Show me yours
Professor Marandi asserts that the Iranians did not use first-line air defense systems to repel the Iranian attack on of October 26, although some reports say that the Israelis were surprised to find their air assets being "painted" by long-range radars before the attack- which implies either Russian or Chinese readers-- if these reports are true of course, which is always a question.
In any case, the Iranians did not want to reveal the full extent of their capabilities – not until the Israelis had shown theirs. It's the old game: show me yours – first —and maybe I'll show you mine.
Will Iran respond?
The Iranian leader , Khamenei, has stated that Iran must respond to the October 26 strike – despite the Americans saying they must not escalate the conflict further.
There are several reasons for this decision of Iran's.
They promised they would respond to any Israeli strike before the Israeli struck on October 26 and they want to keep their promise.
The October 26 attack revealed that Israel is a lot weaker then anyone supposed.
American and Israeli propaganda is trumpeting October 26 as a huge success for Israel and proof of Iran's weakness severely damaging its offensive capabilities – and the only way to set the record straight is to launch a successful strike on Israel – which Iran knows it can do, having suffered only the most minimal damage.
Ready to rock
In preparation for this attack on Israel, the Iranians have mounted their own propaganda campaign, touting the effectiveness of their air defense system-- Iranian designed and manufactured – which I've also talked about previously.
It uses AD systems originally built on the model of the Russian S300 and S350 systems-- and subsequently upgraded to something close to S400 standards.
The Bavar 373 and Sayyad 4B are mobile vertical launch systems, which offer 360 degree defense and can handle most threats—just like the Russian S400 series.
Their radars are very good, incorporating, one must assume, the latest Russian and Chinese technologies.
Why that assumption?
Because both the Russians and Chinese will want to see their technologies tested against high level peer targets. But they are playing coy for international audiences.
Iran certainly has Russian EW systems, and likely a few S400s plus Russian and Chinese anti stealth radars.
All this was known before. The difference now is simply that Iran is talking up the capabilities of its "Zoubin " system. Whichis exactly what you would expect them to do if they were planning a major strike before or just after the election.
Foreplay or Afterplay
Yes, it’s a tease.
Some Israeli media such as the Jerusalem Post favor the "after-the-election" hypothesis because that favors their favorite, Harris, who is a Zionist-NeoCon bot'. So too does most of the Western MSM, including the NYT, who drink at the Democratic trough with predictable effects on their health.
But Israeli opinion is not consistent across the board. Some media favor the before-the-election option which would favor Trump, who many see as strongly Zionist.
However, that view may be an oversimplification — given that Musk, RFK and Vance, while dancing to Fiddler on the Roof, have come out against war, (in general, of course) saying the US must put its house in order first before getting involved in Forever Wars.
To life, l'chaim!
L'chaim, l'chaim, to life!
A gift we seldom are wise enough
Ever to prize enough,
Drink l'chaim, to life! To Life. Fiddler on the Roof
Song and dance. Harris dances to the Neocon orchestra. Trump dances to whatever is playing at the time. More Rock&Roll than Broadway musical.
What to do
If you are Iran, do you want to influence the US election? What would be the "unintended" consequences? Of course, you don’t know. That’s why they are called “unintended”.
Whomever becomes President must eventually face up to the fact -- that the US is a fading military power. It has already lost Ukraine. It could not hope to win a war in the ME. Nor can it fight a Pacific war against anybody more powerful than Tonga.
Americans watch too much TV. Which is OK — except they take fiction as fact.
Suppose that the Germans had not invaded Russia in 1941, diverting most of its military assets to the East, along with industrial production..
Would the Allies been successful on D-Day? Not likely. Private Ryan would not have been saved.
The US is just not very good at war.
In any case, the challenges the US faces are not military -- but domestic. Economic, social, and industrial—and bureaucratic.
The Nazis failed due to a rigid bureaucracy with an unrealistic, supremacist, psychopathic ideology.
The US governmental bureaucracy — aka “ the Deep State” — is no less rigid, no less supremacist — no less psychopathic than the Nazis, maybe because they hired so many Nazis after the war to help them run the world. .
No matter.
Just as European cultures are no longer grounded or coherent; neither is the US -- as I detail in my last three or four "special reports". It’s decline is an historical phenomenon that occurs in all major civilizations.
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And the U.S. military's answer to better air defense systems?
Let's buy 200 B-21 stealth bombers.
That is sensible only if one believes that defense industry share appreciation wins a battle.
The poison pill of dropping the nuclear bomb on the Japanese atrophied the American military brain inflicting its sickness on whoever it touched.
NASA, Google, Boeing , its own citizens who murder innocents in mass killings on the school grounds and streets.
Whoever proclaims not to intensely hate will win the USA election I’d say.