Iran vs Israel

Who wins?

I have refrained from commenting on the course of events in the Israeli-Iran War that has just begun. In a military situation like this, it is always best to wait at least four days — 3 days + 1 —to sort things out. That said, I will make a few comments.

The Israelis are certainly exaggerating their successes and downplaying the effects of Iranian retaliation, making good use of compliant Western media. So don’t pay too much attention to the MSM —or Alt Media that relies on the MSM. So far, there are just too many contradictions, especially if you look at the visual evidence carefully. My sources in the ME give me a different story.

It is obvious that while the Israeli did a lot of damage in their sneak attack, it was not enough to forestall the huge retaliatory strikes that followed and now continue day after day.

At this point, I would venture that the attack was a major mistake on the part of the Israelis and the Americans. Desperate and suicidal. Just not thought through.

A smarter strategy for Israel would have been to continue using Mossad to foment internal dissension in Iraq. Mossad is smart and has decades of experience at dirty tricks.

In any case, this overt and illegal attack has unified Iran. Suddenly, there is clarity.

Even people who normally oppose the Iranian government are now rallying around the flag. This woman is not wearing a hijab and normally would not support the government.

The Mossad -directed sabotage by various groups within Iraq provokes anger — not against the Iranian government— but against those communities and ethnic groups that harbor terrorists. They will be under pressure to prove their loyalty — or leave.

In other words, the Israeli attack has had a polarizing effect, which means greater support for the IRGC. Remember how the US reacted to 9/11?

It is obvious that Iran has been preparing for war with Israel for a long time.

While the Israelis hacked their electronic communications systems, essential to AD, which should have been down for 3 days, they were repaired in less than 10 hours, apparently with Russian help. They lost experienced commanders but they had a “shadow” command group that immediately took over. Their missile and AD systems were mostly mobile and remained intact. So far, the Israelis have lost several of their pricey, “invisible” F35s, as I predicted they would if they flew them within range of S400 systems.

The Iranians never wanted to fight — but they were ready, and now the Zionists are paying the price.

Maybe when Tel Aviv looks like Gaza they will get the message.

Iran has the resources to outlast the Israeli and Americans— and they have only just begun to fight back: they are only now beginning to use their more advanced missiles. Russian EW and EA (electronic attack) specialists are already in Iran. North Korea is sure to offer missiles if Iran begins to run short. They have room to up their game.

If these strikes continue longer than a week, Israel will fun out of interceptor missiles. The Yemenis have already joined in. What if Hezbollah does too? Iraqi Hezbollah groups have threatened to attack US bases. Next up, the Lebanese.

And what if Iran closes Hormuz?

Will Trump order a B52 strike? B52s are juicy targets.

I will post again in more detail with a better strategic analysis.

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