I think its the good cop/bad cop routine, with bad cop gone rogue. US proposed ceasefire for public consumption/ plausible deniability & gave Israel almost $9B. Instead of agreeing or *even waiting til after election*, Israel went ahead with bunker busters also provided by US.
Duplicitous evil sticking it to duplicitous evil.
Go to bed with psychopaths. Wake up with knife in back. 🤷
I agree. As a citizen of the United States I am apprehensive about the change that is happening, because you know, I know, and the whole world knows the United States is going to freak the fuck out and it’s going to get messy, real messy. And ugly. And undoubtedly bloody, because it’s the United States, so all the millions of guns are going to come out. And you know what? I don’t care. I don’t. This country is so lost right now. I’m not one to spout some nonsense about the need for a good bloodletting to cure all that ails us, but it’s going to happen and there’s no sense in pretending that the people of this country are going to handle all of the chickens coming home to roost in a graceful and dignified manner.
Thank you. As in economics, the problem is not so much prediction -- but the timing of the events predicted. It is also easy to see destinations but far more difficult to know what the journey will be like.
Re, Iron Dome . This system has zero capability against Ballistic Missiles . It is designed to deal with Low Altitude , Relatively Slow home made missiles like copies of Katyusha Rockets made by HAMAS etc . So there would be no point in Iran bothering to disable it . An intercepting missile needs to be traveling at about the same speed (or better )as it's target
Thanks for the shout-out... Now on to examining this article "critically"...
"In other words, it was not in the interests of the US to join a “plot” to kill Nasrallah"
Almost not worth reading the rest of the article with something that simplistic starting it off.
First of all, I never said the US would start the war before the election. However, I don't believe the neocons running the show care at all about 1) the election, 2) the economy, or 3) the Democrats. In fact, it's idiotic to suggest that they do.
The neocons and the other PTB that are running the show will be around no matter who is in the White Hour or Congress. The neocons in particular know that Trump is going to follow the exact same policies that Biden has done, if not more so. The oil companies (who will profit enormously from any massive oil spike), the military-industrial complex (who will suck tax dollars out of the electorate to finance a Middle East war arms production spike - not to mention China), and the banks that finance these entities (do you know exactly how their portfolios and balances are arranged?) will all profit accordingly.
Here we have someone who appears delusional enough to believe that the reaction of the electorate in the West, including the US, is of any significance in what those governments and the PTB behind them decide to do. And therefore whatever happens to the economy doesn't matter to them as long as they can continue to profit to whatever degree profit remains possible. Not to mention that whoever controls the money will profit no matter what state an economy is in. If you have all the money - however debased - everyone else is for sale.
Besides which, the ENTIRE POINT OF THIS EXERCISE (in caps so you get the point, as you say) is to gain control of the Middle East oil, to deny said oil to China, to weaken Russia by removing an ally (Iran) from the region and regain hegemony in the region.
These goals - money, power and hegemony - are so obvious and so far above mere concern for another pointless American election that it is idiotic to make the suggestion that what happens in the next six weeks is going to control upcoming events.
Not to mention further that wars, once started, have their own momentum and progression. If the US and Israel decide to strike Iran within the next six weeks, Iran will likely go all in. Hezbollah and the rest of the Axis may also go all in. At the point, with Israel under the brunt of major infrastructure and military damage - and potentially civilian casualties - the US will have little choice but to escalate the conflict.
So the election is irrelevant and the economy is irrelevant.
As for the rest of the article, it's not wrong. The US and Israel most likely can not win this upcoming war. I've gone into some detail in my articles why that is.
But as I've said repeatedly, the fact that the US can't win, and that it might bring Russia and China in to the point of threatening WWIII, does NOT mean that the neocon crazies, the Zionist crazies in Israel and the PTB (if not all the PTB) won't escalate the war either now or later.
For those who care to read the details - critically - here are the four articles I wrote explaining how this war inevitable, what are the capabilities of the parties (Correlation of Forces and Means), how it might play out (with a little help from an AI), and what are the possibilities of it going nuclear..
Armageddon in the Middle East - Part 1 - Why It's Inevitable
First, I don't own a microphone (except my phone, of course, which is crap.) And second, I'd probably get your podcast canceled by whoever is hosting it. :--)
Trump has not been cached yet in a Blackmail situation (like receiving AIPAC money, or using Epstein's Isle girls), like all Billionaires and many Politicians are (said Elon Musk).
So he is a danger for the real powers. That is why they tried to Jail him and he has been targetted in an assassination attempt twice. The first President/candidate after JFK.
Trump is "A Loose Cannon". He's gotta be stopped...
He's not that loose. He is, as President Putin has said, "unreliable." Meaning that he may do something unpredictably stupid at any time, whereas Biden/Harris will do something predictably stupid.
