I highly respect Larry Johnson, too! But when someone bases his analysis on LLM output, I lose interest. That's because LLMs don't "think", even though they claim to do that - they SEARCH for the most probable output matching the given input. That's not intelligent at all, and furthermore it's a highly biased response, reflecting the bias in the training material. The learning material is the internet, which is full of BS, and so are the LLM responses. Sh*t in -> sh*t out.
I've also criticized the (likewise highly respected) Simplicius for his "game-theoretic" digression. The result that Iran should do a first strike, might be optimal under some very narrow constraints, but given the ample and highly irrational propaganda context this "game" is embedded in, it would have been Iran shooting badly into its own foot.
I frequently watch German professor Dr. Christian Rieck on YouTube, who takes game-theoretic approaches to contemporary political situations, and I see that the big problem is to assign proper weights to the decision matrix - where do they come from? Dr. Rieck usually takes them out of his sleeve, without detailed explanation. These arbitrary numbers then enter a mathematical formula, and however they are chosen, the decisions might vary drastically. Quantization of qualitative data is always a big problem in science.
Bottom line: Careful with pseudo-scientific methods, like AI model prompting, and game theory without exhaustive and carefully chosen parameters! They usually create more confusion than explanation.
Your analysis is obviously more accurate. Now, a question: shouldn't the Shia, Talmudic, and Christian Zionist religious factors influence the analysis?
Nice games. We know that the Israel regime is crazy, but we do not know how crazy they are.
If they see that they are losing, how careful even the Iranias are, and decide to use a nuke or two, which type of game is it then?
When the Iranians make the bomb(s) ready and convince Israel that they will us it, what game then?
My theory is: Nukes are there to aviod getting nuked.
If Iran has no nukes, Israel can nuke them and just gets conventional response. When Israel knows that they will get nuked as response (with more dramatic outcome than if Iran gets nuked) they will abstain from using nukes.
Eschatological thinking is an issue. But the catch is that no one really wants to die. Eschatological beliefs are a way of denying death. The Messiah comes and saves the True Believers who live forever. All the "Others" die. The catch is that in real life situations people try hard to get killed and they seek to protect those closest to them. This results in cognitive dissonance and further irrationality. The zionists are provoking the Iranians to fight a conventional war which, if it proceeds to its logical conclusion, will destroy their society, "Zion" will have to relocate,
Tu analisis es obviamente mas preciso. Ahora una consulta: no deberia el factor religioso Chii, Talmudico y Cristiano Sionista, influir en los analisis?
All of these perceived Ai or LLM models obviously don't take into account psychopaths. How can any programme realistically predict Netanyahu or Trumps behaviour or decisions? They're both as far from rational as any Western countries leaders I've ever witnessed. Anyone basing their assumptions on computer predictions. Have a helluva lot more faith in them than I'll ever have. We only have to witness Trump talking from 1 hour to the next. He's out of his mind, he hasn't got a clue what he's saying. The man has no concept of foreign countries or cultures. Even amongst so called US allies, Trump is seen as a complete idiot never mind adversaries.
I think Professor Jiang is right about the eschatological aspect of this war. The Khazarian Zionists (Chabad Lubavitch and others) are driven by End Time madness and the Greater Israel-Third Temple obsession. Game theory is just a theory, just like Jiang's not so original ideas.
If Iran is winning a conventional war, then Israel is losing the conventional war. The question is whether Israel will take the loss, pack up and go back home to Poland or resort to non-conventional nuclear weapons? What will Iran’s response be? What is the deterrence?
Forget the AI theories - I give it another week - as Vox Day declared on March 6:
"I give it about one week before the American public starts demanding that Fake Trump shut down his air war for Israel, withdraw the US Navy, and effectively surrender to Iran. He doesn’t have another 100 days. He may not have another two weeks, especially given the fact that the Iranians have already forced the USS Lincoln’s carrier group to retreat with a warning shot aimed at the carrier itself."
I'm not sure "rational acting" applies when it comes to Israel's political and military policies. These are, after all, a bunch of people who see themselves as Chosen by the only deity around (they claim), while the rest of us are at best second best, and at worst, sub-human. (Bibi's used the term sub-human about Gazans multiple times in the last few years, and I suspect his cabinet isn't in disagreement.) They have threatened to nuke Iran before, and shut off all discussion of what they think or do on any issue with a single word (anti-semitism). Given this state as one party to the conflict--arguably irrational and potentially violent in the extreme--what scenarios might Iran pursue that result in a world where Israel and it can peaceably co-exist?
My thoughts lead me to think the Israelis will pull out the nukes soon, especially if Trump flips a coin and decides he's won against Iran and can leave the theater. If that's the case, and I was an Iranian, I would want to convince the Israelis that we could irradiate their land and make it just as uninhabitable as they could ours. Mutually Assured Nukeage may not impress the Israelis sufficiently, even with an underground test, but it's better than being nuked back to the Stone Age without any form of possible deterrence on hand.
