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Nick's avatar

There has been 1 big benefit of this Israeli attack- Trump totally outed himself as a duplicitous POS.

5 months into a 48 month term, he has destroyed any remaining credibility he had.

Not 1 world leader outside the west, is going to take him seriously going forward.

Alex Krainer, still trapped in the trump trance prior to Trumps truth social posts on Friday morning, had his trance shattered by those posts.

At some point on Friday, after Trumps posts and before Iran responded, Alex was on a podcast- visibly shocked by Trumps posts and went on to say- Trump just destroyed any remaining credibility he had.

Good to see!

https://youtu.be/t__r1Rc0_fU?si=QFQ_9-n0VwQMtHvN

Also, the Duran put out a terrible video Saturday morning. The comment section was savage in calling them out on their Trump apologia. Not 1 mention of Trumps truth social posts. Pathetic.

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jsarnak's avatar

I always respect a person who tries to look at things in a positive light BUT will admit, once the evidence is showing the opposite. I have lost ALL patience with the Duran, Alexander is much worse than Alex but still.

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Ngungu's avatar

I don't understand where Alexander's good reputation comes from.

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Marvin Gardens2's avatar

just sayin':

https://water.fanack.com/israel/water-infrastructure-in-israel/

Almost 90% of the desalinated water is produced in five seawater desalination plants: Ashkelon, Palmachim, Hadera, Sorek and Ashdod , which produce a total of 50% of the potable water in Israel.[1] The remainder is produced in saline groundwater desalination plants, most of them in the Arava area.

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Franz Kafka's avatar

A nudge is as good as a wink. Too bad all the jews are sitting this out in Brighton Beach or Monte Carlo, according to the amounts of their stolen money.

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M Blu's avatar

Confusing Iran and Iraq?

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Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Typo, Thanks guys!

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Richard Thomas's avatar

The Zionists and America have once again miscalculated. This will be a disaster for both Countries. . . and for Israel it may be terminal. I certainly hope so.

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Steve Naidamast's avatar

One of the rare times I fully agree with you, Julian. However, I do not believe the Iranians will close the Straits of Hormuz. Doing that will cause too many problems on a global level, and they know that.

I believe that all Iran requires is two Orishniks from Russia considering that a fully armed non-nuclear variant could wipe out the city of Tel Aviv. The second one will be for Jerusalem...

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Ngungu's avatar
5dEdited

Iran could close off the SoH selectively, like the Houthis have done with the Red Sea: friendly ships can pass OK, enemy ships or non-enemy ships supporting the enemy, will not pass.

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Denny Fusaro's avatar

The Israelis unified Iraq or Iran? Or both? Please clarify…

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Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Iran! Typo. Thanks. I corrected it.

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Franz Kafka's avatar

To me, clearly both.

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Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Actually, yes.

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Ravishing Rudey's avatar

It's another patended typo, "ok brand" for this blod

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Ravishing Rudey's avatar

Or *blog, even

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Julian Macfarlane's avatar

LOL. I have an entire community of proofreaders.

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Tom Welsh's avatar

Julian, you are doing much better than The Duran, which I occasionally tune in to. Both Messrs Christoforou and Mercouris have developed an alarming tendency to bloopers such as "Israel launched a devastating attack on Israel". Granted it's harder to avoid such slips when speaking impromptu.

I have been fighting my ingrained editorial habit of objecting to every typo or slip of the tongue; the balancing argument is "We know perfectly well what they mean". True, but the more slips the more likely that one will cause genuine misunderstanding. (Basic information theory).

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Well... thank you Julian... A question. Nice. 'Who Wins'...

I must be honest... I was recently completely overloaded with Narratives, Opinions and Factual events, which sometimes appeared to be not real also.

So i made a long walk along most of my sources and after digesting those, my sensing offered me clear insights and trustworthy estimates of the likelihood of my sensings.

Since my sensings are NOT in words and trying to make them to a readable narrative (like you can do lots better than i can), is impossible for me, I just take out some interesting sensings, expressed in words.

