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Tom Welsh's avatar

"He adds the obvious point that Ukrainians are increasingly tired of being cannon fodder- and at some point they will rebel".

I am surprised that they didn't do so long ago. One of my favourite David Hume quotations:

"Nothing appears more surprising to those, who consider human affairs with a philosophical eye, than the easiness with which the many are governed by the few; and the implicit submission, with which men resign their own sentiments and passions to those of their rulers. When we enquire by what means this wonder is effected, we shall find, that, as Force is always on the side of the governed, the governors have nothing to support them but opinion. It is therefore, on opinion only that government is founded; and this maxim extends to the most despotic and most military governments, as well as to the most free and most popular".

- David Hume, “Essays, Moral, Political, and Literary. Essay 4 : Of The First Principles of Government”

Of course it is significant that for over a century now the US elite have cultivated the arts of persuasion, manipulation, propaganda, and reality distortion of all kinds. Their "soft power" has turned Germans and Japanese, among others, into brainwashed slaves, and convinced Ukrainians that Russians are inhuman monsters who must be destroyed. To update a proverb, the TV is mightier than the missile.

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Nick's avatar

"Their "soft power" has turned Germans and Japanese, among others, into brainwashed slaves"

Wake up already.

They did this to 90+% of people in America, Canada, Australia, UK, Europe & Scandinavia.

The entire west is populated by brainwashed sheeple.

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Drew Currah's avatar

The US is bankrupt and has been since 2008-the only reason it is not is because the world still has confidence in the US currency.

However, that confidence is dying a bit every day-4.5% 10 year bond-Fed has lost control of the long end of the bonds-DXY below 100-gold at all time highs are all signals the US dollar is losing confidence.

In a way one can understand the US's violent military-they need to show the world they are the 'big dog'-when that mirage disappears (see Vietnam, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Ukraine, Israel) as it is doing now, the US will be an economic dystopia.

And, BTW, here in Canada we will be in an awful situation as well.

Now for the good news.....

Hmmn, sorry, can't find any ..at this time...

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m droy's avatar

I agree with the direction but not the timing. Certainly US military embarrassments (Afghanistan, Ukraine, Yemen) are not helping.

But if you are the drugs runner, small state, large corporate withe the odd $10bn of loose cash, where are you going to put it? Remember you need serious liquidity with minimum $1 billion trading lots, High quality issuers, and for most no chance of conflict with western authorities. Getting out should be as easy as getting in. You can do One or Two billion in Euros, but the big money has to be in USD.

Till that changes the USD holds up.

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Drew Currah's avatar

Yes, you are correct-that's why the change is so glacial; the blessing and curse of the Sovereign who enjoys the reserve currency is that that Sovereign always has to post a deficit in trading or current account, the curse, , or the currency can't become the basis of other central banks etc.

The blessing, as we have seen, if you are the reserve currency you can print whatever the amount as the demand is there....until your military is weak, you are more financial tricks than industrial production, your people aren't as well educated and so on.

This is what is happening to the US.

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Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

The Ledeen doctrine, about throwing a crappy little country on the wall to show the world the US means business, has been the Holy Scripture for American elites since forever, but only in the '90s went into overdrive, when they fooled themselves to be invincible and eternal (hey, mr. Fukuyama, how's the "end of history" working out for ya?). J.M. Greer put it brilliantly in his novel Twilight's Last Gleaming, I think: the US is one single, undeniable, direct military failure away from total collapse.

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Drew Currah's avatar

Yes well every Hegemon from the Sumerians to Alexander the Great to Rome, to Charlemagne, to Muhammed and his successors, to Napoleon to Hitler; they all behave the same way .

Its just human nature-when one is on top one becomes decadent , arrogant and violent.

Hence, 'Might is Right" is their anthem; and they all, eventually, have 'total collapse".

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Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

Nothing lasts forever, it's one of those lessons most people, especially the ones with an inflated ego, don't want to learn.

(Besides, might is right sounds nice when you're the mightiest, make up your own reality, impose a "rules based order" where you make the rules on the spot. Then someone mightier than you comes up... )

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m droy's avatar

I do like Orlov, I wish Nima could do shows that last 30mins or less, I could afford enough time to watch them, I only have 6 hours a week of work, but I gave up watching Nima long ago.

On the US is bankrupt theme, there are quite a few who have taken it up. Including Alastair Crooke. He thinks that the Trump admin is fully aware of it all, and this is one reason they are pushing aggressive policies - there are others that have the same idea.

Generally this kind of long expected disaster, a country bankruptcy, takes much much longer to happen than expected, and then does happen much much more quickly.

I could say the same about the coming Ukrainian military capitulation.

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Nick's avatar

Good observation!

