Interesting that LLM should push the idea that "Modern Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) defense systems struggle to track and intercept multiple hypersonic objects.." implying that they only have a problem intercepting multiple targets. Basically just repeating western propaganda/ copium. However, as far as I am aware, no hypersonic object has ever been intercepted except in Russian tests. If anybody has any evidence otherwise I would like to know.
As I keep on saying, LLMs have their uses as search engines but their default are always the Google consensus, which means propaganda. "Modern Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) defense systems" as a category should include Russian systems such as the S500 which are optimized for missile interception, including hypersonic targets. However, the US has no viable systems. THAAD failed catastrophically to intercept Iranian hypersonic weapons fired in the last days of the 12 day war. However, the US is funding development of new systems, which are unlikely to be any better but profitable for the Defense Industry. One reason I often post LLM searches as graphics is because their results alway need to be approached critically.
Yes, I should remember they are not objective or even truthful - Bing Copilot recently told me that Stonehenge and Avebury stone circles were built around 985BC! My greatest concern is that they are thereby contributing greatly to the dumbing down of
humanity - too many people thinking the truth is just a Google search away, that AI does the critical thinking for them. Idiocracy, here we come.
A thought for you; you say that the THAAD was unable to intercept hypersonic missiles - do you know if it has been able to intercept ordinary ballistic missiles?
Ted Postol - who I still admire, if only because he knows a little physics - spoke of how the Patriot system has never actually been able to intercept a ballistic missile of any kind whatsoever.
Thus the THAAD (what a clumsy acronym) - if it has been able to intercept things, is a huge improvement.
Julian feeds his followers hyperbolic nonsense like "THAAD failed catastrophically to intercept Iranian hypersonic weapons .."
Between 85% and 90% of Iranian missiles were intercepted. Some penetrated Israel’s layered defenses, leading to impacts in populated areas. Inability to fully defending against large, saturated missile salvos is far from "catastrophic failure."
This is how we know of Putin's numerous false flag attacks on his civilian population.
Crocus City Hall attack, 149 dead and 400 injured - served to distract from russia's humiliating failures in Ukraine.
The 1100 casualties (~350 deaths) from Putin's 2004 Beslan "school siege" deflected attention from his numerous domestic policy failures.
Putin's 2009 Nevsky Express "bombing" in Novgorod Oblast failed in that GRU only managed to kill 30 "dissidents," and despite wounding over 100 more, that little dust up was out of the news within days.
Medvedev was satisfied with his 2011 Domodedovo Airport "bombing' body count (37 killed, >170 maimed), but again, that incident failed to captivate the public as had been intended.
The 2003 Stavropol train "bombing" left 46 dead and over 170 injured, reaching Putin's required body count.
Im absolutely staggered, I thought I'd came across the most ridiculous BS about Putin & Russia in the British media. But you're on a level above that BS. Does it ever occur to you to get evidence of any accusations about anything. Before making statements?
Nice try. Both Nevsky Express bombings were Putin and the Stavropol train bombing too. Those are COMMON knowledge. And no mystery about how Beslan happened. Just listen to interviews with Stepashin and with Vladimir Sanakoyev.
Nothing is easier than dunking on the completely inappropriate and non-qualified trump appointees, tough guy. Meanwhile, Ted Postol won the award for most consistently incorrect military expert of the last 15 years.
And while you're licking Martyanov's balls, ask him why more than 20% of Russian homes don't have an indoor toilet.
Only 5% (to maybe 10%) of Russia's population lives in permafrost zones, accounting for under 5% of all residential housing UNITS (private home, apartment block, institution).
Yakutsk (~300K inhabitants), Norilsk (~180K), Dudinka (~20K inhabitants), Magadan (~15K), Vorkuta and other smaller Arctic towns.
Sewage, water, heating, and gas is transported in elevated and insulated pipe corridors in Arctic regions. The USSR, Canada, Scandinavian countries, etc. have ling done this.
Yes, I was being somewhat facetious and know there are solutions, readily installed in larger communities but there are many smaller and extremely remote places that are not so easily improved.
It is actually an interesting subject and it seems the short answer is mainly because they do not have running water to begin with, but there are also, apparently, some regions were culture and custom are against indoor toilets.