1. Who Wins ? Iran and Trump; likelihood: 72.5 %... I base this on the highly likely 'treason' of Trump. He betrayed Satanyahu, in his reaction that has by almost everybody been misinterpreted as betraying Iran. He seemed to be supporting Satanyahu in his attack on Iran. But now he refuses to do that. I hope he will have trustworthy bodyguards, because i fear for his life.

By seemingly supporting Satanyahu in his crazy wish to attack Iran, he risked to split the MAGA movement, which believes his promise to NOT start new wars and terminate the existing one (Ukraine). And the MAGA revolution is his real POWER. So now he says: You want to attack Iran ? OK. But we have our own troubles, so good luck ! There are NO huge fleets around the ME and Satanyahu had announced to attack Iran, so they would be prepared. The conviction that the Regime would collapse has been proved to be incorrect, but it was a gamble. Now the Air-defences are being repaired, with the Russian support in the suddenly signed treaty it looks like Satanyahu's gamble was wrong. It took 🕌Iran very, very long to decide to sign the Partnership Agreement with 🇷🇺#Russia. My sensing tells me this was because it included a 'NO NUKES' for Iran paragraph...

It does however guarantee Russian Support including intelligence, Military Technology and if i am not wrong, even direct support in conflicts... This will mean, that the RISK OF IRAN SPEEDY DEVELOPING SOME NUKES is now unnecessary & highly UNLIKELY. By the way... Pakistan has announced, that in the case Iran is NUKED by Satanyahu, they will Nuke that Pirate Nation.🙏We will see.

2. Will Trump stop the US-involvement in the Ukraine War ? The Monster in the City of London, where the shadows are and the EVIL Lies and Narratives are being brewed, had as main focus: Force Trump to keep supporting the Biden-policy by sending AID and Intelligence support. It is not yet certain, but i see a 62.5 % likelihood that he will slowly withdraw the coming months.

OK. I am ready to react on questions on these 2 points.

For those who like to hear more of a narrative, i point at this video by Glenn Diesen on June 15 with Alex Krainer: 'Iran as the Graveyard of the American Empire':

->https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ASUeEhYLscg

Cassandra

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Nick's avatar

Alex was on Commodity Culture on Friday after the Trump posts.

I think he was in shock- and spoke honestly about what Trump had done to his credibility.

By the time he was with Glenn, he had convinced himself no one could be so dumb as to do what Trump appeared to have done, so he rationalized that it must be 5d strategy to fuck over the city of london cartel.

The city of london cartel owns Trump. They bailed him out many times.

They put him back in office to execute the cut throat plans they have to try to start wars that they hope to win and retain their control.

They killed JFK & RFK to stop their attempt to end the Federal Reserve.

They arranged WW1 & WW2 to preserve & increase their power.

War against Russia now.

6 countries taken out in the Middle East.

Do you really think they would hesitate to kill Trump if he was a threat to them?

Trump is fucked. No world leader takes him or America seriously now.

Not Putin.

Not Xi.

Not Iran.

If he attacks Iran he is super fucked.

Trump has been a disaster for Americans.

As someone who understands the American empire must collapse so the rest of the world can have a better future- I support the actions of President Trump.

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Thank you Nick.

I recognise your sensing. But "the proof of the pudding is in the eating". So i wait till i have tasted it.

Meaning: If Trump becomes complicit, decides to attack Iran, i agree to your vision. I dare say that NOBODY knows what goes on in Trumps head. That was clear to me from the beginning of his first term I even was thinking he is Autistic and a master in Masking, even better than i was in my working life, hiding behind masks to derail attempts to stop me by sawing off the legs from under my chair (as we say in Dutch)...

So i will wait until the moment the pudding can be eaten.

Short: I do NOT listen to Words and Narratives. I believe in what i see happening. Not the Narrative Matrix, but the Wordless Reality.

Cassandra

PS1. “For there is never anything but the present, and if one cannot live there, one cannot live anywhere.” (Alan Watts)

PS2. There is NO CAUSE & EFFECT, because TIME DOES NOT EXIST, THE WHOLE UNIVERSE IS INVOLVED IN THE FALLING OF ONE LEAVE FROM A TREE.

