In Judo, you get the enemy to push and then you throw them. That's what Putin is doing in Ukraine. So don't expect them to launch an American-style offensive anytime soon.
Great piece. West's #1 problem is multiculturalism. Only works if Separated like Russia - Chechens live in Chechnya even have their own whole Chechen battalions, Many regions are like this in ethnically diverse Russia,.. or alternatively, you run a police state like Singapore that supersedes and dominates any kind of cultural imperialism and schisms thereof. It is what it is we are tribal creatures and always will be.
OFC US and EU elites love multiculturalism - divide and rule so you're looking over shoulders instead of looking up while they loot the joint. That's why USA and EU have almost open borders and citizens are powerless unable to unite behind any cause.
China and Russia are very united and either or both will eat West lunch.
I don't think the West understands multiculturalism. The West is actually monocultural. It has an overriding, neoliberal system , which attempts to sell a single set of cultural values through the media, sanitizing cultural differences through things like Woke. Yet pretending to be multicultural. That leads to chaos. Not a melting pot, but a kind of stew with things in there that clash. In the end you get something in edible and unhealthy, which will kill you if you eat it.
I think your point is well taken. It also seems to me that the Russians are in no hurry to end the war for three reasons. The first reason is that they are limiting their casualties as much as possible - a major offensive to end the war would cost them too many lives. The second reason, which follows on from the first, is that a major Russian offensive could be seen as a pretext for Washington to engage its armed wing, NATO, with the prospect of a nuclear apocalypse that only Putin wants to avert - the Anglo-Saxons are so full of themselves... Finally, the third reason is that by prolonging the war, Moscow exhausts NATO and serves the interests of world peace by preventing the United States from turning against China. Now, once again, Washington and London are so stupid that they would be capable of challenging China militarily in spite of everything.
The West is a collection of bullies, Like most bullies, they don't want to fight somebody who can fight back and rely upon numbers to intimidate. Nuclear weapons is like bringing a gun to a street fight. You can wave it around and people will back off. But if both sides have guns, you may end up with a lot of dead people.
Julian, you wrote a brilliant post. When you described WW3 which has been going on for some time, you described 4GW, 4th Generation Warfare. You mention my hero John Boyd who coined the term in his thesis Generations of War. I'm an acolyte of Boyd.
The USA with it's hegemonic "Rules Based International Order" has bitten off more than it can chew by attacking the great powers Russia and China. It reminds me of Nazi Germany with our propagandized populace. Because of it's suicidal Nazi mindset the USA is on it's way to total defeat and humiliation or total destruction. The USA with it's Nazi mindset and Anglo-Zionist Empire of Lies and Hate is on the wane overwhelmed by the emerging Multipolar World. Pax Americana will go the way of its mother Pax Britannia.
Perhaps the "Anglo-Zionist Empire" has finally overextended itself. The CFR/UN/WEF network of corporations, foundations, NGOs has controlled the US govt and the media since WW2. See charts: swprs.org/the-american-empire-and-its-media/
But the world has changed, the structure is obsolescent, and the "young global leaders" are increasingly incompetent. Unfortunately, the oligarchy will do anything to maintain their grip and prevent the necessary reforms, even as the structure crumbles around them.
Yeah. What scares me is they'll think along the lines of "If I can't have her, nobody can" that ends in a murder/suicide and the Nuclear Football is activated.
I didn't know Boyd was autistic. I did read that his he had a 90 IQ. The story goes that someone asked him how he could be so brilliant with a 90 IQ. He told the questioner it was because he read a lot of books.
I consider it ingenious that Boyd's degree was in manufacturing engineering while he was such a great aeronautical engineer. He developed the flight envelopes for the A-10, F-15, F-16 and F-18.
I'm also impressed with his OODA Loop.
By the way, another great strategist is Martin Van Creveld.
I don't see how Russia losing thousands of young men every month to a meaningless conflict is "winning". Sure Ukraine won't recover anything beyond a miniscule amount of territory, but that doesn't matter. The winners here are the American 1% who are making a killing on the weapon sales, oil sales, and the missed opportunity cost of the EU cutting off Russia. The American deep state failed to depose Putin, but fully vassalizing Europe and windfall profits for the 1% will do just fine.
The losers are the Russians and Ukrainians dying in this proxy war. These people are brothers and the mere existence of this conflict is a tragedy. Shoigu needs to get his head out of his ass and do something or this frozen conflict will continue to be a disaster for slavic people and the rest of Europe.
It is strange that in your opus the true culprits of all wars - the Jews - are missing. It is their Jewish Nazism that is the cause of the war, including in Ukraine. Until 2014, Ukraine lived a normal life. Then Israeli special forces arrived, consisting of Ukrainian and Russian Jewish repatriates, declared themselves Banderaites and fighters for the Russian world, divided in half, brought Jews to power and began to kill Russians and Ukrainians.. Ukraine is over. Khazaria has begun. Murders, war, and so on... It is written in the Jewish religion that killing non-Jews is good for Jews. Killing and robbing goyim, even children, is valor.
