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heikomr's avatar

I have a feeling that a lot of people are bored and becoming impatient because a hot war hasn't broken out yet and mass dying hasn't started. Excuse me, this is not cynicism on my part. But I like sarcasm as a form of mental self-defense. ... Militarily, a hot conventional war against Iran is hopeless. Israel as a functioning state would be fatally hit. .... If there are still a few functioning brain cells left in the USA and Israel that have decision-making power, then they must be clear about that. .... But from the perspective of these two institutions of organized crime, I also see no face-saving scenario for a withdrawal. .... Perhaps they expect too much from the fact that India has finally publicly joined the alliance with the Nazi state of Israel and the USA. ..... In contrast to most people, I see the danger of the use of nuclear weapons as extremely high.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

I don't think you are so much sarcastic as stating a fact. For a lot of people, geopolitics is like a Netflix movie, the same manufactured reality . Can't we just get to the ACTION? When it gets up and personal -- that's different. As for the Mafia states. FDR called it "organized money".

JennyStokes's avatar

Heikomer. It is NO surprise to me that India has allied itself with the US/Israel.

I was born and lived in Sri Lanka (1949) and no-one ever expected India to do the right thing.

Mr. Modi is a 'facist' Hindu Nationalist.

What I am really surprised about is that BRICS actually believed this man's words.

heikomr's avatar

I do not believe that the state leaderships of Russia and China are naive. Very clever, intelligent people sit there and they have numerous professional intelligence services, experts, and analysts at their disposal. ... We must accept that we are not informed about anything that happens in the background.

Regarding your characterization of Modi. Yes, I have often heard that about Modi. To what extent Modi is an absolutist ruler or whether the Indian oligarchs make the decisions, that is an important question. .... I have never seen India as a serious competitor to China because it is completely irrelevant whether India flies to the moon or not when medieval conditions, so much poverty and filth exist there. Furthermore, China is also so successful because of its advanced and modern infrastructure. When I look at India, there are entire universes between the two economies. That Israel and the USA of all countries are supposed to be beneficial for India's development, no one can seriously believe that.

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Modi is, of course, a fascist. So, in India the rich get richer and....

heikomr's avatar

I would like to quote an excerpt from a discussion on L. Johnson's blog. I should mention beforehand that the person I am discussing with lives in Russia and is very, very educated and intelligent. Especially when it comes to historical questions. But also regarding current topics. I greatly value every dialogue with him. I really like working with questions when I am not certain about something or when I need feedback on presumed knowledge. My questions are never meant to be provocative. I am trying to understand.

[DenSol: "Russia and India signed a trade partnership in 2000, which neither side will turn into a formality. India represents a significant sales market for Russia, which, in turn, stimulates the development of the Russian military-industrial complex and the economy as a whole. This is especially important today. Russia will fulfill all agreements."]

[heikomr: "This naturally also implies a technology export to a potentially hostile future power. If India becomes part of the ambitions of the USA and Israel, will India withdraw from these if those ambitions turn against the BRICS in practice? What will happen in the context of the attempt to dismantle Iran, a Pakistani-Afghan war, the destabilization of Myanmar and Thailand, subversive activities within Vietnam, the implementation of the “Trump Corridor” and its militarization, the anti-Russian instrumentalization of Moldova (Transnistria), US activities in Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, and numerous other hostile actions? What will India undertake against Pakistan and/or against Iran? Or will India distance itself from this entire strategy of destabilizing Eurasia and sabotaging “One Belt” and the “North-South Corridor” pursued by the USA and Israel, and act in solidarity with the BRICS (including China)? Is it true that India has drastically reduced its oil purchases from Russia? India will host the BRICS meeting in 2026. Will India sabotage the de-dollarization program?"]

[DenSol: "One thing is clear now: there is no need to rush to final conclusions. Turkey, a NATO member, uses the Russian S-400 air defense system. What does this mean for the future?

The alleged conflict between India and China is possibly exaggerated Western propaganda, similar to the claims that China will take over Siberia and the Far East, and that the Russians should be careful. All of this echoes Kissinger's policies.

The alliance between India and Israel could prove to be a lifeline for Iran, and this doesn't necessarily mean that India will be drawn into a conflict, as it can offer a kind of security guarantee for Israel.

India plays a game in the oil market: when the price of oil falls, India buys large quantities, and when prices rise, purchases decrease.

In general, it is better to wait than to jump to conclusions."]