PS3. There is NO EGO, or at least it is a PING-PONG-BALL, NOT A PING-PONG-BAT...

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

I add some info that i just got today.

This is what i tweeted:

US GETTING ITS CARRIERS TOWARDS #IRAN ⁉️ - Look at the Map.

Map->https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GtpTDCJWAAAFxx9?format=jpg

CVN-70 CARL VINSON is in the Indian Ocean, out of range of Iran and Yemen

CVD-68 NIMITZ is in Malacca Strait, 2 weeks from Arab Sea.

CVN-73 GEORGE WASHINGTON is in the Philippine Sea, 5 weeks sailing to the Arab Sea

CVN-77 George Bush is at US East Coast, 4 weeks to the East Mediterranean where they can be sunk by Hezbollah, Yemen and Iran.

The other Carriers are non-operational (!) And notice that those fleets have a limited cargo of air-defense and other missiles. They have to return to a home-base once in a while.

Conclusion: It is either a SHOW OF ARMS, or at least needs 2-4 weeks to be able to add to 'help' the Zionist Predators.

Cassandra

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Perseus's avatar

Very sensible to post in peace and not be driven by this stupid cacophony. If I didn't have my dog, which I can't easily take on a plane, I would have flown to Tehran immediately on June 12 because the regime in Tel Aviv won the no-confidence vote by one vote and then immediately started bombing at night, probably at the request of the Talmundist Nazis. And if the UK (once again the biggest disgrace) doesn't want to see its bases in rubble and its spies in black bags, it's better to keep quiet. There's something to be said for Trump staying relatively cool if this isn't a game of good cop - bad cop...

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Tom Welsh's avatar

Is there any significance to their choice of date: Friday 13th, the start of their Sabbath? Did they really expect it to be all over by Saturday morning? Or were they hoping to vilify Iran for "attacking us on our holy day of rest"?

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Perseus's avatar

yes, and that’s why I wrote a piece this morning about the day… It also should not be forgotten Netanjahu narrowly avoided defeat on 12 June in favour of a vote of no confidence in his government. Did the so called civilised world really start all this based on regime change for the win? Even after the Ukraine fiasco? Brave choice if that is the case.

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Ngungu's avatar

For the Jews the number 13 brings luck, and indeed Friaday is the holy shabbat.

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Tom Welsh's avatar

Thanks, Ngungu. I love the way my half-informed comments on Substack elicit substantial information from those who know more!

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Ngungu's avatar

I would not call your comments "half-informed", they are good comments, hence my upvotes on a number of them.

Unfortunately, though perhaps it is just as well, one cannot know everything, so with an open mind, which you obviously have, one keeps learning. In fact, having been retired for 12 years now, I have come to realize that the essential thing, or I should say 1 thing among others, is to keep learning until the very end. That is the only way to remain sane and interested in life.

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Anubis's avatar
3dEdited

Your half-informed comment elicited substantial bullsh-t, in this case. I could go into a schpiel on fortuitous numbers in Judaism, considered symbolically significant or "lucky," due to their appearance in sacred texts, mystical tradition (Kabbalah), or cultural associations. But basically, 7 and 18 are biggies. 40 and 3 and 10 and 12 - maybe 26.

I'm sure that there was significance to their choice of date and time. But "Friday the 13th?" Nah.

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S W H S P A's avatar

Is this a signal or clue?,-- "1 4 th Jul “The Israeli embassy in New Zealand has shut as part of a worldwide closure of the country’s diplomatic missions,." ,,,,, that Israel is going to do something so very very bad that it’s WORSE than their present Ghetto Liquidation and Ethnic Cleansing activities.

Israel threatens the city of Tehran: “Tehran will Burn.” NUKEs? https://youtu.be/y6N20PF210I

Has the "worldwide closure of the ( genocidal ) country’s diplomatic missions", been scrutinized in western media?,, it got light coverage here in New Zealand and the reporting we did get just parrots the Israeli embassy's weak excuse for leaving along with repeating their hyped "existential threat" language.