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JennyStokes's avatar

I loved the take on the British: shooting Pygmies that come to battle with baskets and flowers!'

It's obvious to me that the British should start looking after their own people and stop all this post Empire shit, BUT losers will be losers..

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Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

Many years ago, a French comedy/noir author (Frédéric Dard) in one of his novels wrote that the Englishman didn't really suffer from the loss of the empire, because he never really believed it. And that's the point: the British elites are still in denial.

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JennyStokes's avatar

Yes and some of the people.

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PFC Billy's avatar

@Discount Plague Doctor

Could you give a source for the Frédéric Dard quote re: British elites & belief in existence of the empire? Google is being dense.

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Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

It's a bit difficult, it was from a San-Antonio novel translated from French to Italian, it's at my folk's house and I'm a completely different country at the moment. After a bit of investigating through perplexity.ai and deepseek I think Google will never be of use in this regard as Dard's works are pretty much unknown in English with very few of them even getting translations.

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PFC Billy's avatar

Ah. If you ever recall a title, I'd love to know.

And yes, the AI does seem quite anglocentric.

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Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

A quick check on the wiki reveals that, while there are 175 San-Antonio novels , only a few have been translated to english (check the bibliography section: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fr%C3%A9d%C3%A9ric_Dard )

It used to be much more popular in Italy, with most of his novels been translated (and if I might add, what an incredible work of translation by Bruno Just Lazzari).

By the way, Dard is very fond of poking fun at the Brits and Americans, and has a distinct dislike for Germans (he wrote mostly in the '50s and '60s, easy to understand the reason for it). I remember another quote of his, about French language being made for talking, Italian for singing, English for whispering and German for barking.

Or, "Oh, how I hate the English way of speaking, on the tip of their teeth, leaving emotions in the wardrobe!"

And one of my absolute favorite ambient descriptions of all time, on par with Neuromancer's opening: "We arrive in the late afternoon, under a light drizzle. Lazy birds talk shit perched on trees."

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Tom Welsh's avatar

"I wish I were smarter".

A fairly reliable indicator of someone who is already very smart. Dunning-Kruger tells us that stupid people are too stupid to notice that they are stupid. Intelligent people are wise enough to notice that they are less intelligent than they would like to be.

Which would you trust?

One of my favourite Bertrand Russell quotations:

"The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt".

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JennyStokes's avatar

I wish I knew more but I do have a bit of WISDOM after living on this planet. Love to learn new things.

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Drew Currah's avatar

"It's only because of their stupidity that they're able to be so sure of themselves,"

Franz Kafka, 'The Trial"

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Tom Welsh's avatar

Thanks for drawing that Kafka quotation to my attention, Drew.

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Drew Currah's avatar

My pleasure-it fits nicely into your Dunning-Kruger quote.

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Drew Currah's avatar

Excellent post!

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Discount Plague Doctor's avatar

"He enjoys life—as do all spared the curse of intelligence." H.P. Lovecraft in one his letters.

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Tom Welsh's avatar

A lower-brow version: "Fat, dumb and happy". 8-)

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Marvin Gardens2's avatar

"It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble.

It's what you know for sure that just ain't so."

Mark Twain

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Thank you Julian... I will watch the Video (was too busy and shifted it a bit into the future).

Meanwhile... I followed Alexander from his holiday resort and immediately started searching the source of what he told...

Retired Lt General Keith Kellogg, Special Envoy of Trump on Russia-Ukraine negotiations, has spoken. He has 'Cast the Die and crossed the Rubicon river'...

He dropped all his previous attempts for a cease Fire plan in Ukraine and advised Zelensky to come to Istanbul for the June 2 Negotiation Talks. If these Talks fail The Trump administration can 'walk away' and not only from further negotiations, but from the whole Project Ukraine...He explained:

From Alexander Mercouris (The Duran) Highly Recommended. Starts at the right time:

->https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=105DRA3QP7k&t=291s

"Well the world has changed since the way it was during Donald Trump's first term."

At that time the United States was indeed faced with various adversaries China, Russia, North Korea, Iran. But they were not yet working with each other they were not yet in partnership with each other and that meant that the United States could deal with each separately and did not have to think all the time about the potential responses of the others.

This time today, Kellogg said, that the situation is different they're all working together they're all in league together against the United States that makes the situation for the United States far more dangerous and far more complicated than it was during Donald Trump's first term.

And he gave an interesting example he said that what might happen if the fighting in Ukraine escalated, is that perhaps the Ukrainians might encounter North Korean troops fighting on their own territory, fighting alongside the Russians and that would be a further sign that there was a military alliance developing between Russia and North Korea. As i sensed from the beginning.

