight.

Alonger Name's avatar

The more AI the better, the sooner the us empire will disappear in a puff of illogic. Hopefully all the major corporations will embed it the heart of their business and we can sit back and watch them self-destruct too. New leaner, fitter and smarter companies (not American) will rise to take their place.

I'm suddenly a big fan of American AI.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

All AIs simulate the logic of their creators. Which, in the American case, means illogic. Just a kind of malicious sophistry.

Steve Naidamast's avatar

So the US military is using Claude AI for their targeting operations?

This is laughable, considering that Claude AI was designed to be a code-generation tool for professional developers. It does however, provide for the development of AI Agents for other solutions, yet it is still basically a code generator.

As I do, many of the professionals in my field of software engineering use such AI tools sparingly, well aware that such generated code can be inefficient and\or incorrect. This then requires that professionals review the code properly for such impediments.

Nonetheless, the trend in business as well as the military is to apply AI internals to everything they can latch it onto.

The current, classic example is Microsoft's Windows 11 operating system, which increasingly users hate, while the AI internals have made a mess of the operating system's internals.

As a result, all of my machinery at home remains on Windows 10 or has been downgraded back to Windows 10.

As it regards Ritter, everything he has reportedly said here is already well known by many other military analysts and was well known before this debacle even started.

As I said previously, unless Ritter is talking about the weapons systems themselves, ignore him. For the most part he has no idea what he is talking about and is just another sensationalist pundit.

Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

Wild thought: knowing the American psyche and Trump's ginormous ego, after the debacle in Venezuela, the Iran fiasco (that is rapidly growing up into a strategic disaster), the Ukraine failure, the US will need to find a guaranteed win ASAP, or in Ledeen's words, "throw a crappy little nation on the wall to show the world it means business". So, what's next? Cuba? Might be a tough nut to crack. Sudan? ...or is it going to invade Greenland?

Tadhg Stopford's avatar

Re intercepts, fyi start at 40:20, pictures follow soon after of multiple zero intercepts https://www.youtube.com/live/iH6nN0EUGvM?si=EnmF4BhA5K4cFw4v

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Didn't I post this link in another post. Ted Postol. Grok says he "could be" wrong, wrong, wrong. LOL

Tadhg Stopford's avatar

I don’t know bud. Ted’s great though.

Paulo Kirk's avatar

Oh no, not the Scott-Larry-Larry-McGregor-Ray-McGovern-Aaron-Max-Katie-The Judge-Danny show.

Good luck with that fucking fool. He was so right about Putin and the SMO.

https://paulokirk.substack.com/p/do-you-want-to-parseanalyze-those