It looks like they are trying to set the scene ,,,,,,,,, Israel "Faces Immediate Existential Threat" from Iran. That's NUKE use Green Light. Prophetic War. https://youtu.be/_rPeAaB5CtQ

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Thank you Pedro...

I point you at the message from Pakistan, that said: If Israel Nukes Tehran, we will Nuke Israel...

->https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jBH7uM1Vxnk

Cassandra

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Anubis's avatar

Why would Israel do that when they've been destroying things and specific people in Iran for days, seemingly at will? Uttar Pradesh based CNN affiliate.

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Ngungu's avatar

14th July is a long way away, will the genocidal sewer even be in existence? If it is, and decides to nuke Iran, Iran will suffer, maybe even lose 1 or 2 cities, but then the sewer will definitely be turned into a parking lot in short order.

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Glasshopper's avatar

There's suggestion Pakistan is helping Iran. How can that be when they jailed there own leader at the behest of the US?

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Ismaele's avatar
5dEdited

It's more than as a suggestion. ;)

As I reported in my article in the link below, yesterday Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif said that his country "will protect Iranian interests. Iranians are our brothers, and their grief and pain are shared".

https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/operations-true-promise-3-and-rising

Also, earlier today Pepe Escobar has said that reliable sources and eyewitnesses from Belucistan, Rimdan, Saravan and Taftan reported that they had seen unusual movement of military cargo (including missiles) from Pakistan to Iran!

https://t.me/rocknrollgeopolitics/15776

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Tom Welsh's avatar

There is actually a big difference. Framing a single politician, no matter how distinguished and popular, is one thing; helping to resist an attack that can easily be seen as against Islam is another. Remember, jihad is defined as defence of the Muslim faith and community.

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

That is because Religious reasons are more important than political ones.

At least for this Islamist country.

Cassandra

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Gio DM's avatar

How did Russia help Iran's comms and AD? and how did you know about this?

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Julian Macfarlane's avatar

This has been reported by various sources.

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Antonia bewley's avatar

Please proof read Julian! Iraq is not Iran.

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Julian Macfarlane's avatar

I actually DID proofread. You should have seen the article before I did it!

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JimmieOakland's avatar

Boy, they never let you forget!

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Franz Kafka's avatar

Love it. Not at all premature either. The writing was on the wall. Thank you amigo. Duran and others are still tethered to the mainstream media, though they attack that soft as liguid poo target all the time in an entertaining fashion. You have cut straight to the chase instead.

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David G. Tatman's avatar

If the US uses heavy bombers against Iran (and so far, there is no indication we will, as leadership in Washington consistently repeats we are not acting offensively against Iran - Israel is), they will almost certainly be used to launch ALCMs (air launched cruise missiles), not fly over Iran and drop gravity bombs. So, maybe not such juicy targets after all. If the Iranian leadership is wise, they will not strike at US or UK or French bases in the Middle East (or elsewhere, for that matter). They may publicly link Israel and the USA, but to date, the USA does not seem to have undertaken any offensive actions against Iran - it's all Israel offensively against Iran this time.

Closure of the Strait of Hormuz is also a double edged sword. Iran may be able to do so (for a while), but Iran itself is vulnerable to blockade by sea. Most of that oil it exports leaves Iran by tanker, not by pipeline or rail (both of which are highly vulnerable to sabotage, special forces strikes, and cruise missile strikes on critical nodes and gap crossings.) Wars tend to go on for a long time, and to have twists and turns unanticipated by both (all?) sides. To quote a line from singer/songwriter Jimmy Buffet (RIP), "the god's honest truth is its not that simple."

And the (war) elephant in the room remains nuclear weapons.

