Russia has no choice but to take control over all of Ukraine.
This "deal/agreement" will be moot, along with all other claims any western country, corporation, group or person may have in soon to be former Ukraine.
If only because the neocons will try again and again in whatever rump will be left, no matter how nasty and/or foolhardy it would be, rather than admitting their failure.
(Wonder who's the next useful idiot to be thrown against Russia in order to save some Beltway paychecks. The Baltic statelets are worthless, Moldava even more so and all is not well in Romania for the West, so maybe... Poland?)
The histories of Russia and China are fascinating and long. The more I learn, the more I realize I don't know and find out how I've been lied to for so long.
While it is tempting to deconstruct the agreement between the U.S. and Ukraine, it will never come to fruition This was a dead letter the minute it was signed. Trump just wanted to show that he made a deal before the collapse of the country and call it a win when it was a joke just like the whole peace mediation process he presided over.
People need to turn their attention to May 9 in Moscow. If a Ukrainian terrorist takes place, Russia will take off the gloves.
Great news Julian... We all have been waiting patiently.
I'd like to mention my sensing about the map you posted above today: 'Putin's possible axes of invasion'.
1. 'invasion' is a weaponised word used by the Monster. I would use 'offensive' which is without that weaponised meaning. Don't laugh, the weapons of the Monster are words and meanings and they work without the victims noticing it. When words create in my sensing lesser or even stronger feelings of nausea and even disgust i call that 'Evil', signs of the work of the Monster.
2. What the map shows is more or less: priority: get to Kiev asap, meanwhile creating the northern buffer zone along the Border.
I have sensed some months ago (time what is time ?) existing intentions from the Monster to prioritise the black sea coast in case they are losing more and more ground in East Ukraine.
France, Britain would send their troops via Romania (that has recently been taken over by Brussels to accommodate it for that purpose) and by train through Moldova (tolerated because out of sight) to Odessa, which would be the supply-line too, if supply from Lviv or Kiev to Odessa is blocked by the Russians. And air cover would be given from the newly built base in Romania, close to Odessa.
Recently there were signs that the Brits, and later even the French, who had hopes for a 'ceasefire' to be used for that 'invasion', now understand there will NOT be a Ceasefire. And the news said they gave up on sending troops.
If Putin is believing these signs, which i sense he does not and i don't myself, that would mean, that he could now safely send the army in the Kherson and Zaporizhia fronts (200.000) that he positioned there to break through to Kherson and along Nikolaev to Transnistria, blocking the Moldova-supply line, now to turn around and go help surround Kiev ASAP.
My sensing, and i assume Putin's sensing, is that if he does that and Kiev is surrounded, the NATO tentacle of the Monster will help the Kiev NAZI Regime and Zelensky to flee to Odessa and the Brits and French will still send their military through Romania and Moldova to Odessa, because that is much more important than Kiev. And as long there is a remnant of the Nazi-Regime, it juridically could claim rights on minerals in the Russian liberated area's and such.
Except when Poland would invade Ukraine (Kiev) or Russia (Kaliningrad), but because of the now open info of the DPRK troops that seem to be ready inside the area along Russian's borders (not outside), i sense Poland will wait until Putin will offer them Galicia for free when they behave.
So, supported by recent info about signs along the frontlines and the Dnieper south of Zaporizhia, i still sense 67.5% probability, that during the creation of the Northern buffer zone and the finishing of the liberation of south Donetsk (Donbass), Putin will order his main assault as i sensed earlier, to block Odessa from being invaded by NATO troops, probably supported with blocking the Romanian harbours along the Danube delta from receiving NATO weapons, Supplies or troops. And maybe even a Naval/Airdrop invasion south of Odessa to connect to the Transnistria troops after they connected with the main assault from the east.
Just wanted to point out that the map in question reflects the usual age-old Western obsession with "big arrow movements" (can't remember who created this brilliant description) and cities as "victory points", which reflects classic tabletop wargames used to train officers since at least the Napoleonic era.
Being an avid gamer myself, one thing most wargame systems have in common is one scores points, therefore victory, by owning victory points which are laid out on the map, biggest and fattest usually being the enemy capital, in a set number of turns. Note how personnel and equipment losses are not factored in.
This translates neatly into the "western" way of war: quick offensives aimed directly at major urban centres, usually followed by declaring "mission accomplished" and decades long guerrilla.
The Russian SMO instead went for the opposite strategy: slow and steady, grinding down any and all possible armed opposition. Its objective is _disarming_ Ukraine, not conquer it. By western wargame standards, it would be a total failure as it didn't occupy Kiev in a few weeks. That there's quite a huge chunk of the cognitive dissonance we're seeing from most Western "elites".
You are quite right. I put in the photo partly to stir up discussion. This photo reflects the Big Arrow strategy which Scott Ritter was advocating a long while ago and which I criticized . If you look at the map you see a very LONG big arrow, an exposed supply line and vulnerable on the flanks . You need a big army for this and complete control of the air, not to mention really, really good ISR. All possible but a what cost? The current slo-mo war of attrition is better even if it takes time, That is why I calculate major gains over the next year and a couple more years to consolidate,
Russia has no choice but to take control over all of Ukraine.
This "deal/agreement" will be moot, along with all other claims any western country, corporation, group or person may have in soon to be former Ukraine.
If only because the neocons will try again and again in whatever rump will be left, no matter how nasty and/or foolhardy it would be, rather than admitting their failure.