[heikomr: "I do not believe that China will attack India. For heaven’s sake, no. …. I am not jumping to conclusions. I am asking questions. I am asking these questions because I recognize patterns, and the only conclusion I draw from them is what the USA intends in Eurasia. But I do not know the future either. If India has an alliance with the USA and Israel, then that signals that all three “countries” share common interests. These interests cannot be in harmony with the interests of Russia and China. My questions aim to find out what those interests are and what we can expect from India in practice."]

Marledonna's avatar

I once saw a very interesting video about an important difference between the 2 countries: “China's local administration is highly centralized in policy but decentralized in economic execution, utilizing a strong, KPI-driven cadre system to promote growth. In contrast, India has a decentralized democratic federal structure where local bodies often lack fiscal autonomy, remaining dependent on state governments”.

Local administration is weak in India. I remember one story where a local official only wanted to hire people only belonging to people from different (lower) castes.

In defense of India, I think they have been royally screwed by the British empire. Yes, I am aware that Britain brought civilization to India (sarcasm), but maybe it wasn’t the best system for India.

Marledonna's avatar

I guess you more or less know my position as we comment on similar channels. Same counts for Jenny btw. I am of the opinion that now is the best time to hit the USA were it hurts, kill the cancer while it is still possible to survive and not waiting for the rot of the cancer spreads everywhere. We don’t know and I am far away (and a coward), but is it ok to sacrifize 1 million today, to save 10 million later? A consequence of killing the cancer could be the end of the criminal act of sanctions, sanctions that took the lives of more than 23 million people (possibly up to 38 million).

Davy Ro's avatar

What has Trump achieved positively for America on the international stage? From the outside looking in. He's exposed what America has been for many decades. He's made it obvious to adversaries & allies both. They're all there to be exploited by America. Whether they want to be or not. America was disliked by the majority of its adversaries. I'd say now it's hated. It's allies, some liked America, some were neutral toward it & some thought they were a bit loud, a bit ignorant & entitled. But all allied countries citizens I'd vidstited anyways. All perceive the American citizens as not the most intelligent. To be polite. Rightly or Wrongly whatever people views were before compared to now. I'd say he's been a complete disaster. Just like Americans won't care about foreigners thoughts. We don't care about what's happening within America. All we see is lots of corruption, violent crime & law enforcement being very trigger happy.

Steve Naidamast's avatar

De Tocqueville, in 1839, said the same things as you just did today.

See my own comments below...

JennyStokes's avatar

I think it would be a major enlightenment for the US people to actually read Tocqueville.

Obviously the French also have forgotten him.

He is a European man (for those who do not know) employed by a rich French Baron

to understand what was going on in the USA. Their is a certain smugness inherent in his writing but nevertheless he got it right. MONEY ruled.

Steve Naidamast's avatar

Julian...

From all the reading I have done on the subject as well as listening to podcasts on the same, the figure of Jews becoming anti-Zionist is more than 50% and continuing to grow rapidly in the US. As a result, I am not sure where you got your 76% pro-Israel figure from.

Be that as it may, the real issue in the United States has very little to do with Iran or Israel or anything else. In fact, this one critical issue has been the catalyst for all these other issues that have had their beginnings as early as 1819 in the US.

The biggest problem we in the States have is that we are not organized in the manner that the US Constitution had originally designed.

During both the 1787-1789 Constitutional Conventions and the subsequent individual state ratification conventions, two groups of people were involved; the actual supporters of how the US Constitution was to designed to define a national government, and those who wanted to see the US Constitution define a very strong centralized government. The former would come under the banner of the Anti-Federalist while the latter would become known as Federalists or Nationalists.

The US Constitution was designed to support merely a refined extension of the Articles of Confederation with a central government that had very limited powers. The Constitution as it stands today is primarily still the document that supports a very limited central government.

Even the Bill of Rights, added as amendments to the Constitution, still to this day have no jurisdiction over the States, despite what people believe.

This all started with Alexander Hamilton, who was an inveterate liar but highly competent speaker. Hamilton would lie through his teeth to get his strong, central government implemented, though at the conventions he stated on numerous occasions how he supported the Constitution's limited government format. After the Constitution was ratified, Hamilton showed his true colors, and several erstwhile members of Congress threw his earlier statements in his face.

Up until 1819, Hamilton's attempts to secure a pathway to a strong central government had been thwarted. However, his friend and colleague John Marshall had become chief justice of the Supreme Court. And Marshal, in full agreement with Hamilton, began making legal decisions, starting in 1819, that turned the idea of a limited, central government on its head, taking extreme license with his opinions on such cases that would begin to effect the way the legal profession viewed the Constitution. This would be cemented in place when John Story became chief justice and wrote his treatise on the subject entitled, "The Commentaries...". This 3 volume work would become the standard reference point for all law in the United States for many decades.