Source: ABC_News YouTube. May 30. Starts at the right time.

->https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UkjscqKH21g&t=666s

It confirms my Sensing that only the things that HAPPEN are important. NOT what has been said or even suggested. The Narrative Master is the Monster in the City of London, where the Shadows are and the grinding of the teeth, while they conjure new Lies and Evil Narratives to confuse our minds...

Just Saying

Cassandra

PS. Alexander added some more VERY INTERESTING facts in his Video mentioned above. Highly recommended...

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Nick's avatar

Hey can you be so blind?

Mercouris has been talking in circles for months. Ever since Trump was selected in November 2024.

I can tell by your writing that you get your info from sources similar to Alexander.

While Alexander did seem to have an awakening in St. Petersburg, that has since faded on he is back to his negotiations, peace, agreements and Trump is a good man who is being misled.

Utterly delusional.

You and he need to widen your info sources.

Julian summed it up well- reduce or stop listening to Duran, Mearsheimer, Doctorow, Freeman, Deisen, Krainer, McGovern, Sachs, etc.

Johnson, Ritter(sometimes), Davis & Crooke are about the only credible analysts on the American proxy war against Russia currently.

One has to constantly curate & cull sources as time passes and they prove themselves not connected to reality.

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Thank you Nick for your well-intentioned advice.

I try to not use words (names, labels, concepts) and narratives that do not feel natural. 'Natural', that is to say, that can be seen as facts or pointers at facts without confusing multiple meanings. That is what i mean by 'reality' in wordless sensing.

To answer your explanation: I have far more sources, all have their merits, their strong and weak points. In this case i picked up a quote by Alexander of something Kellogg had very recently said without naming a resource, that appeared to be a complete 180° turn of the policy around the negotiations between The Monster and Putin, from a diamond hard attempt followed by Kellogg for months, to provoke Russia to do something that could be a reason for the US to go full fledged in the War with Russia again, into a full intention to completely remove the US from the War, with some narrative explaining why.

So i searched for the source and found the ABC-interview. Of course i am careful: In the Netherlands we say: 'When the Fox preaches the Passion, Farmer, watch your chickens.'.

But my sensing tells me that: either Trump has changed his mind and turned General Kellogg around, or the whole 'attempt' to get a cease-fire was meant by Trump to hide his real intentions, waiting on the right moment to hit unexpectedly.

Meanwhile things are happening that will strengthen Putin in taking off his gloves and either hit the Kiev-regime with still unused Force, or even hit some targets in NATO-countries, to signal that he is now going to Hit back at the ones BEHIND the Kiev Regime. That would be a dangerous move, but the Russians want him to be less careful.

Can i call that 'constantly curate & cull sources as time passes and they prove themselves not connected to reality' ?

Cassandra

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JennyStokes's avatar

Gerentocracy: Mr Kellogg

You are living in the past!

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Well Jenny... I think that is clear.

The reason that i mention his spoken standpoints here, is that it is the complete opposite of what he has been saying in his function and even more strongly, has been trying to create, together with the European Lobby-network Elite in the negotiations with Putin: A Ceasefire, to give Zelensky some time to reorganise, mobilise and arm his army and even trying to get European (Brits and French) troops in Ukraine under the name of 'peacekeepers'.

The reason can be that Trump is now convinced, that trying to stop the fighting in Ukraine is impossible because of the reasons General Kellogg mentions, OR that it has been a show from the beginning, in which case i sense that Kellogg did not know he was being played by Trumps masking of his real purpose.

Listen to Kellogg's mentioning of Trump's Socratic method of dealing with people in discussions.

In the fight with the Monster, the Master in creating confusion and sowing division, you need to prevent to show your intentions. But which of the 2 is true i don't know.

Cassandra

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JennyStokes's avatar

Possibly a show. Congress would never allow this war to stop. Lindsay Graham being the biggest warmonger in that bunch of eejits.

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

That is certainly possible, i estimate a 37.5%.

But i have a much higher estimate for something like a total stop or mainly stop, probably in phases. No more weapons or other aid after that which was accorded by Congress during Biden's last days.

I sense that the Collapse of the NAZI-army in Ukraine is very near now, it will be partly local collapses first (like now on the Sumy-front), but they offer soldiers who want to desert a chance to do that and that will increase the instability elsewhere in the frontline. The signs that speak loudest to me are the desperate deeds of Terrorism that they do now out of Anger and Impotence, destroying what they still can. A likely cause for very hard Russian Responses. But those are never Terrorist attacks but could be very severe on obvious targets. Like places where NATO-troops are located or Command-Centres or Production sites of Drones. Like the Kiev-Drone-attack lately. The Gloves are off now.

