Great article again Julian, I made a comment today on the duran video with Alexander, John Messianhier & Glenn Diesen. Again a good discussion with 3 intelligent men. But my comment pointed out, that their discussion about Trumps actions toward Russia missed out the Elephant in the room once again. I still can't get my head around how they feel the be all & end all of the conflict will be down to Trumps decisions. Hardly mentioning the Russian point of view or what they will be wanting. After all every single rational person who takes a big interest & keeps up to speed to what is going on. Would know the Russians would absolutely stupid to accept anything Trump or the Americans put to them. Unless it was set in stone that everyone of Russia's terms were agreed & acted upon. Russia has been lied to cheated & deceived far too many times. Mainly by the Americans, but the EU & UK vassels have easily acted as bad as the Americans. These mouth pieces are willing to destroy their own countries futures. Rather than accept a Russian victory & a peace on Russia's terms. Just look at the Globalist traitor Starmer playing his part. The most recent extremist anti Russian worthless agreement with an illegitimate Ukrainian dictator Clown prince Zelensky. It's plain ridiculous, Russia will carry on decimating Ukraines military at its pace. While the UK & EU decimate their own economies. Russia isn't going to throw these weapons about just because they can. If they're needed for a specific target then they will use them. Russia had proved for 3 solid years it isn't going to indiscrimately fire missiles everywhere. Every target had been calculated & chosen for effect. It's frustrating hearing intelligent people ignoring what is obvious to me. I'm positive Alexander still believes America is an untouchable military power that has an unblemished record in military conflicts. When the facts are they've got a terrible military record, in fact it's nearly as bad as its record of keeping it's deals.
Again you wrote an excellent assessment with superb points. Putin's rats parable describe Miss Lindsey Graham and little Marco Rubio and their ilk to a T! It also describes EU "leaders".
Regarding the range of Oreshnik, the courtyard of the Pentagon could be struck by Avangard penetrator.
Nice, eh? No fallout either unless something is stored there.
I see hypersonics like Oreshnik and kin, Sarmat) Avangard, Kinzahls and kin aand Supersonic Maneuverable Anti-ship Cruise Missiles (whew) as a new era that has rendered Nuclear Weapons and Bunkers OBSOLETE! Damn that's a long sentence! ๐คฃ
Here's the best part. The oligarchs, warmongers and war profiteers will have nowhere to hide.
I wrote a comment about that on Smoothiex12.com Andrei Martyanov's site. To summarize, America is afflicted with fatal overconfidence. It's the kind of overconfidence common among supremacists.
I think Alexander Mercouris means well but in my opinion he is too invested in getting approval of the Anglo-Saxon world to whom most of his analysis is geared. He is not alone in this. Even "RT "is guilty of trying to appease the West with often dubious headlines and articles which makes one wonder whether they are truly aware that Russia is in an existential conflict with its adversaries. BTW the destruction of the Soviet Union was facilitated by Gorbachev and his clique making strategic concessions that were aimed at placating the West but which undermined the foundations of Soviet power and unity. "Just saying" to quote Alexander himself.
I agree with you. Mercouris is a very smart man. Maybe too smart. Certainly smarter than me. But his intelligence allows him what I call โrationalization roomโ โ extra space for contradicting reality, I am old and not so smart. I donโt have energy for that kind of accomodation.
Thanks Julian. We seem to be on the same wavelength.
USA does not seem to know it is dying - imploding AND way behind China/Russia/Iran with regard to weapons systems.
This new treaty with Iran will hopefully stop US belligerence.
US has this OLD MENTALITY: Sanction countries in the hope of starving the people who will 'rise up' and depose the Rulers. What a nasty way of doing business.
US is incapable of Diplomacy!
NOT happened: Instead countries are doing the reverse. They are building up their own countries with help from the Asian Pacific region.
NOT many countries want to deal with western lies.
As it is: You know I live in France (Europe) and because of the EU and endless propaganda about Russia we are going down.down ..down. It's going to take some time for Europe to realise that the US is not our friend and never has been.