In the 1960s, when Hugo Black became chief justice, he would take the nationalist view to extremes, putting the final nail in the US Constitution's coffin.

The reality still is that the US Constitution is still what it has always been, a design for sovereign states, who were to be supreme in all things except for those limited powers "delegated" to a central government.

The majority of Americans have no idea of this critical truth as for decades they have been taught just the opposite of how the government in the US was supposed to operate.

Today, we have an entirely unconstitutional, national government that has run rough shod over the states and their peoples. Practically every agency currently of the US Government is completely unconstitutional and should thus be abolished. A prime example is the ICE agency, among many others.

The way the US Constitution was designed was with an understanding that even at the time of the 13 colonies, the Framers believed that even this number entities were too diverse to be ruled a single, central government. Further, the Framers understood even at this early time that all the peoples of the states were different from each other; meaning that the people in Georgia would view their government affairs (along with their individual cultures) completely differently from those of us here in New York.

This cataclysm by the nationalist usurpation of our Constitution is why we have the problems we have today. And there is no way to resolve or fix them for the very reason that the Founders of our country and the Framers of our Constitution saw a strong, central government as completely unfeasible.

This is why national movements and activism have always failed to yield substantial results and why even people as yourself write from a point of view that cannot be made coherent across the breadth of the United States.

It is simply impossible...

The only movement we really need are state-based movements to nullify the US government as it stands today. And there is plenty of historical documentation to support the contentions that such movements would file as their grievances.

If we do not return our nation to what it was supposed to be, it will certainly collapse under the weight of its own contradictions...

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

You raise an interesting point about Jews, Zionism and numbers. I took the numbers from the usual polls. The polls are, of course influenced by pressure from Zionist groups, which are organized and well-funded. One poll says only 37% of Jews identify with Zionism -- and that number is dropping, especially among the young. At the same time, however, I would imagine that most Jews would like to believe in the dream of an Israel that could be a "light unto the nations" which is implicitly NOT the Zionist Dream. This is similar to Americans, who despite their history of genocides, wars, and exploitation want to believe in the American Dream of the (at least some of) Founders!' I really should have clarified the poll data better. My bad.... However, that would be a whole new article. Thank you for catching me on this point!

Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Thank You for this splendid analysis of the unbalance of the 2 military sides.

You clearly lay bare the lack of options that the Zionists have.

There is just only one outcome that makes any sense: Bibi will do nothing and Trump neither, but he will try to tell that his 'Diplomacy saved the middle East and The West from a terrible war.'

But it is critical and the chance that it escalates i estimate on 15%.

In the meantime, we'll just keep our fingers crossed for a while. Till at least 2 days after the coming weekend...

Cassandra

JennyStokes's avatar

I find it impossible dear Cassandra from (N. Holland) to see the US backing off with their tails between their legs? I don't think so but I am willing to be proved wrong.

This 'so called Armada'..............the Spanish ships were too heavy on their bow which is why they lost.

Now we have a crew on the GREAT ship Gerald Ford swimming around in excrement!

Oh boy this is a remarkable non-war!

Julian Macfarlane's avatar

Reminds me of gangs in bad high schools. It is mostly bravado and talk. Faceoffs between two gangs don't always come to violence. Mostly it is posturing. Nobody really wants to get hurt. When I took up martial arts in high school, bullies suddenly left me alone. They didn't know what I could do but they didn't want to find out! These people focused on smaller, younger kids and didn't spend a lot of time fighting. They didn't' know that in most martial arts, you don't spend time "fighting"--they are sports.

Cassandra Occupy's avatar

Thank you Julian... But you react on Words only.

My sensing of the NO-Words Reality gives me this (Feb, 28, 09:00 CET):

1. The USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78), the U.S. Navy's newest and largest aircraft carrier, is currently located in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea, docked at the port of Haifa in northern Israel as of February 28, 2026. This follows its departure from Souda Bay, Crete, on February 26, and arrival off Israel's coast on February 27.

The carrier is part of a broader U.S. military buildup in the region amid escalating tensions with Iran, including reported joint U.S.-Israeli strikes launched today.