I understand that you are afraid of the revenge of the Jews who are in power throughout the Western world...
It's frustrating but I think you are right. As long as the Ukrainians keep attacking, the Russians can and will maintain their attritional strategy and the big arrow offensive will not be needed. Who knows how long Ukraine and its army will be able to avoid collapse but if they do collapse, this would be a better outcome than offensive action in which Russia suffers heavy casualties. Tensions in Ukraine could reach boiling point over the winter (no pun intended) and Russian attacks on the electric grid could bring matters to a head.
Western Ukraine lost the war in the first couple of months. After that it never had any hope of winning . NATO and the US just hoped it would exhaust Russia, which would then collapse . The opposite happened. As the SMO continued, it was the US and NATO who exhausted themselves militarily and ultimately politically . I think you are correct that it will be a hard winter for the Western Ukrainians – a much better one for the Eastern Ukrainians. Comparisons will be made.. How long can the Zelensky regime last? But the Nazis will not give up easily .
May be Putin makes Judo. For me he is an anaconda. Slowly reducing the enemy's ability to move and finally to breath. When you realize it it's too late. The minimax system! :-))
A good analogy, which by the way does not conflict with mine. In Judo, groundwork aims at reducing your opponent's ability to move and ultimate victory comes from a chokehold.
I would mention that in a street fight, going to the ground is dangerous. in BJJ. it gives you an advantage against a bigger opponent but it is a disadvantage If he has friends. Putin learn to fight on the streets where the first rule Is to avoid fighting-- which the tried to do. The second rule is to strike first , not to injure, but to stop the fight. He tried that too. Third rule is when your opponent has friends. You must choose position, location, and weapons and hope that your enemies overconfidently get in their own way so you can take them on one at a time. You must choose weapons carefully to avoid your enemies escalating. A street fight should not become a gunfight, the SMO should not become a nuclear war.
Great piece. West's #1 problem is multiculturalism. Only works if Separated like Russia - Chechens live in Chechnya even have their own whole Chechen battalions, Many regions are like this in ethnically diverse Russia,.. or alternatively, you run a police state like Singapore that supersedes and dominates any kind of cultural imperialism and schisms thereof. It is what it is we are tribal creatures and always will be.
OFC US and EU elites love multiculturalism - divide and rule so you're looking over shoulders instead of looking up while they loot the joint. That's why USA and EU have almost open borders and citizens are powerless unable to unite behind any cause.
China and Russia are very united and either or both will eat West lunch.
I don't think the West understands multiculturalism. The West is actually monocultural. It has an overriding, neoliberal system , which attempts to sell a single set of cultural values through the media, sanitizing cultural differences through things like Woke. Yet pretending to be multicultural. That leads to chaos. Not a melting pot, but a kind of stew with things in there that clash. In the end you get something in edible and unhealthy, which will kill you if you eat it.
Thank You for this great analysis of the "Ukraine War".
Thinking "Out of the Box", a Box that was caused by WW2...
I'm a bit late; my Computer is dying of old age and i'm busy training the new one to behave properly.
But don't worry.... I keep "X-ing" all your articles.
Sander
I am still struggling with voice type. . The program has its own mind.
I think your point is well taken. It also seems to me that the Russians are in no hurry to end the war for three reasons. The first reason is that they are limiting their casualties as much as possible - a major offensive to end the war would cost them too many lives. The second reason, which follows on from the first, is that a major Russian offensive could be seen as a pretext for Washington to engage its armed wing, NATO, with the prospect of a nuclear apocalypse that only Putin wants to avert - the Anglo-Saxons are so full of themselves... Finally, the third reason is that by prolonging the war, Moscow exhausts NATO and serves the interests of world peace by preventing the United States from turning against China. Now, once again, Washington and London are so stupid that they would be capable of challenging China militarily in spite of everything.
The West is a collection of bullies, Like most bullies, they don't want to fight somebody who can fight back and rely upon numbers to intimidate. Nuclear weapons is like bringing a gun to a street fight. You can wave it around and people will back off. But if both sides have guns, you may end up with a lot of dead people.
Like your realistic assessment and the Judo analogy.
Interesting history lessons you related about winning the War.
Wait while the enemy annihilates itself on all levels I see happening as well.
Well portrayed in War and Peace by Tolstoy.
Like the Russians 149. Radio frequency so the Ukrainians can surrender without being shot by their Nazi Commanders in the back.
Must be painful to murder people of your own kind if your sane.
Julian, you wrote a brilliant post. When you described WW3 which has been going on for some time, you described 4GW, 4th Generation Warfare. You mention my hero John Boyd who coined the term in his thesis Generations of War. I'm an acolyte of Boyd.