But give them time. It is a big country and they are building new housing and renovating older properties at a phenomenal rate - 20% of the housing stock is new built or renovated in the last 5 years.
BTW. I live in west coast Scotland and when I moved here 48 years ago there were still many properties without indoor toilets, including my first home that only had a sink and cold tap, and the local community of about 30 houses still does not have a municipal water supply.
Thank you. I presumed that HIJENKS was using a flux compression generator. Negative on that apparently. The FCG is a one shot deal whilst HIJENKS can provide repeatable EMP pulses. So as the missile flies, it can pulse multiple targets along it's flight path - AND return intact to a safe location to avoid the technology falling into hostile hands. A missile with an FCG is one and done - and a misfire allows potential compromise of the design.
Also a good analogy of the hazelnut with rods from god. The hazelnut was apparently designed for it's multiple impacting elements to syncopate / accentuate the vibratory effects, whilst rods from god were (at least originally) meant to be used solo.
You are correct about HIJENKS being able to pulse multiple targets along its path. This is partly a compensation for the lack of range' l power of its pulses. The debate is whether a single large pulse covering a wider area is better than individualized pulses, which requires target identification. The missile is a one-way weapon. Not recoverable.
I was on my garden, preparing my seed beds and I got thinking about Ted Postol.
Why is it that people go after him because he only knows ballistic missiles? To be quite honest, he has forgotten more about rocketry than even trained scientists like myself know. Gilbert Doctorow bashed him because he didn't go with the Russian narrative - but Doctorow knows as much about rocketry as my grandma's knitting needles.
To the point: what do we know about the Oreshnik? Practically NOTHING, at least when it comes to the details. We know it has 36 warheads of one or other kind and is a medium range missile that has hypersonic qualities.
And that is about it.
Everything else is classified Top Secret. What happened at Lvov or Dnieperpetrovsk is all classified as well. Whatever remains are to be found - and didn't slip into Simplicius' hands - is classified as well. By the Ukrainians, the Americans and especially the Russians!
I appreciate what Dr Postol says if for the only fact that he knows A LITTLE about the subject, and whatever he says is said in good faith.
Postol and most, if not all, western analysts in this field are completely in the dark and doing no more than guessing about Oreshnik. Or was Putin just BS-ing when he stated that it utilised new principles of physics; principles that we can posit are as yet unknown beyond those who discovered and developed them. For example the inert warhead is rumoured to be of some strange alloy of tungsten and aluminium that is indeed inert - until you heat it to 4000+ C combined with the kinetic energy released on impact.
I also find the claim that the kinetic energy is released at the moment of impact extremely dubious. If that were so we should see it in the videos but there was no sign at all. Furthermore, each warhead was reported to release the energy equivalent of c. 1000kg HE. 36 of them striking the Yuzmash factory in short order would surely have severely damaged a considerable area of the city if they were on the surface.
Of course, the claim also flies in the face of an eye-witness account that four floors below the surface, in a supposedly nuclear proof facility, everything had been turned to dust.
Agreed, no matter how smart/"educated", critical of establishment etc an American is an American ie conditioned beliefs are never investigated and an open debate cannot eventuate.
Interesting that LLM should push the idea that "Modern Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) defense systems struggle to track and intercept multiple hypersonic objects.." implying that they only have a problem intercepting multiple targets. Basically just repeating western propaganda/ copium. However, as far as I am aware, no hypersonic object has ever been intercepted except in Russian tests. If anybody has any evidence otherwise I would like to know.
As I keep on saying, LLMs have their uses as search engines but their default are always the Google consensus, which means propaganda. "Modern Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) defense systems" as a category should include Russian systems such as the S500 which are optimized for missile interception, including hypersonic targets. However, the US has no viable systems. THAAD failed catastrophically to intercept Iranian hypersonic weapons fired in the last days of the 12 day war. However, the US is funding development of new systems, which are unlikely to be any better but profitable for the Defense Industry. One reason I often post LLM searches as graphics is because their results alway need to be approached critically.