Its probable near-term destination or operational focus appears to be remaining in the Eastern Mediterranean or potentially transiting toward the Persian Gulf/Arabian Sea to join other assets like the USS Abraham Lincoln, supporting ongoing operations in the Middle East. No confirmed itinerary beyond the current positioning has been publicly detailed, as naval movements can shift rapidly based on strategic needs.

2. As off this morning, Israeli Missiles have been bombarding the area where Khamenei's office is. It is not clear yet if he was hit.

->https://x.com/mrlvw64/status/2027640952848777583

->https://x.com/mrlvw64/status/2027651446124990626

->https://x.com/rzimmermanjr/status/2027644231183921287

This post by @rzimmermanjr claims the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei following reports of an Israeli preemptive strike on Iran on February 28, 2026, but this is unconfirmed; news sources report explosions near his offices in Tehran while he was being transferred to a secure location. The attached image shows a live Khamenei at an earlier meeting, suggesting the claim is based on rumors rather than evidence, amid widespread speculation about escalating Israel-Iran tensions.

->https://x.com/BRICSinfo/status/2027666267251892245

Background: The attack, partly led by the US, targeted Iranian nuclear and missile threats, with sirens blaring in Israel and smoke plumes in Tehran, underscoring the region's volatility without immediate confirmation of leadership changes in Iran.

The Houthis will resume attacks on US Navy again. So NO WAY for the Ford to the main part of the US Navy.

I expect the Ford to be one of the first targets when he was killed. 4000 US sailors...

And the whole war could just start in a few hours. Again a attack while Diplomacy was nearing a deal

Red Alert.

Cassandra.

Nick's avatar

The impending attack on Iran has nothing to do with logic or smarts.

The impending attack on Iran is the last opportunity to utilize the American military to advance the cause of greater Israel and if possible as a nice bonus- derail BRICS.

The impending attack on Iran seems likely to be a disaster for America, Israel & Iran. But Iran will survive. Doubtful the Israeli terrorist state will. And certainly the American global empire will be ended.

Understand this- IF America does NOT attack Iran, America faces the worst financial market & economic collapse in history.

If going down anyway, why not in a blaze of ignominy?

I think this plays into the calculus far more than people think.

This is not a Trump/ American decision. This is a western banking mafia decision. They are truly on the cusp of losing it all.

Time to go all in.

I for one am praying Trump does not find a way to taco.

Long past time the banking mafia was destroyed.

Marledonna's avatar

I once mentioned the over representation of Jewish people (30% of the politicians in congress while only 2.4% of population)

on DD Geopolitics channel and got banned immediately. I didn’t even mention whether that is a good or a bad thing.

Similar observations have also been made in the past. An over representation and iit often didn’t end well. Can you blaim the Jewish people for being smart? Can you blame the population for being ‘stupid’?

Jack Sprat's avatar

Israel's real job is to expand, balkanize West Asia, enslave it (more than it already is), as a gift to Lord Rothschild and his bankster Jew Crew to help them go on to properly enslave the world. Iran's job is to prevent that from happening. Russia and China know this, they are targets too, so they help Iran. But we have to play let's pretend there's peace talks to help the conflict stay st the attrition level, nobody wants a nuclear wasteland where productive slaves used to be. America and the collective West? They've always been slavers, so they don't mind being the nobles under the leadership of a Jewish king, they understand the power game. Iran/Israel is just one facet of a multifaceted game, and in the end only one will win. Russia and China, who are themselves under the threat of global fascism, will help see to it that Iran wins, via attrition of course. The world's hoi polloi are slowly moving away from the might makes right paradigm towards the might protects the right paradigm. Let the real games continue, the Kabuki theatre distractions of the Geneva type are irrelevant.

Barry Brenesal's avatar

See, I call the first place in your taxonomy, "Ignorance," and it can be remedied by knowledge. But the second place in my codification is "Stupidity," because it is, by definition, willful, and can't be remedied by exposure to knowledge. But this is the kind of division between us that could easily lead (in a few hundred years) to Guelphs and Ghibellines, or 95 theses nailed to a church door; so let's just agree that they're all remarkably stupid.

As you are owned by a pair of cats, you can't be stupid, quod erat demonstrandum. But the US government...? Often hopeless, and between Dubya, Obama, Biden and the Donald, hopelessly stupid, in many different ways. It's worth thinking of those, while Trump considers the importance of bombing a notoriously pacific nation in the ground to prevent it from annoying a nation of rabid, well-armed weasels.

Marvin Gardens2's avatar

Lincoln was our 1st psychopathic president.

Grant, the 2nd

Barry Brenesal's avatar

You don't think Jackson was psychopathic...?