Another great post, Julian. Who you disagree with and who you agree with are the same with me.
The Anglo-Zionist Empire of Lies and Hate plus all its vassal states like Turkey are done. Russia has unlimited escalation dominance now. Russia has given the World a Christmas gift with the Dawn of Hypersonics. Hypersonics have rendered Nuclear Weapons and Bunkers OBSOLETE! The Oligarchs 💩, Plutarchs 💩, War Mongers 💩 and War Profiteers💩 no longer have anywhere to hide!🥳
Artists, by and large, have a different way of experiencing the world. A lot of people experience life -- through the cognitive "filters'. Artists have less of that so they experience it through their senses, three or four dimensionally. Sculpture is all about touch. Painting is visual. But the artists himself / herself tends to be synesthetic. Ideas, feeling, sensation -- all merge. In other words, they are NOT "linear". On the other hand, the MSM are VERY "linear", creating ever lengthening chains of rationalization.
Russia, Iran and China are playing the long game while the West burns itself out in tactical games that are strategic losses. And the other players show how much they can, or cannot, be trusted. Every year the West gets weaker and the RIC gets stronger.
I love your work. And though I don't have the means to buy you a coffee, I'm very pleased to share and restack, hoping that others, with the means, do buy you lots of coffees. Fingers crossed that Chappy is allowed to join your family, and that you'll all be very happy together! 💚🙏🪷
As far as the Black Sea goes, it's already a "Russian lake" due to the Bastion anti-ship missile batteries on Russia's Black Sea coast, firing the P-800 Oniks missile, a supersonic missile that flies low and for the most part can't be intercepted by the Aegis system deployed on US ships. Add in the ability to fire Kinzhals from Mig-31Ks over Russian territory, and any NATO vessels are toast, as you correctly state.
The outcome of the Syrian conflict will depend on how much of the insurgents' force can be caught on the road versus inside cities, whether the Russians can deploy Wagner (now called Africa Corps) and Chechen forces who are the specialists in urban warfare or whether the SAA/Russian must resort to aerial bombing to relieve Aleppo, which would be unfortunate and would cause it to take a long time to dig them out.
As for outside forces coming to help, I read a while ago that a brigade of Houthis had already snuck into Syria intending to join with Hezbollah or attack Israel on their own. Hezbollah can also spare some troops given the size of their force; allegedly only 1,200 or so of their Radwan special forces out of 10,000 are actually engaged against the Israelis in Southern Lebanon. Russia could certainly spare 10,000 or more given the current size of their army (always depending on logistics, of course.) The insurgents don't have that many - top I've read is 40,000 - and a lot of them will get nailed on the roads by close air.
It may take months, even a year, but I believe Erdogan's gambit will fail badly.
The wild card is whether the US under Trump will use this as an excuse to enter the war directly - which is still the goal of the neocons and Netanyahu.
Erdogan is in bed with usa and apartheid genocidal homicidal European colonist terrorist occupying Palestine and I hope Putin sets his backside straight. Russian Air base in Syria fighting invading terrorist
Thank you for this very good analysis of Erdogan's games (among other games).
I'd like to add a chapter to that, making it a whole, hoping that it adds to understanding how he thinks and who he dislikes.
The Video is 50 minutes long and 10 years old, recorded in the North of The Netherlands by James Corbett (living in Japan) sorry i do not have subtitles, since all his video's were on one day removed by YouTube. (now on corbettreport com)
1. The Heartland (intro) we know about that from Julian. It plays a huge role.
2. The hidden activities of The Empire in the Heartland... And some history. Ending with the disintegration of the USSR.
3. Resources, Oil, Gas, etc. but also: OPIUM... a secret source of money for the CIA during the occupation.
4. Mackinder's Heartland theory.
5. Operations Gladio (NATO) 'stay behind forces' after WW2 and during Russian dominance (Communist Parties etc.) (including Ukraine) during the Cold War, and Gladio 'B'...
6. The 'Pan-Tukey' movement after ww2 and its role in cooperation with the US CIA... Including 'Kurds' and 'Cyprus'. Many area's in Central Asia have large or important "Turkish" inhabitants, stemming from 'The Golden Horde' of 'Dzjengis Khan' (AD 1200).
Turkish 'Gladio' performed many terrorist acts and protected from law by a "deepstate"...