And if you think someone doesn't have dirt on Trump, trust me, someone does. They're probably just using it for their own benefit and aren't interested in influencing US policy.
Which doesn't matter anyway, because Trump is a narcissistic moron who can be manipulated by the last person he talked to.
Anyone who believes Trump is going to be a better President than the crash test dummy or the cackling cunt is delusional.
Presidents - all Presidents - are figureheads. They control nothing and are utterly helpless against the combined forces of the PTB in all the fiefdoms those PTB operate in.
I personally don't give a rat's ass what happens in the election. The course of the next X years is being set by forces outside the control of the candidates. The Middle East war is inevitable, the Ukraine war will fail inevitably, and if the US military and economy survives the Middle East war (and we don't get WWIII as a result), then the next war with China is inevitable.
Doesn't matter who runs or wins and it never did. Only fools believe otherwise.
"Predictable" = "reliable". "Unpredictable" = "Unreliable." That was my point and Putin's point. "Reliable" doesn't mean you trust them in foreign affairs, only that you can predict them. Several people made that point after Putin's remarks, not just me.
A BRICS summit coming up. Is it not likely that Israel will bomb it, try to take out Putin, Xi and lord knows who else? Wouldn't that be Israel's style? What are the chances? Is Kazan within striking distance of Israeli minutions?
It is VERY VERY Busy on my Geopolitical - and now also on Military sources.
This is one of your best articles (content) of late.
But i think the seemingly political divide between de Zionist Gang in Palestine and the one in the White House are just made to confuse the US-Voters and the World.
Both are a Proxy for the real Powers that try to DESTROY that part of the WORLD they cannot control...
Just Saying...
Sander
PS. Thank you for the informative Military maps. I used to know, during the Syrian War, where all important Ships and Defences were located and such. Time... Time... What is TIME ?
.
- TIME -
Wanting to learn from the Stars where Thou, TIME, have gone,
It appears Thou art passing away with them, without returning with them.
But alas, how I imagine that Thou art always volatilized;
Thou remains, Time, always unmoved and only I, I pass by . . .
I hadn't run across the telomere studies. So I did a run down of studies. Older studies DO show effects on telomere length, according to some researchers as a result of oxidative stress from the caffeine.
Tucker, L. A. Caffeine consumption and telomere length in men and women of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Nutr. Metab. 14, 10 (2017).
Most studies show coffee lengthens life -- whatever its effects on telomere length.
That said, the studies that indicate a shortening of telomeres appear to identify INSTANT coffee as the culprit.
Here's a quote from a 2023 study:
Coffee, as one of the most popular beverages, has been studied for its effect on health [16,17,18]. Several studies have investigated the link between coffee consumption and telomere length, but the results were controversial. A cross-sectional study of 5826 adults based on the National Health and Examination Survey (NHANES) found a positive correlation between coffee consumption and telomere length [19]. Another cross-sectional study based on 4780 women in the Nurses’ Health Study also found that coffee consumption was positively associated with telomere length [20]. A random control trial (RCT) of 37 chronic hepatitis C patients still found this positive relationship between them [21]. The other three observational studies, which respectively included 1638, 840, and 28 subjects, found no statistical association between telomere length and coffee consumption [22,23,24]. Coffee contained chlorogenic acid, caffeine, diterpenoids, and other active substances, while commercial instant coffee also contained sugar, creamer, and other flavoring agents which may account for different health effects [25,26]. Previous studies were limited by small sample sizes, and they neither classified the coffee type nor explored the causality between coffee consumption and telomere length.
I think its the good cop/bad cop routine, with bad cop gone rogue. US proposed ceasefire for public consumption/ plausible deniability & gave Israel almost $9B. Instead of agreeing or *even waiting til after election*, Israel went ahead with bunker busters also provided by US.
Duplicitous evil sticking it to duplicitous evil.
Go to bed with psychopaths. Wake up with knife in back. 🤷
Lots of $$ for war. Known for A,mericans hurting from natural disasters.
Sadly, yes. Hawaii all over again. Perhaps now more 'murkins will wake up.
BRICS will rise and end the hegemony of the US Empire and its "ally" Izrealhell. It can't come soon enough!
I agree. As a citizen of the United States I am apprehensive about the change that is happening, because you know, I know, and the whole world knows the United States is going to freak the fuck out and it’s going to get messy, real messy. And ugly. And undoubtedly bloody, because it’s the United States, so all the millions of guns are going to come out. And you know what? I don’t care. I don’t. This country is so lost right now. I’m not one to spout some nonsense about the need for a good bloodletting to cure all that ails us, but it’s going to happen and there’s no sense in pretending that the people of this country are going to handle all of the chickens coming home to roost in a graceful and dignified manner.
