When the News is a lie
Oh my…. Of course, it’s French….
Russian forces continue to advance in Ukraine but at a slower pace than in recent months, according to data from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), which shows Moscow's territorial gains slowing down for the fourth consecutive month in March.
Russia advanced 240 square kilometres (93 square miles) into Ukrainian territory in March, marking a slowdown for four months in a row, according to AFP's analysis of data from US-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
Figures from Ukraine's armed forces and Western intelligence suggest that daily casualties for Moscow have topped 1,000 for many months, with the highest number of monthly casualties coming in December 2024. Russia is known for what have been dubbed "meat assaults," where waves of many soldiers, often lacking sufficient training or adequate equipment, are sent to attack Ukrainian positions.
Oh my...Russia is in trouble, just as Trump says. Ukraine says so. Western “intelligence” (an oxymoron) says so. The ISW- which is joined at the hip with the US MIC- says so.
However, my sources (Russian) say something different.
Russian casualty rates have indeed been increasing!
But KIA rates have been dropping, along with irrecoverable losses
How to explain that?
Casualties include the wounded but drone warfare results in a lot of minor injuries.
Russia now has the best battlefield medical support in the world —despite what American thinktanks say; the Ukraine, arguably the worst again despite what those same thinktanks say.
What is about “thinktanks” that don’t “think”. Isn’t there a law about false advertising or something. Medical support including evacuation is available to Russian soldiers in less than 20 minutes on average. Their survival rate is high— 80 to 90%, So, Russia drone “casualties” are often back on the battlefield, patched up, in less than 24 hours
The Ukrainians lose a lot of men to infections from minor injuries. They lack not only fighting men but doctors, antibiotics, and copters for evacuation. Oh…and they regard draftees as expendable. 30% of their wounded die. More are out of action for good.
Above are numbers from a Ukrainian source for body swaps. Left are Russians. Right are Ukrainians, The numbers of Ukrainian dead are 10 to 20 times that of the Russians!
Daily casualties of 1000 a day? Untrained. Ill-equipped?
Jokes on top of jokes.
Russian soldiers are not to sent to war with less than six months of training, usually more. They never use “meat assaults” – that is what the Ukrainians do with draftees who are sent to the front with almost no training, the Azovs behind them to shoot anyone who falters.
The reason for the slower pace of territorial gain for Russia this year is simple: Russia doesn’t care about territory.
Only about attriting Ukrainian forces. It prefers to let the Ukrainians come to them-- and get killed – as was the case with the Kursk offensive where the Ukrainians have lost 70,000~90,000 soldiers and mercenaries killed or captured plus a huge amount of materiel.
My Russian sources tell me that Russia slowed down a bit with ‘peace negotiations’, to allow their forces a breather and replenish before a larger offensive later, with several critical bases like Chasov Yar and Provosk teetering on the verge of collapse.
Sure, they are not attacking energy facilities— those attacks are usually spaced a month or so apart— but they have mounted heavy UAV attacks on other targets.
On the other hand, Ukraine lack manpower, equipment and weapons — having lost so much in Kursk —and is having trouble getting more. The West has simply run out. But the UK will build another carrier by 2030! By then they might get their present carriers operational. No fighter jets - but maybe they can install tennis courts on the flight decks/
A final reason for the slow advance is that Russia is in no hurry. As Putin has recently said, Russia is aiming at completing the first stage of its current military buildup is sometime in the summer—but not at the expense of societal development - healthcare, schools, kindergartens, housing and the like.
Chappy & Friends in the Shelter
Chappy’s Shelter Mommy has sent me a video of Chappy in the Shelter. Here is a cut.
You can see why I went to the trouble of adopting him, worm or not.
On the subject of Ukrainian losses, you have to read this one, uncle Julian: https://meduza.io/en/feature/2025/03/27/please-don-t-use-my-name
regardless - in attritional warfare (which The West seems genetically incapable of understanding), "slowing" does not imply weakness