Yes, I should remember they are not objective or even truthful - Bing Copilot recently told me that Stonehenge and Avebury stone circles were built around 985BC! My greatest concern is that they are thereby contributing greatly to the dumbing down of
humanity - too many people thinking the truth is just a Google search away, that AI does the critical thinking for them. Idiocracy, here we come.
A thought for you; you say that the THAAD was unable to intercept hypersonic missiles - do you know if it has been able to intercept ordinary ballistic missiles?
Ted Postol - who I still admire, if only because he knows a little physics - spoke of how the Patriot system has never actually been able to intercept a ballistic missile of any kind whatsoever.
Thus the THAAD (what a clumsy acronym) - if it has been able to intercept things, is a huge improvement.
Julian feeds his followers hyperbolic nonsense like "THAAD failed catastrophically to intercept Iranian hypersonic weapons .."
Between 85% and 90% of Iranian missiles were intercepted. Some penetrated Israel’s layered defenses, leading to impacts in populated areas. Inability to fully defending against large, saturated missile salvos is far from "catastrophic failure."
https://idsa.in/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Issue-Brief-Ms-Amita-03-July-2025.pdf
https://idsa.in/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Issue-Brief-Dr-Prasanta-Kumar-Pradhan-11-July-2025.pdf
And Ted Postol destroyed his own credibility even before he started lying for Assad.
To be quite honest, if you are going to spout the mainstream narrative, do it at least on the mainstream media sites.
Whatever Ted Postol is, he actually HAS a PhD in a sciences subject - and I seriously doubt if you have. So he wins.
This is how we know of Putin's numerous false flag attacks on his civilian population.
Crocus City Hall attack, 149 dead and 400 injured - served to distract from russia's humiliating failures in Ukraine.
The 1100 casualties (~350 deaths) from Putin's 2004 Beslan "school siege" deflected attention from his numerous domestic policy failures.
Putin's 2009 Nevsky Express "bombing" in Novgorod Oblast failed in that GRU only managed to kill 30 "dissidents," and despite wounding over 100 more, that little dust up was out of the news within days.
Medvedev was satisfied with his 2011 Domodedovo Airport "bombing' body count (37 killed, >170 maimed), but again, that incident failed to captivate the public as had been intended.
The 2003 Stavropol train "bombing" left 46 dead and over 170 injured, reaching Putin's required body count.
Seek professional help.
Im absolutely staggered, I thought I'd came across the most ridiculous BS about Putin & Russia in the British media. But you're on a level above that BS. Does it ever occur to you to get evidence of any accusations about anything. Before making statements?
rubbish - you read too much propaganda
I presume you have posted on the wrong site for I fail to see "how we know" anything of the sort from Julian's article. Please explain.
Nice try. Both Nevsky Express bombings were Putin and the Stavropol train bombing too. Those are COMMON knowledge. And no mystery about how Beslan happened. Just listen to interviews with Stepashin and with Vladimir Sanakoyev.
Ah, well, I did not really expect an explanation and sure enough, none was forthcoming; just more of the same old, tired, conspiracy theory nonsense.
rubbish - waste of words
Yup, COMMON knowledge of the Nutter community.
Aw jeeze Liz, come off the grass and do your homework please.
🤡
Is that you again, Kaja Kallas ?
nice name
Thanks for your great work Julian!
We've restacked and shared this link on 'The Stacks'
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/the-stacks
Thank you for this.
Nothing is easier than dunking on the completely inappropriate and non-qualified trump appointees, tough guy. Meanwhile, Ted Postol won the award for most consistently incorrect military expert of the last 15 years.
And while you're licking Martyanov's balls, ask him why more than 20% of Russian homes don't have an indoor toilet.
😂More that 80% of Empire citizens are sheep.
Make some sense, Tough-Pussy-Retard-Guy.
They may not have indoor FLUSHING toilets but you try building a working sewage system in permafrost and let me know how you get on.
Only 5% (to maybe 10%) of Russia's population lives in permafrost zones, accounting for under 5% of all residential housing UNITS (private home, apartment block, institution).
Yakutsk (~300K inhabitants), Norilsk (~180K), Dudinka (~20K inhabitants), Magadan (~15K), Vorkuta and other smaller Arctic towns.