7. Gladio 'B', the use of Islamist terrorists in its operations. Sibel Edmonds (Whistle Blower).
8. The hidden empire of Fethullah Gülen, first in cooperation with Erdogan, CIA and MIT (Millî İstihbarat Teşkilatı). (CIA and MIT are still cooperating, Erdogan fears to break them apart, even after CIA tried to kill him in a failed coup - by Putin warning him.).
The rest you really have to follow...starting 38:00...
Interesting take. Believe the situation for Syria is more tenuous than depicted. The forces emanating from Idlib are powerful and logistically strong--the product of years of investment by The Empire. Turkey is a military powerhouse with US materiel support. And the situation does not preclude a second front in Golan with an incursion of Israel to further overstretch Syria. For a different and very informed perspective, recommend Elijah Magnier's recent analysis here: https://ejmagnier.com/2024/12/05/homs-draws-the-map-of-syrias-division-and-the-levants-future/ He's a superb Middle East analyst with years of experience. Not making predictions, but it doesn't look good.
Yes, this is why the Syrians positioned their best troops in the South and why Hezbollah has not sent fighters north to Aleppo and Idlib. A large influx of Iraqi and Iranian forces, and the Israelis have so far not tried to expand in the South, an intention they "telegraphed" rather far back (as I noted in an article). Right now, strategically speaking, the Israelis are overextended.
"Let us keep in mind that a hypersonic missile can be devastating with an inert warhead, using kinetic energy alone".
Although against modern warships, built as they are mainly from plastic and tin foil, an inert hypersonic warhead would go straight through, in one side and out the other, possibly without sinking the ship. And it would pass through so quickly that it wouldn't have much time to set fire to anything. Against ships, explosives work well. Although the British destroyer HMS Sheffield was sunk in the Falklands War by an Exocet whose warhead didn't explode, the Exocet was a subsonic missile with nothing like the speed or kinetic energy of a Zircon - so maybe inert warheads would work.
I remember reading about an analogous case in 1944 when a Canadian-manned Sherman tank was hit by a German 88 mm anti-tank shot (inert). Travelling at about the same speed as an Exocet, the 10 kg shot went straight through one side of the Sherman's turret and exited through the other side, causing no harm to the crew and no serious damage to the tank. Although the crew may have needed fresh underwear...
Good point. I was thinking of aircraft carriers, A hypersonic missile would hit from above, almost vertically. A lot would depend on "where". An inert warhead might indeed go right through and if it didn't hit anything flammable on the way -- or the engine--the ship would survive. If it was an explosive warhead, you would the power of the explosion PLUS kinetic energy. The explosion would take place inside the ship. Goodbye ship.
Ooops. I clean forgot - don't Zircons or Kinzhals climb at the very last minute and then descend vertically to the target? If so, my argument in the parent is wrong. A missile that flies through one side and out the other may be survivable: one that lands on the deck and exits through the keel is not. As the Italian Navy discovered when its brand-new battleship "Roma" was sunk by a couple of German glider bombs with explosive warheads, one of which did exactly that before exploding right under the ship. Ouch!
I have heard that opinion about Odessa. And he is correct. But geopolitically control of Odessa provides extra leverage-- and Putin regards it as a part of Russia's cultural heritage, which means that he feels that Russia is really not "complete" without it. In any case, Odessa has no future without Russia, now that "Ukraine" is going the way of the Dodo.
There was never an Israeli Empire, except in fairytales.
God help us if there were. Israel as a country is bad enough.
Another great post, Julian. Who you disagree with and who you agree with are the same with me.
The Anglo-Zionist Empire of Lies and Hate plus all its vassal states like Turkey are done. Russia has unlimited escalation dominance now. Russia has given the World a Christmas gift with the Dawn of Hypersonics. Hypersonics have rendered Nuclear Weapons and Bunkers OBSOLETE! The Oligarchs 💩, Plutarchs 💩, War Mongers 💩 and War Profiteers💩 no longer have anywhere to hide!🥳
Some one on Telegram wrote "MAD is dead". It is indeed.
I am nothing but an artist and as an artist one has to be cognizant of prevailing forces.
I could 'precis' this whole argument into one sentence
PRECIS = cutting through the crap. I learned this in school.
When I came to the USA.......Newspapers took huge columns to report what could be a single paragraph! Why?
Have you for forgotten precis?
As it is now. The WAPO/NYTimes continue this egregious reporting. WASHINGTON POST/New York Times..
YOU have made a truly complex system into huge paragraphs.
My take is this:
"America/not dissimlar to the UK Empire is dying! FULL STOP.!