The USA with it's hegemonic "Rules Based International Order" has bitten off more than it can chew by attacking the great powers Russia and China. It reminds me of Nazi Germany with our propagandized populace. Because of it's suicidal Nazi mindset the USA is on it's way to total defeat and humiliation or total destruction. The USA with it's Nazi mindset and Anglo-Zionist Empire of Lies and Hate is on the wane overwhelmed by the emerging Multipolar World. Pax Americana will go the way of its mother Pax Britannia.
Perhaps the "Anglo-Zionist Empire" has finally overextended itself. The CFR/UN/WEF network of corporations, foundations, NGOs has controlled the US govt and the media since WW2. See charts: swprs.org/the-american-empire-and-its-media/
But the world has changed, the structure is obsolescent, and the "young global leaders" are increasingly incompetent. Unfortunately, the oligarchy will do anything to maintain their grip and prevent the necessary reforms, even as the structure crumbles around them.
Yeah. What scares me is they'll think along the lines of "If I can't have her, nobody can" that ends in a murder/suicide and the Nuclear Football is activated.
John Boyd was an amazing man. Of course, I am prejudiced in my assessment because he was also autistic....LOL
I didn't know Boyd was autistic. I did read that his he had a 90 IQ. The story goes that someone asked him how he could be so brilliant with a 90 IQ. He told the questioner it was because he read a lot of books.
I consider it ingenious that Boyd's degree was in manufacturing engineering while he was such a great aeronautical engineer. He developed the flight envelopes for the A-10, F-15, F-16 and F-18.
I'm also impressed with his OODA Loop.
By the way, another great strategist is Martin Van Creveld.
Beste
I don't see how Russia losing thousands of young men every month to a meaningless conflict is "winning". Sure Ukraine won't recover anything beyond a miniscule amount of territory, but that doesn't matter. The winners here are the American 1% who are making a killing on the weapon sales, oil sales, and the missed opportunity cost of the EU cutting off Russia. The American deep state failed to depose Putin, but fully vassalizing Europe and windfall profits for the 1% will do just fine.
The losers are the Russians and Ukrainians dying in this proxy war. These people are brothers and the mere existence of this conflict is a tragedy. Shoigu needs to get his head out of his ass and do something or this frozen conflict will continue to be a disaster for slavic people and the rest of Europe.
I've been following the war/SMO since it started so I appreciate everything you say. Thanks.
Best yet - I think captures exactly what is going on. Not just about defeating Ukraine it is being ready for whatever comes next
It is strange that in your opus the true culprits of all wars - the Jews - are missing. It is their Jewish Nazism that is the cause of the war, including in Ukraine. Until 2014, Ukraine lived a normal life. Then Israeli special forces arrived, consisting of Ukrainian and Russian Jewish repatriates, declared themselves Banderaites and fighters for the Russian world, divided in half, brought Jews to power and began to kill Russians and Ukrainians.. Ukraine is over. Khazaria has begun. Murders, war, and so on... It is written in the Jewish religion that killing non-Jews is good for Jews. Killing and robbing goyim, even children, is valor.
I understand that you are afraid of the revenge of the Jews who are in power throughout the Western world...
Not a brilliant comment.
Neocon Zionists are Zio-Nazis.
It's frustrating but I think you are right. As long as the Ukrainians keep attacking, the Russians can and will maintain their attritional strategy and the big arrow offensive will not be needed. Who knows how long Ukraine and its army will be able to avoid collapse but if they do collapse, this would be a better outcome than offensive action in which Russia suffers heavy casualties. Tensions in Ukraine could reach boiling point over the winter (no pun intended) and Russian attacks on the electric grid could bring matters to a head.
Western Ukraine lost the war in the first couple of months. After that it never had any hope of winning . NATO and the US just hoped it would exhaust Russia, which would then collapse . The opposite happened. As the SMO continued, it was the US and NATO who exhausted themselves militarily and ultimately politically . I think you are correct that it will be a hard winter for the Western Ukrainians – a much better one for the Eastern Ukrainians. Comparisons will be made.. How long can the Zelensky regime last? But the Nazis will not give up easily .
The SMO is like fighting with one arm tied behind your back. Russia is toying with the Ukro-Nazis and exhausting NATO.
May be Putin makes Judo. For me he is an anaconda. Slowly reducing the enemy's ability to move and finally to breath. When you realize it it's too late. The minimax system! :-))
A good analogy, which by the way does not conflict with mine. In Judo, groundwork aims at reducing your opponent's ability to move and ultimate victory comes from a chokehold.
I would mention that in a street fight, going to the ground is dangerous. in BJJ. it gives you an advantage against a bigger opponent but it is a disadvantage If he has friends. Putin learn to fight on the streets where the first rule Is to avoid fighting-- which the tried to do. The second rule is to strike first , not to injure, but to stop the fight. He tried that too. Third rule is when your opponent has friends. You must choose position, location, and weapons and hope that your enemies overconfidently get in their own way so you can take them on one at a time. You must choose weapons carefully to avoid your enemies escalating. A street fight should not become a gunfight, the SMO should not become a nuclear war.