Sewage, water, heating, and gas is transported in elevated and insulated pipe corridors in Arctic regions. The USSR, Canada, Scandinavian countries, etc. have ling done this.
Yes, I was being somewhat facetious and know there are solutions, readily installed in larger communities but there are many smaller and extremely remote places that are not so easily improved.
It is actually an interesting subject and it seems the short answer is mainly because they do not have running water to begin with, but there are also, apparently, some regions were culture and custom are against indoor toilets.
But give them time. It is a big country and they are building new housing and renovating older properties at a phenomenal rate - 20% of the housing stock is new built or renovated in the last 5 years.
BTW. I live in west coast Scotland and when I moved here 48 years ago there were still many properties without indoor toilets, including my first home that only had a sink and cold tap, and the local community of about 30 houses still does not have a municipal water supply.
Thank you. I presumed that HIJENKS was using a flux compression generator. Negative on that apparently. The FCG is a one shot deal whilst HIJENKS can provide repeatable EMP pulses. So as the missile flies, it can pulse multiple targets along it's flight path - AND return intact to a safe location to avoid the technology falling into hostile hands. A missile with an FCG is one and done - and a misfire allows potential compromise of the design.
Also a good analogy of the hazelnut with rods from god. The hazelnut was apparently designed for it's multiple impacting elements to syncopate / accentuate the vibratory effects, whilst rods from god were (at least originally) meant to be used solo.
You are correct about HIJENKS being able to pulse multiple targets along its path. This is partly a compensation for the lack of range' l power of its pulses. The debate is whether a single large pulse covering a wider area is better than individualized pulses, which requires target identification. The missile is a one-way weapon. Not recoverable.
I was on my garden, preparing my seed beds and I got thinking about Ted Postol.
Why is it that people go after him because he only knows ballistic missiles? To be quite honest, he has forgotten more about rocketry than even trained scientists like myself know. Gilbert Doctorow bashed him because he didn't go with the Russian narrative - but Doctorow knows as much about rocketry as my grandma's knitting needles.
To the point: what do we know about the Oreshnik? Practically NOTHING, at least when it comes to the details. We know it has 36 warheads of one or other kind and is a medium range missile that has hypersonic qualities.
And that is about it.
Everything else is classified Top Secret. What happened at Lvov or Dnieperpetrovsk is all classified as well. Whatever remains are to be found - and didn't slip into Simplicius' hands - is classified as well. By the Ukrainians, the Americans and especially the Russians!
I appreciate what Dr Postol says if for the only fact that he knows A LITTLE about the subject, and whatever he says is said in good faith.
Black Mountain Analysis by Canadian Mike Mihajlovic:
https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/oreshnik-enters-the-chat-i
https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/oreshnik-against-zelenskys-bunker
https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/oreshniks-warhead-volcano-maker-i
https://bmanalysis.substack.com/p/oreshnik-vs-lviv-targets-i
Postol is a typical murican analyst of which I have little to no faith in.
Postol and most, if not all, western analysts in this field are completely in the dark and doing no more than guessing about Oreshnik. Or was Putin just BS-ing when he stated that it utilised new principles of physics; principles that we can posit are as yet unknown beyond those who discovered and developed them. For example the inert warhead is rumoured to be of some strange alloy of tungsten and aluminium that is indeed inert - until you heat it to 4000+ C combined with the kinetic energy released on impact.
I also find the claim that the kinetic energy is released at the moment of impact extremely dubious. If that were so we should see it in the videos but there was no sign at all. Furthermore, each warhead was reported to release the energy equivalent of c. 1000kg HE. 36 of them striking the Yuzmash factory in short order would surely have severely damaged a considerable area of the city if they were on the surface.
Of course, the claim also flies in the face of an eye-witness account that four floors below the surface, in a supposedly nuclear proof facility, everything had been turned to dust.
I stopped listening to Postol some time ago. He is just too "American" to see reality.
Agreed, no matter how smart/"educated", critical of establishment etc an American is an American ie conditioned beliefs are never investigated and an open debate cannot eventuate.
Most hilarious comment of the weekend, Discernmenator - https://substack.com/@sundersidhai/reads
Thanks Chuck.