🥴 🙏
Sander
Julian, this is your bet column yet-- incisive, prescient and critical. Congratulations.
Buffalo Bob
Thank you. As in economics, the problem is not so much prediction -- but the timing of the events predicted. It is also easy to see destinations but far more difficult to know what the journey will be like.
Very true
Re, Iron Dome . This system has zero capability against Ballistic Missiles . It is designed to deal with Low Altitude , Relatively Slow home made missiles like copies of Katyusha Rockets made by HAMAS etc . So there would be no point in Iran bothering to disable it . An intercepting missile needs to be traveling at about the same speed (or better )as it's target
Good point I think. Iron Dome was created looking backwards at previous wars.
Coffee good. Israel evil.
Thanks for the shout-out... Now on to examining this article "critically"...
"In other words, it was not in the interests of the US to join a “plot” to kill Nasrallah"
Almost not worth reading the rest of the article with something that simplistic starting it off.
First of all, I never said the US would start the war before the election. However, I don't believe the neocons running the show care at all about 1) the election, 2) the economy, or 3) the Democrats. In fact, it's idiotic to suggest that they do.
The neocons and the other PTB that are running the show will be around no matter who is in the White Hour or Congress. The neocons in particular know that Trump is going to follow the exact same policies that Biden has done, if not more so. The oil companies (who will profit enormously from any massive oil spike), the military-industrial complex (who will suck tax dollars out of the electorate to finance a Middle East war arms production spike - not to mention China), and the banks that finance these entities (do you know exactly how their portfolios and balances are arranged?) will all profit accordingly.
Here we have someone who appears delusional enough to believe that the reaction of the electorate in the West, including the US, is of any significance in what those governments and the PTB behind them decide to do. And therefore whatever happens to the economy doesn't matter to them as long as they can continue to profit to whatever degree profit remains possible. Not to mention that whoever controls the money will profit no matter what state an economy is in. If you have all the money - however debased - everyone else is for sale.
Besides which, the ENTIRE POINT OF THIS EXERCISE (in caps so you get the point, as you say) is to gain control of the Middle East oil, to deny said oil to China, to weaken Russia by removing an ally (Iran) from the region and regain hegemony in the region.
These goals - money, power and hegemony - are so obvious and so far above mere concern for another pointless American election that it is idiotic to make the suggestion that what happens in the next six weeks is going to control upcoming events.
Not to mention further that wars, once started, have their own momentum and progression. If the US and Israel decide to strike Iran within the next six weeks, Iran will likely go all in. Hezbollah and the rest of the Axis may also go all in. At the point, with Israel under the brunt of major infrastructure and military damage - and potentially civilian casualties - the US will have little choice but to escalate the conflict.
So the election is irrelevant and the economy is irrelevant.
As for the rest of the article, it's not wrong. The US and Israel most likely can not win this upcoming war. I've gone into some detail in my articles why that is.
But as I've said repeatedly, the fact that the US can't win, and that it might bring Russia and China in to the point of threatening WWIII, does NOT mean that the neocon crazies, the Zionist crazies in Israel and the PTB (if not all the PTB) won't escalate the war either now or later.
For those who care to read the details - critically - here are the four articles I wrote explaining how this war inevitable, what are the capabilities of the parties (Correlation of Forces and Means), how it might play out (with a little help from an AI), and what are the possibilities of it going nuclear..
Armageddon in the Middle East - Part 1 - Why It's Inevitable
https://richardstevenhack.substack.com/p/armageddon-in-the-middle-east-part-a9a
Armageddon in The Middle East - Part 2 - Correlation of Forces and Methods
https://richardstevenhack.substack.com/p/armageddon-in-the-middle-east-part
Armageddon in The Middle East - Part 3 - Scenarios and Implications
https://richardstevenhack.substack.com/p/armageddon-in-the-middle-east-part-8a2
Armageddon in The Middle East - Part 4 - The Nuclear Option
https://richardstevenhack.substack.com/p/armageddon-in-the-middle-east-part-b3e
Interesting points. Maybe we should do a podcast...LOL.
First, I don't own a microphone (except my phone, of course, which is crap.) And second, I'd probably get your podcast canceled by whoever is hosting it. :--)
Thank you for your elaborate vision.
I'd like to make one remark though.
Trump has not been cached yet in a Blackmail situation (like receiving AIPAC money, or using Epstein's Isle girls), like all Billionaires and many Politicians are (said Elon Musk).
So he is a danger for the real powers. That is why they tried to Jail him and he has been targetted in an assassination attempt twice. The first President/candidate after JFK.
Trump is "A Loose Cannon". He's gotta be stopped...