LJ has the link to the article but he will not reply. He never does.I am careful not to insult him I think. But he is too quick in his judgments sometimes and therefore misleading.
I'm sure Trump and Netanyahu already thought of all this.........................................NOT!
As you may know, I believe that 'A I' stands for 'Ankel Izzy' who, between giving answers to all the questions in the universe, opens boxes of 'made in China' stuff in the basement at Jerry's (his nephew) Budget Center in a suburb of Tronna (Toronto).
It's a good thing you (Julian) have cats to explain all this theoretical stuff to you. I tried and failed to get it all... but then I do not have cats... or even dogs.
On a more serious note (still with the proviso that I do not really grasp most of it):
I sense that yours is a very well-explained critique and elaboration of 'game theory' and LLMs.
Perhaps you could say a few words about why the much-vaunted and cunning linguist, Chomsky, is so revered by the Talmudo-Satanist Techno-Bloc in the USA, when all his connections seem to be to the Talmudic black magic side of reality, namely, The Epstein Multi-Dimensional Conspiracy.
Why is his particular LLM so important to the Epsteinians, and their CIA?
And did Noam's visits there add to the glory of Epstein Island or did Chomsky derive his glamour from being known to visit Little Saint Iago?
I highly respect Larry Johnson, too! But when someone bases his analysis on LLM output, I lose interest. That's because LLMs don't "think", even though they claim to do that - they SEARCH for the most probable output matching the given input. That's not intelligent at all, and furthermore it's a highly biased response, reflecting the bias in the training material. The learning material is the internet, which is full of BS, and so are the LLM responses. Sh*t in -> sh*t out.
I've also criticized the (likewise highly respected) Simplicius for his "game-theoretic" digression. The result that Iran should do a first strike, might be optimal under some very narrow constraints, but given the ample and highly irrational propaganda context this "game" is embedded in, it would have been Iran shooting badly into its own foot.
I frequently watch German professor Dr. Christian Rieck on YouTube, who takes game-theoretic approaches to contemporary political situations, and I see that the big problem is to assign proper weights to the decision matrix - where do they come from? Dr. Rieck usually takes them out of his sleeve, without detailed explanation. These arbitrary numbers then enter a mathematical formula, and however they are chosen, the decisions might vary drastically. Quantization of qualitative data is always a big problem in science.
Bottom line: Careful with pseudo-scientific methods, like AI model prompting, and game theory without exhaustive and carefully chosen parameters! They usually create more confusion than explanation.
Yes, I think you are exactly right. Goedel defined the basic issues years and years ago.
excellent. This is the performative art of scientism. Dressing up something you pulled out of your ass to make it look authoritative.
Scientism is indeed art.
Your analysis is obviously more accurate. Now, a question: shouldn't the Shia, Talmudic, and Christian Zionist religious factors influence the analysis?
Yes, I think they all do
Nice games. We know that the Israel regime is crazy, but we do not know how crazy they are.
If they see that they are losing, how careful even the Iranias are, and decide to use a nuke or two, which type of game is it then?
When the Iranians make the bomb(s) ready and convince Israel that they will us it, what game then?
My theory is: Nukes are there to aviod getting nuked.
If Iran has no nukes, Israel can nuke them and just gets conventional response. When Israel knows that they will get nuked as response (with more dramatic outcome than if Iran gets nuked) they will abstain from using nukes.
Except they have a dead wish.
Eschatological thinking is an issue. But the catch is that no one really wants to die. Eschatological beliefs are a way of denying death. The Messiah comes and saves the True Believers who live forever. All the "Others" die. The catch is that in real life situations people try hard to get killed and they seek to protect those closest to them. This results in cognitive dissonance and further irrationality. The zionists are provoking the Iranians to fight a conventional war which, if it proceeds to its logical conclusion, will destroy their society, "Zion" will have to relocate,
2 + 2 = 5 for large values of 2.
Where does the "Samson Option" come in to the "game"?
Can Iran ultimately "win" (be left to exist) without a nuclear deterrent in the way of N. Korea.
North Korea could not win a conventional fraternal war. Iran can definitely win a conventional non-fraternal war.
Granted. As long as nukes are not involved.
I see the odds of this as actually less if Iran had nukes.
You are assuming "conventional" when the other side (both of them) are psychos ... with nukes. One on a "holy war" the other one "biblical".
If this keeps going there may be a point where Israel feels cornered enough.
And they ARE crazy enough.
Tu analisis es obviamente mas preciso. Ahora una consulta: no deberia el factor religioso Chii, Talmudico y Cristiano Sionista, influir en los analisis?