I am truly fed up with going into the "how/when."
Russia is now the major power in the world with China. FULLSTOP
Artists make us human.
I hope so.
Artists, by and large, have a different way of experiencing the world. A lot of people experience life -- through the cognitive "filters'. Artists have less of that so they experience it through their senses, three or four dimensionally. Sculpture is all about touch. Painting is visual. But the artists himself / herself tends to be synesthetic. Ideas, feeling, sensation -- all merge. In other words, they are NOT "linear". On the other hand, the MSM are VERY "linear", creating ever lengthening chains of rationalization.
Russia, Iran and China are playing the long game while the West burns itself out in tactical games that are strategic losses. And the other players show how much they can, or cannot, be trusted. Every year the West gets weaker and the RIC gets stronger.
I love your work. And though I don't have the means to buy you a coffee, I'm very pleased to share and restack, hoping that others, with the means, do buy you lots of coffees. Fingers crossed that Chappy is allowed to join your family, and that you'll all be very happy together! 💚🙏🪷
As far as the Black Sea goes, it's already a "Russian lake" due to the Bastion anti-ship missile batteries on Russia's Black Sea coast, firing the P-800 Oniks missile, a supersonic missile that flies low and for the most part can't be intercepted by the Aegis system deployed on US ships. Add in the ability to fire Kinzhals from Mig-31Ks over Russian territory, and any NATO vessels are toast, as you correctly state.
The outcome of the Syrian conflict will depend on how much of the insurgents' force can be caught on the road versus inside cities, whether the Russians can deploy Wagner (now called Africa Corps) and Chechen forces who are the specialists in urban warfare or whether the SAA/Russian must resort to aerial bombing to relieve Aleppo, which would be unfortunate and would cause it to take a long time to dig them out.
As for outside forces coming to help, I read a while ago that a brigade of Houthis had already snuck into Syria intending to join with Hezbollah or attack Israel on their own. Hezbollah can also spare some troops given the size of their force; allegedly only 1,200 or so of their Radwan special forces out of 10,000 are actually engaged against the Israelis in Southern Lebanon. Russia could certainly spare 10,000 or more given the current size of their army (always depending on logistics, of course.) The insurgents don't have that many - top I've read is 40,000 - and a lot of them will get nailed on the roads by close air.
It may take months, even a year, but I believe Erdogan's gambit will fail badly.
The wild card is whether the US under Trump will use this as an excuse to enter the war directly - which is still the goal of the neocons and Netanyahu.
Borzzikman mentioned this on YT last night, about Assad in Syria:
BORZZIKMAN. 🇷🇺Russia. Dec 06. Recommended.
😡-P U T I N ' S W R A T H O N E R D O G A N-😡
🇷🇺Putin Seized 🇹🇷Erdogan By The Throat 🫨
🇹🇷Turkey Will Pay Dearly For 🇹🇷Erdogan's Treachery
Ankara is ⚡️SHOCKED⚡️:
->https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pYSR_mme-U
"The fact that the experienced Syrian Army is retreating in all directions of the front is the fault of President Bashar al-Assad.
The fact is that after the victory of Syria in 2016,
Bashar al-Assad dismissed all experienced combatant commanders and put generals loyal to him in their place.
The scariest thing is that these generals had no experience in conducting combat operations and managing troops in combat conditions.."
Sander
What do you smoke? I want the same.
Erdogan is in bed with usa and apartheid genocidal homicidal European colonist terrorist occupying Palestine and I hope Putin sets his backside straight. Russian Air base in Syria fighting invading terrorist
Thank you for this very good analysis of Erdogan's games (among other games).
I'd like to add a chapter to that, making it a whole, hoping that it adds to understanding how he thinks and who he dislikes.
The Video is 50 minutes long and 10 years old, recorded in the North of The Netherlands by James Corbett (living in Japan) sorry i do not have subtitles, since all his video's were on one day removed by YouTube. (now on corbettreport com)
1. The Heartland (intro) we know about that from Julian. It plays a huge role.
2. The hidden activities of The Empire in the Heartland... And some history. Ending with the disintegration of the USSR.
3. Resources, Oil, Gas, etc. but also: OPIUM... a secret source of money for the CIA during the occupation.
4. Mackinder's Heartland theory.
5. Operations Gladio (NATO) 'stay behind forces' after WW2 and during Russian dominance (Communist Parties etc.) (including Ukraine) during the Cold War, and Gladio 'B'...