(Wonder who's the next useful idiot to be thrown against Russia in order to save some Beltway paychecks. The Baltic statelets are worthless, Moldava even more so and all is not well in Romania for the West, so maybe... Poland?)
The histories of Russia and China are fascinating and long. The more I learn, the more I realize I don't know and find out how I've been lied to for so long.
Yes, my new special article is all about that.
The USSA is as crooked as a snake.
While it is tempting to deconstruct the agreement between the U.S. and Ukraine, it will never come to fruition This was a dead letter the minute it was signed. Trump just wanted to show that he made a deal before the collapse of the country and call it a win when it was a joke just like the whole peace mediation process he presided over.
People need to turn their attention to May 9 in Moscow. If a Ukrainian terrorist takes place, Russia will take off the gloves.
Great news Julian... We all have been waiting patiently.
I'd like to mention my sensing about the map you posted above today: 'Putin's possible axes of invasion'.
1. 'invasion' is a weaponised word used by the Monster. I would use 'offensive' which is without that weaponised meaning. Don't laugh, the weapons of the Monster are words and meanings and they work without the victims noticing it. When words create in my sensing lesser or even stronger feelings of nausea and even disgust i call that 'Evil', signs of the work of the Monster.
2. What the map shows is more or less: priority: get to Kiev asap, meanwhile creating the northern buffer zone along the Border.
I have sensed some months ago (time what is time ?) existing intentions from the Monster to prioritise the black sea coast in case they are losing more and more ground in East Ukraine.
France, Britain would send their troops via Romania (that has recently been taken over by Brussels to accommodate it for that purpose) and by train through Moldova (tolerated because out of sight) to Odessa, which would be the supply-line too, if supply from Lviv or Kiev to Odessa is blocked by the Russians. And air cover would be given from the newly built base in Romania, close to Odessa.
Recently there were signs that the Brits, and later even the French, who had hopes for a 'ceasefire' to be used for that 'invasion', now understand there will NOT be a Ceasefire. And the news said they gave up on sending troops.
If Putin is believing these signs, which i sense he does not and i don't myself, that would mean, that he could now safely send the army in the Kherson and Zaporizhia fronts (200.000) that he positioned there to break through to Kherson and along Nikolaev to Transnistria, blocking the Moldova-supply line, now to turn around and go help surround Kiev ASAP.
My sensing, and i assume Putin's sensing, is that if he does that and Kiev is surrounded, the NATO tentacle of the Monster will help the Kiev NAZI Regime and Zelensky to flee to Odessa and the Brits and French will still send their military through Romania and Moldova to Odessa, because that is much more important than Kiev. And as long there is a remnant of the Nazi-Regime, it juridically could claim rights on minerals in the Russian liberated area's and such.
Except when Poland would invade Ukraine (Kiev) or Russia (Kaliningrad), but because of the now open info of the DPRK troops that seem to be ready inside the area along Russian's borders (not outside), i sense Poland will wait until Putin will offer them Galicia for free when they behave.
So, supported by recent info about signs along the frontlines and the Dnieper south of Zaporizhia, i still sense 67.5% probability, that during the creation of the Northern buffer zone and the finishing of the liberation of south Donetsk (Donbass), Putin will order his main assault as i sensed earlier, to block Odessa from being invaded by NATO troops, probably supported with blocking the Romanian harbours along the Danube delta from receiving NATO weapons, Supplies or troops. And maybe even a Naval/Airdrop invasion south of Odessa to connect to the Transnistria troops after they connected with the main assault from the east.
Just my cent.
Cassandra
Just wanted to point out that the map in question reflects the usual age-old Western obsession with "big arrow movements" (can't remember who created this brilliant description) and cities as "victory points", which reflects classic tabletop wargames used to train officers since at least the Napoleonic era.
Being an avid gamer myself, one thing most wargame systems have in common is one scores points, therefore victory, by owning victory points which are laid out on the map, biggest and fattest usually being the enemy capital, in a set number of turns. Note how personnel and equipment losses are not factored in.
This translates neatly into the "western" way of war: quick offensives aimed directly at major urban centres, usually followed by declaring "mission accomplished" and decades long guerrilla.
The Russian SMO instead went for the opposite strategy: slow and steady, grinding down any and all possible armed opposition. Its objective is _disarming_ Ukraine, not conquer it. By western wargame standards, it would be a total failure as it didn't occupy Kiev in a few weeks. That there's quite a huge chunk of the cognitive dissonance we're seeing from most Western "elites".
You are quite right. I put in the photo partly to stir up discussion. This photo reflects the Big Arrow strategy which Scott Ritter was advocating a long while ago and which I criticized . If you look at the map you see a very LONG big arrow, an exposed supply line and vulnerable on the flanks . You need a big army for this and complete control of the air, not to mention really, really good ISR. All possible but a what cost? The current slo-mo war of attrition is better even if it takes time, That is why I calculate major gains over the next year and a couple more years to consolidate,
Thank you eh.. Doctor !
I completely agree with your points.
I only reacted on the 'Phase 1 and Phase 2' indication.
And of course i wait for the real actions that will create at least some paragraphs more in the history books.
Cassandra
PS i did play board games in the 70's about WW2 trying to find ways to win faster, or lose later, depending on what side you played.
- Third Reich (strategic), Midway, North Africa Campaign, Panzer Blitz and Panzer Leader (tactical).
Cassandra
DaGame is over - .....and Russia is going to simply decide the fate of Europe without any input from the USA or anyone else. -
https://voxday.net/2025/05/01/russia-ready-for-nato/