2+2=5 That's correct! Just yesterday I herd a young modern moron slave stating that:
0 * 36 = 0
36 * 0 = 36
So Julian try to catch up to Modern Math! The rules are being adjusted just like Genders...
One and
one, two,
three.
Robert Creeley
1, 2, 3. = Waltz.
Ah....that's my problem. I can't dance. I took a course in ballroom dancing once. And FAILED utterly. No "3" for me....sigh.
See… Innovation is endless.
All of these perceived Ai or LLM models obviously don't take into account psychopaths. How can any programme realistically predict Netanyahu or Trumps behaviour or decisions? They're both as far from rational as any Western countries leaders I've ever witnessed. Anyone basing their assumptions on computer predictions. Have a helluva lot more faith in them than I'll ever have. We only have to witness Trump talking from 1 hour to the next. He's out of his mind, he hasn't got a clue what he's saying. The man has no concept of foreign countries or cultures. Even amongst so called US allies, Trump is seen as a complete idiot never mind adversaries.
I think Professor Jiang is right about the eschatological aspect of this war. The Khazarian Zionists (Chabad Lubavitch and others) are driven by End Time madness and the Greater Israel-Third Temple obsession. Game theory is just a theory, just like Jiang's not so original ideas.
Why don't you just stick to your own analysis? - Which, if I may say so, is often incorrect as well.
This always leaves a bad aftertaste. Do your thing. Do not elaborate on others. That makes you quite small.
If Iran is winning a conventional war, then Israel is losing the conventional war. The question is whether Israel will take the loss, pack up and go back home to Poland or resort to non-conventional nuclear weapons? What will Iran’s response be? What is the deterrence?
So is Israel now the dominant partner in relation to the U.S., or is the U.S. still the engine of imperialism?
You have a poor understanding of rational action. You might what to learn more.
How about we get REAL? TWO WEEKS.....
Forget the AI theories - I give it another week - as Vox Day declared on March 6:
"I give it about one week before the American public starts demanding that Fake Trump shut down his air war for Israel, withdraw the US Navy, and effectively surrender to Iran. He doesn’t have another 100 days. He may not have another two weeks, especially given the fact that the Iranians have already forced the USS Lincoln’s carrier group to retreat with a warning shot aimed at the carrier itself."
https://voxday.net/2026/03/06/two-weeks-2/
I'm not sure "rational acting" applies when it comes to Israel's political and military policies. These are, after all, a bunch of people who see themselves as Chosen by the only deity around (they claim), while the rest of us are at best second best, and at worst, sub-human. (Bibi's used the term sub-human about Gazans multiple times in the last few years, and I suspect his cabinet isn't in disagreement.) They have threatened to nuke Iran before, and shut off all discussion of what they think or do on any issue with a single word (anti-semitism). Given this state as one party to the conflict--arguably irrational and potentially violent in the extreme--what scenarios might Iran pursue that result in a world where Israel and it can peaceably co-exist?
My thoughts lead me to think the Israelis will pull out the nukes soon, especially if Trump flips a coin and decides he's won against Iran and can leave the theater. If that's the case, and I was an Iranian, I would want to convince the Israelis that we could irradiate their land and make it just as uninhabitable as they could ours. Mutually Assured Nukeage may not impress the Israelis sufficiently, even with an underground test, but it's better than being nuked back to the Stone Age without any form of possible deterrence on hand.
It stinks, but there it is.
1 +1= 11 too. Hope Iran stays morally and ignores the Bomb as the answer to life .
why play chicken with morons?
Good feedback for Larry . He may receive little of what’s important.
LJ has the link to the article but he will not reply. He never does.I am careful not to insult him I think. But he is too quick in his judgments sometimes and therefore misleading.
I'm sure Trump and Netanyahu already thought of all this.........................................NOT!
As you may know, I believe that 'A I' stands for 'Ankel Izzy' who, between giving answers to all the questions in the universe, opens boxes of 'made in China' stuff in the basement at Jerry's (his nephew) Budget Center in a suburb of Tronna (Toronto).
It's a good thing you (Julian) have cats to explain all this theoretical stuff to you. I tried and failed to get it all... but then I do not have cats... or even dogs.
On a more serious note (still with the proviso that I do not really grasp most of it):
I sense that yours is a very well-explained critique and elaboration of 'game theory' and LLMs.
Perhaps you could say a few words about why the much-vaunted and cunning linguist, Chomsky, is so revered by the Talmudo-Satanist Techno-Bloc in the USA, when all his connections seem to be to the Talmudic black magic side of reality, namely, The Epstein Multi-Dimensional Conspiracy.
Why is his particular LLM so important to the Epsteinians, and their CIA?
And did Noam's visits there add to the glory of Epstein Island or did Chomsky derive his glamour from being known to visit Little Saint Iago?