6. The 'Pan-Tukey' movement after ww2 and its role in cooperation with the US CIA... Including 'Kurds' and 'Cyprus'. Many area's in Central Asia have large or important "Turkish" inhabitants, stemming from 'The Golden Horde' of 'Dzjengis Khan' (AD 1200).
Turkish 'Gladio' performed many terrorist acts and protected from law by a "deepstate"...
7. Gladio 'B', the use of Islamist terrorists in its operations. Sibel Edmonds (Whistle Blower).
8. The hidden empire of Fethullah Gülen, first in cooperation with Erdogan, CIA and MIT (Millî İstihbarat Teşkilatı). (CIA and MIT are still cooperating, Erdogan fears to break them apart, even after CIA tried to kill him in a failed coup - by Putin warning him.).
The rest you really have to follow...starting 38:00...
->https://corbettreport.com/episode-298-gladio-b-and-the-battle-for-eurasia/
OK.
Sander
PS. About Sibel Edmonds & Gülen...->https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lm4_eMKUcxY
And i found it:->https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEu1crIqvsU on YouTube too...
And part 2->https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pi13h7fey68
Love your sense of humor. Lightens up the messaging. LOL
"I am not worthy...I am not worthy"....
Interesting take. Believe the situation for Syria is more tenuous than depicted. The forces emanating from Idlib are powerful and logistically strong--the product of years of investment by The Empire. Turkey is a military powerhouse with US materiel support. And the situation does not preclude a second front in Golan with an incursion of Israel to further overstretch Syria. For a different and very informed perspective, recommend Elijah Magnier's recent analysis here: https://ejmagnier.com/2024/12/05/homs-draws-the-map-of-syrias-division-and-the-levants-future/ He's a superb Middle East analyst with years of experience. Not making predictions, but it doesn't look good.
Yes, this is why the Syrians positioned their best troops in the South and why Hezbollah has not sent fighters north to Aleppo and Idlib. A large influx of Iraqi and Iranian forces, and the Israelis have so far not tried to expand in the South, an intention they "telegraphed" rather far back (as I noted in an article). Right now, strategically speaking, the Israelis are overextended.
"HTS takes towns and villages - -then loses them, then retakes them. But in this fighting, they are taking heavy casualties".
How very like the home life of our dear Ukrainian army! Various Russian proverbs about feet and rakes come to mind...
"Let us keep in mind that a hypersonic missile can be devastating with an inert warhead, using kinetic energy alone".
Although against modern warships, built as they are mainly from plastic and tin foil, an inert hypersonic warhead would go straight through, in one side and out the other, possibly without sinking the ship. And it would pass through so quickly that it wouldn't have much time to set fire to anything. Against ships, explosives work well. Although the British destroyer HMS Sheffield was sunk in the Falklands War by an Exocet whose warhead didn't explode, the Exocet was a subsonic missile with nothing like the speed or kinetic energy of a Zircon - so maybe inert warheads would work.
I remember reading about an analogous case in 1944 when a Canadian-manned Sherman tank was hit by a German 88 mm anti-tank shot (inert). Travelling at about the same speed as an Exocet, the 10 kg shot went straight through one side of the Sherman's turret and exited through the other side, causing no harm to the crew and no serious damage to the tank. Although the crew may have needed fresh underwear...
Good point. I was thinking of aircraft carriers, A hypersonic missile would hit from above, almost vertically. A lot would depend on "where". An inert warhead might indeed go right through and if it didn't hit anything flammable on the way -- or the engine--the ship would survive. If it was an explosive warhead, you would the power of the explosion PLUS kinetic energy. The explosion would take place inside the ship. Goodbye ship.
Ooops. I clean forgot - don't Zircons or Kinzhals climb at the very last minute and then descend vertically to the target? If so, my argument in the parent is wrong. A missile that flies through one side and out the other may be survivable: one that lands on the deck and exits through the keel is not. As the Italian Navy discovered when its brand-new battleship "Roma" was sunk by a couple of German glider bombs with explosive warheads, one of which did exactly that before exploding right under the ship. Ouch!
Yeah, ouch. How about a Poseidon under a CBG!🤣
First CVN in space?
🤣
I have heard that opinion about Odessa. And he is correct. But geopolitically control of Odessa provides extra leverage-- and Putin regards it as a part of Russia's cultural heritage, which means that he feels that Russia is really not "complete" without it. In any case, Odessa has no future without Russia, now that "Ukraine" is going the way of the Dodo.