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litoralis's avatar

do you mean the huge stockpile of nuclear missiles Israel actually has or the ones Iran allegedly has but doesnt

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David G. Tatman's avatar

Yes. But there are other players out there with nukes as well. Russia and China both have major equities in Iran. Iran as a partner nation is a major source of Shahed and possibly Shaheen strike drones for Russia in its SMO with Ukraine. China has an on-going 25 year security agreement with Iran, the full terms of which have never been publicly disclosed, and which run far deeper than most might imagine. Pakistan is a potential contributor (perhaps sub rosa, but they are, at least currently, the only Islamic nation with a confirmed nuclear arsenal) to Iran as is wild card North Korea. Before you are inclined to dismiss Pakistan as a potential player, remember that they almost certainly contributed, at the minimum, knowledge to North Korea's nuclear weapons program, and possibly more. And remember that North Korea is supplying Russia with actual train loads of ammunition, and actual troops, who are engaged with Russia in combat against Ukraine. Would Pyongyang stand to gain by secretly supplying Iran with a nuclear device? Maybe. "North Korea has a legacy of arms exports to countries and non-state actors embroiled in conflict." See: https://georgetownsecuritystudiesreview.org/2020/12/01/arms-for-oil-how-north-korea-and-iran-facilitate-each-others-security-strategies/ I personally have no idea to what extent Pyongyang may think it could benefit by supporting Tehran. But not only cannot it not be summarily be ruled out; there is historic evidence of just such a support relationship. It is hard to fully discern the logic behind some of the command decisions made by North Korea's leadership. As I said, the (war) elephant in the room remains nuclear weapons. That equation runs far, far beyond just Israel's (unacknowledged) stockpile thereof. And please, for all those readers who summarily dismiss Iranian nuclear weapons intentions, NOBODY ON THE PLANET builds massive enrichment centrifuge complexes unless they are enriching uranium to weapons grade levels. There is NO/NO reason for highly enriched uranium (HEU) except for nuclear weapons. Nuclear power plants do NOT run on HEU. Never have, never will. Not required, for one, and too dern dangerous, for two. The only reason for building massive HEU centrifuge banks is to create enough HEU to support a nuclear weapons program. Iran had (perhaps still has, depending on the effectiveness of the Israeli bombing campaign) a massive HEU-focused uranium enrichment program. There is no/no reason to have such if all you seek is a nuclear power program. Does Iran have legitimate needs for a nuclear power program? Yes, it almost certainly does. There is no telling how long their oil will last, and modern Persian civilization is dependent on electric power, as are most modern urban economies. Does such a program need HEU? Nope. So, why does/did Iran have an extensive uranium enrichment program? To (aspirationally) build nuclear weapons with. That is simple truth. How MUCH HEU have they produced? I don't know. But they know. Some western intelligence agencies may have good guesses. The Israelis. to whom that information is the single most important national intelligence question, may even have better knowledge. But they may not actually know, either. In every country I am aware of, nuclear weapons programs are NOT/NOT part of normal classified intelligence. That knowledge usually, normally, almost always lives in its own tightly controlled information compartment(s). As I quoted, its just not that simple.

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litoralis's avatar

ive read elsewhere that Iran keeps its uranium enrichment program in place to help protect it against Israel/US aggression. Unlike say Libya that surrendered its weapons and then got smashed as it became defenceless.

Iran over the years has attempted to put in place a nuclear free middle east policy however Israel/US veto it. Iran had complied with the previous no nukes agreement in exchange for not crippling its economy financially with sanctions. Trump tore that up.

while theres currently a fatwah against developing nuclear weapons that could change if its sovereignty is threatened, as it is now.

anyway thats my take, thanks for the chat. interesting stuff

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Tom Welsh's avatar

I would say it's not even (primarily) a question of "major equities". More Ben Franklin's old warning: "We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately".

I am sure that everyone of any consequence in Russia, China, and some other countries - down to the lowliest private soldier - is acutely aware that the Washington plan is to destroy Iran, then Russia, and finally China.

Accordingly, they cannot afford to abandon Iran.

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David Gottfried's avatar

People have been waiting for this war for so long, and are so apt to thing of Israelis and Iranians as ardently desirous of going up in flames for "the cause," that they forget: Historically Israel and Iran have often had very fine relations and this war is a pity --- and that's an understatement.

https://davidgottfried.substack.com/p/israel-and-iran-a-wisp-of-comity

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Michael Golden's avatar

When then tell you to "Die, Jew" — you do what you have to do: https://shorturl.at/qCzcr

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