'Although the Americans are likely using “shoot and scoot” tactics, for both systems, they are both big and ugly, mobile but not all that fast, and stand out in the desert. Iran can track and destroy them, although with difficulty'.
Or they could send in the grand old F-14s to bomb and rocket them.
That would be absolutely hilarious. Bonus points if the members of Iranian squadron call themselves Maverick and Iceman and blast "Danger Zone" from speakers while bombing them.
In view of his age, I was wondering if the Iranians could tempt Mav to come and train their pilots. But evidently they don't need any further training. And he would be lost and desperate in a Muslim country where beer is not available.
Excellent post, Julian – thank you for breaking down systems current and planned in the way you did, very helpful indeed (looking only at one piece, misses too much, we need to be thinking about systems, the dynamic of competitive innovation and especially the networks of financing and control and the way all of these scale (the last, by far the hardest to clearly imagine, because the scale of efforts and malicious intent are both well past insane).
Also – totally with you on orange cats – my all time favourite puffball (from my childhood) was such a beast – you might get a laugh from a piece I did a few years ago about a Calvito (a prince among orange cats, if ever there was one). Not only a neighbourhood celebrity, he even ran for office. I’ll link it at the bottom.
Which reminds me – this will make you laugh (and I bet predates you) we used to have the Rhinocerous party in Canada, the party leader was an actual rhinocerous in the Toronto zoo, the logo was a lovely old print from (I think) Gustave Dore, and I can’t tell you how elated I was when they conclusively beat the conservatives in my riding, back in the seventies (for second).
Absurdist – screw them all – options are absolutely necessary (count Binface is certainly having a moment, along the exact same lines).
But the Rhinos absolute funniest move of all? In one Montreal Mayoralty race their candidate was Jean Drapeau’s moustache! – not the man himself (dead, in any case) just his moustache!
The high-expense barrier now facing candidates running for federal office was specifically enacted to destroy the Rhinocerous party’s ability to keep Canadian politics sane – by allowing citizens to express that they thought it was insane. Politics just hasn’t been the same since.
Anyhow – thought that might tickle you (silly history from ‘the old country’ and all) ;o)
Cheers Julian – keep it up, you are doing superb work!
Thanks for this! I look forward to the day when the Rhino Party takes over Parliament from the Roach parties. As for orange cats, Chappy is True Orange. Follows me around, demands attention (has developed a "shake a paw" routine and dislikes me writing at night time when he wants to play. He also looks after Ichi really well, with a lot of grooming and invitations to play.
I didn't go into meaconing and spoofing although Russian EW, which has been supplied to Iran is very good at both. Maybe I should explain how they work.
I find it hilarious as well as astonishing how the USA keeps exposing all its new weapon systems to potential or actual enemies, so that they can get used to dealing with those systems.
Hmm, I don't know, that "AI kill web" smells like a mountain range of horseshit to me. Announced exactly when AI companies need an excuse to encroach in the military-political apparatus, making themselves "indispensable" and securing trillions of dollars in federal funding and bailouts, something they desperately need as OpenAI alone loses about 2 and a half dollars for each dollar it's making, and has obligations for over a trillion dollar infrastructure investments it does not have and cannot make. A bogus supermassive, all-pervasive "AI kill web" is exactly what they needed. It's the manna from heaven raining down on Altman and especially his stockholders, not incidentally most of them high ranking military officers or US senators.
History repeats itself, after all: in the '80s we've witnessed the SDI scam, now we're seeing its newest iteration being paraded on stage by the same snake oil salesmen. What it actually looks like, is a plot straight out of some ol' spaghetti western movie: a railway baron, his buddy the corrupt Army colonel and a number of con artists from the East coast attempt to scam pioneers out of their homes and savings.
Iran has many targets to choose from, expensive USA facilities around the gulf region.
'Although the Americans are likely using “shoot and scoot” tactics, for both systems, they are both big and ugly, mobile but not all that fast, and stand out in the desert. Iran can track and destroy them, although with difficulty'.
Or they could send in the grand old F-14s to bomb and rocket them.