I am following closely the things that happen on the front lines and in the supply- and reserves situations. Panic is growing... The bloody final phase is approaching... And the fleeing of the Criminals to Europe... They can be recognised by asking them to lift their shirts and look for NAZI symbols. They should be arrested on the borders, but i am afraid that is already a dream. NAZISM is the future for Europe when they do not rise and oppose their Lobby-Network Elite in Brussels.

Cassandra

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JennyStokes's avatar

My estimate is much higher......probably 80%. US is 'losing face' and many people in Congress and the EU will resort to anything as long as the war keeps going. So, yes I agree, more terrorism especially from the British and EU.

There is absolutely NO need for Russia to capitulate, they will keep going and wait until Ukraine starts a Civil War.

Just my feeling.

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Cassandra Occupy's avatar

I understand.

By the way... The Ukraine war IS a Civil War. It started in 2014. Russia supported the Ethnic Russians and NATO supported the Banderites, the NAZI'S. So now it really is a war between NATO and Russia, fought out in Ukraine.

And Trump wants to get the US out. The only player who doesn't want to stop it, is the Monster in the City of London, which controls all 'Deep State' influencers, all Zionist organisations (Not only AIPAC, the Christian-Zionists in the Republican Party too...), MIC, the FED, Wallstreet & the Banks, IMF, WTO, and more.

Those powers want to destroy the Trump MAGA movement. It is waging a Class-War against the Imperial powers and they are afraid of it, as they should. Europe is behind, but the protests are growing and the opposition against Brussels too.

And don't be mistaken... If the Monster doesn't succeed to break Russia and Putin, it will risk a Nuclear Armageddon... Those that rule the Monster are ready to go underground trying to survive in their Bunkers as you probably have heard about. Putin said about them, that he knew about that plan and that he will nuke those Bunkers from his submarines in case of an Armageddon.

But my sensing is, that humanity NEVER will be able to recover from that disaster.

Just saying.

Cassandra

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Penelope Prill's avatar

Dude, you totally rock. In educated old lady speak, you have exposed the vile underpinning of mindless greed that supports Trump/Duran diplomacy.

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Steve Naidamast's avatar

Let us understand one thing about Trump... There is no plan... And he only believes he can grift the US into providing him with riches. Historically, all his endeavors have been failures allowing him only to live on his so-called brand. According to some analysts, he has lost so much money in these endeavors that his net worth is still only what he inherited from his father; about 450 million.

Anyone who believes that Trump is actually capable of planning anything coherent is only fooling themselves.

As it regards an American economic collapse, as the famous philosopher, Yogi Berra, once said, "Prediction is highly overrated, especially when it comes to the future..."

No one really knows what will happen since there are so many variables involved. For example, China has huge investments in the United States s well as partially built its economy on exports.

Now it is true that China and other countries are attempting to insulate themselves from an American collapse. However, I believe they have far reaching plans to avoid this since such an economic collapse at this point in time would still cause massive trauma in the world economy; something the Chinese can most likely handle but would prefer to avoid.

It is my opinion then that China and other nations are laying the groundwork to economically take over the United States while isolating a dying federal government. They are already aware that the US population, for the most part, hates the US government as much as they do, which provides a very strong incentive to work within the populace itself.

Of course, there is the "stupid" part of the American population, who wouldn't know a sound economic principal if actually discussed by a capable American politician. These people prefer to live on their immature emotions and whether or not the person they may elect "speaks to them...", which is Trump's basic appeal to the American brain dead.

With the levels of corruption that has infested the US federal government, there really is very little hope for any reform simply because all of the mechanisms that would be able to provide such reform within such a system have also been thoroughly corrupted by both the States and the federal government. To be fair, some of this corruption on the part of the States is merely a reaction to being overwhelmed by the feds. Nonetheless, without some form of concerted, focused revolution, there is very little hope for the US federal government.

That being said, if the Chinese can isolate the federal government by working with the States individually, then an economic collapse may be avoided to a large degree.

Finally, there are already solutions that have been put into the public domain by legitimate economists and financial analysts that can soften the blow of a US governmental collapse. The problem is that the US government is so caught up in their own corruption it can no longer see the forests through the trees...

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Marvin Gardens2's avatar

The West is dying (fast).

And the "Russian threat" is but an excuse for Western govts to loot their people one last time.

"The last official act of any government is to loot the treasury".

George Washington

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Michael Peck's avatar

Hard work when you can’t hear the interviewer’s questions!

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Jonathan Hearn's avatar

Julian, what about researching HAARP and other devastating weapons Trump has alluded to...see Turkey and New Zealand earthquakes. Also the train crashes and bridge collapses in the us suggest Russia has some insurance options up to a point of containment at least.

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