Just saying.
Sander
He's not that loose. He is, as President Putin has said, "unreliable." Meaning that he may do something unpredictably stupid at any time, whereas Biden/Harris will do something predictably stupid.
And if you think someone doesn't have dirt on Trump, trust me, someone does. They're probably just using it for their own benefit and aren't interested in influencing US policy.
Which doesn't matter anyway, because Trump is a narcissistic moron who can be manipulated by the last person he talked to.
Anyone who believes Trump is going to be a better President than the crash test dummy or the cackling cunt is delusional.
Presidents - all Presidents - are figureheads. They control nothing and are utterly helpless against the combined forces of the PTB in all the fiefdoms those PTB operate in.
I personally don't give a rat's ass what happens in the election. The course of the next X years is being set by forces outside the control of the candidates. The Middle East war is inevitable, the Ukraine war will fail inevitably, and if the US military and economy survives the Middle East war (and we don't get WWIII as a result), then the next war with China is inevitable.
Doesn't matter who runs or wins and it never did. Only fools believe otherwise.
Putin did not say he was "unreliable" --if I am not mistaken. Just that Biden was predictable, as an old-school politician.
"Predictable" = "reliable". "Unpredictable" = "Unreliable." That was my point and Putin's point. "Reliable" doesn't mean you trust them in foreign affairs, only that you can predict them. Several people made that point after Putin's remarks, not just me.
A BRICS summit coming up. Is it not likely that Israel will bomb it, try to take out Putin, Xi and lord knows who else? Wouldn't that be Israel's style? What are the chances? Is Kazan within striking distance of Israeli minutions?
They could try and five minutes later there would be no Israel just a large patch of burned ground.
Can't disagree with that.
Bliss t’was it to be alive! Oh happy, happy day!
Sorry for my late reaction...
It is VERY VERY Busy on my Geopolitical - and now also on Military sources.
This is one of your best articles (content) of late.
But i think the seemingly political divide between de Zionist Gang in Palestine and the one in the White House are just made to confuse the US-Voters and the World.
Both are a Proxy for the real Powers that try to DESTROY that part of the WORLD they cannot control...
Just Saying...
Sander
PS. Thank you for the informative Military maps. I used to know, during the Syrian War, where all important Ships and Defences were located and such. Time... Time... What is TIME ?
.
- TIME -
Wanting to learn from the Stars where Thou, TIME, have gone,
It appears Thou art passing away with them, without returning with them.
But alas, how I imagine that Thou art always volatilized;
Thou remains, Time, always unmoved and only I, I pass by . . .
.
- Louis de Góngora y Argote ~1600.
.
US Carrier positions on Oct. 08:
->https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/US_CSG_locations_08_10_2024.jpg
.
By the way; what does PTB mean? Anyone?
Powers That Be? Pisspoor Timing Bytheway? Place To Be. Push The Button. https://www.acronymfinder.com/PTB.html
Thank you. Much obliged!
Julian, you never fail to fascinate and inspire! Thank you for being so wonky.
I hadn't run across the telomere studies. So I did a run down of studies. Older studies DO show effects on telomere length, according to some researchers as a result of oxidative stress from the caffeine.
Tucker, L. A. Caffeine consumption and telomere length in men and women of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Nutr. Metab. 14, 10 (2017).
Yet:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S002231662300651X This 2016 study shows the opposite
However, coffee is incredibly rich in antioxidants. More recent studies do not show effects on telomere length ,
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-26186-y
Most studies show coffee lengthens life -- whatever its effects on telomere length.
That said, the studies that indicate a shortening of telomeres appear to identify INSTANT coffee as the culprit.
Here's a quote from a 2023 study:
Coffee, as one of the most popular beverages, has been studied for its effect on health [16,17,18]. Several studies have investigated the link between coffee consumption and telomere length, but the results were controversial. A cross-sectional study of 5826 adults based on the National Health and Examination Survey (NHANES) found a positive correlation between coffee consumption and telomere length [19]. Another cross-sectional study based on 4780 women in the Nurses’ Health Study also found that coffee consumption was positively associated with telomere length [20]. A random control trial (RCT) of 37 chronic hepatitis C patients still found this positive relationship between them [21]. The other three observational studies, which respectively included 1638, 840, and 28 subjects, found no statistical association between telomere length and coffee consumption [22,23,24]. Coffee contained chlorogenic acid, caffeine, diterpenoids, and other active substances, while commercial instant coffee also contained sugar, creamer, and other flavoring agents which may account for different health effects [25,26]. Previous studies were limited by small sample sizes, and they neither classified the coffee type nor explored the causality between coffee consumption and telomere length.
Yeah, I know, I am wonky wonk.