That would be absolutely hilarious. Bonus points if the members of Iranian squadron call themselves Maverick and Iceman and blast "Danger Zone" from speakers while bombing them.
In view of his age, I was wondering if the Iranians could tempt Mav to come and train their pilots. But evidently they don't need any further training. And he would be lost and desperate in a Muslim country where beer is not available.
Ted Postol on Glen Diesen today; Watch!
Patriotic missiles sold by the USA!
thanks.
Thank You again... New Technology... I like that.
Cassandra
Excellent post, Julian – thank you for breaking down systems current and planned in the way you did, very helpful indeed (looking only at one piece, misses too much, we need to be thinking about systems, the dynamic of competitive innovation and especially the networks of financing and control and the way all of these scale (the last, by far the hardest to clearly imagine, because the scale of efforts and malicious intent are both well past insane).
Also – totally with you on orange cats – my all time favourite puffball (from my childhood) was such a beast – you might get a laugh from a piece I did a few years ago about a Calvito (a prince among orange cats, if ever there was one). Not only a neighbourhood celebrity, he even ran for office. I’ll link it at the bottom.
Which reminds me – this will make you laugh (and I bet predates you) we used to have the Rhinocerous party in Canada, the party leader was an actual rhinocerous in the Toronto zoo, the logo was a lovely old print from (I think) Gustave Dore, and I can’t tell you how elated I was when they conclusively beat the conservatives in my riding, back in the seventies (for second).
Absurdist – screw them all – options are absolutely necessary (count Binface is certainly having a moment, along the exact same lines).
But the Rhinos absolute funniest move of all? In one Montreal Mayoralty race their candidate was Jean Drapeau’s moustache! – not the man himself (dead, in any case) just his moustache!
The high-expense barrier now facing candidates running for federal office was specifically enacted to destroy the Rhinocerous party’s ability to keep Canadian politics sane – by allowing citizens to express that they thought it was insane. Politics just hasn’t been the same since.
Anyhow – thought that might tickle you (silly history from ‘the old country’ and all) ;o)
Cheers Julian – keep it up, you are doing superb work!
Here’s the thing about orange cats.
https://paulsnyders.substack.com/p/great-great-great-great-great-great-grand-moe
Thanks for this! I look forward to the day when the Rhino Party takes over Parliament from the Roach parties. As for orange cats, Chappy is True Orange. Follows me around, demands attention (has developed a "shake a paw" routine and dislikes me writing at night time when he wants to play. He also looks after Ichi really well, with a lot of grooming and invitations to play.
“Both American systems rely on GPS. Iranian EW will jam it….”
Meaconing or spoofing would be more likely to be used, but it’s a fine distinction outside professional circles.
I didn't go into meaconing and spoofing although Russian EW, which has been supplied to Iran is very good at both. Maybe I should explain how they work.
That's amusing, "Good Riddance" was my first thought, which is possibly terrible but far kinder than many responses I've seen.
I find it hilarious as well as astonishing how the USA keeps exposing all its new weapon systems to potential or actual enemies, so that they can get used to dealing with those systems.
"The US has never been invaded".
Except by the British in the War of 1812 - which, however, the USA provoked and declared.
Good point.
Hmm, I don't know, that "AI kill web" smells like a mountain range of horseshit to me. Announced exactly when AI companies need an excuse to encroach in the military-political apparatus, making themselves "indispensable" and securing trillions of dollars in federal funding and bailouts, something they desperately need as OpenAI alone loses about 2 and a half dollars for each dollar it's making, and has obligations for over a trillion dollar infrastructure investments it does not have and cannot make. A bogus supermassive, all-pervasive "AI kill web" is exactly what they needed. It's the manna from heaven raining down on Altman and especially his stockholders, not incidentally most of them high ranking military officers or US senators.
History repeats itself, after all: in the '80s we've witnessed the SDI scam, now we're seeing its newest iteration being paraded on stage by the same snake oil salesmen. What it actually looks like, is a plot straight out of some ol' spaghetti western movie: a railway baron, his buddy the corrupt Army colonel and a number of con artists from the East coast attempt to scam pioneers out of their homes and savings.
So we now wait for SKYNET to go live. Happy Days.