In fact, I believe human mortality paired with sentience means we need the human superpower of denial to cope. When you are in decline on the second half of the life cycle, denial is all you got.
Time and Time again its been proven this tactic (sanction starve a country force its citizens to rise against it) has never worked which is why we eventually resolve to aerial bombing campaigns and invasion ala Iraq, Libya, etc
Iranians are a very proud and intelligent people. Theyve done quite a lot with 4 decades of sanctions on their heads. They wont fold easily. The young ones who resent the government still love their country and will die fightimg any encroachment
We have war gamed this scenario in 2000 and it didnt work out in our favor.
I generally like Trump but his obsession with Iran to please his zionist masters will turn his supporters against him quicker than operation warp speed. You cant MAGA while in a war with Iran
But i do have problems with the easy use of concepts like: "USA or US", Reality shows me in my sensing, that those concepts are empty.
In Geopolitics the real Powers are not Nations nor Alliances. Those are ruled by the real powers and their Elites, often in Lobby Networks, think tanks, Tax-free Foundations, NGO's and Action groups, spread around, backed with money and Media. Those work Globally.
They lie deep, mostly hidden in what other concepts try to name "Deep States", without a precise definition, because as i sense there are deeper constructs and older powers that influence those 'Deep States'.
The only, mostly temporally, OTHER powers are when the popular vote or Revolutions escapes the borders set by the deep states, like currently in the US and maybe in Romania as in some small eastern European countries.
You are absolutely correct in my view. A โnationโ is not a singular thing โ it is a collectivityโand not necessarily confined to national boundaries.
Your mention of the cornered rabid rat is so perfect. Russia is doing exactly as you describe. Russia is plugging away slowly, methodically and relentlessly. They're doing it in the best way to minimize losses of their own as they maximize losses on the Ukro-Nazis. They're draining NATO's reserves and coffers. They're defeating NATO as they defeat Ukronazistan.
Very well written piece. However, anyone who has been following Russian weapons development would already be aware of this material.
I keep wondering who will take over America first, the Russians or Chinese. I m betting on the Chinese since they are more economically inclined in the sense they have the capabilities to purchase large swathes of industry while co-opting the rest.
From the YouTube videos I have been seeing, RedNote (TikTok's replacement due to the US ban) seems to be doing standup job convincing America's young that it is clearly time for a change...
Russia & China don't want to take over America no body does. Why do people in the West have this opinion that foreign countries behave the same way as them? Nobody is interested in this, they'd simply want to trade & not be threatened by the psychopaths there. Is that such a bad thing?
Well, you are correct bout not wanting to be bothered by the sociopaths who call themselves our political leadership.
However, the problem is that if we don't eliminate them one way or the other, they will continue to plague the world, no matter what we or the rest of the planet want.
Sociopaths are indoctrinated to adhere to a script in their lives. This is why the Ukraine and Zionist leadership refuse to yield even when realities are staring them in the face.
This is simply not an issue that we in the United States or China, Russia, and Iran, along with the rest of the world can simply ignore.
Thus, the Russians will bomb them out or China will simply buy them out... and turn them into paupers...
Why would China take over America? No one took over abundantly indebted Greece except the Wall Street Jewish debt wranglers who walked away once full, which would suit China just fine. I think most Americans who remain after the clash and fall would prefer to live like modern Greeks, peacefully and somewhat impoverished and reliant on a flaccid State and enjoying tourism dollars while sitting in outdoor cafes sipping wines and liquors from dawn to dusk.
Besides, if anyone wants to continue using TikTok, all they have to do is install a good VPN on their device and that should get around any location ban against it.
I always thought that such a ban demonstrated how truly stupid our US political leadership really is...
When tiktok allowed *uncensored* pictures and videos of the destruction of Gaza and murder of her people; as well as alternate views against the narrative put out about Ukraine by the Western media; it became a bridge too far for the elites.
Thats largely why its being banned.
On the flip side; like you said; this will
1) drive a lot of sales and traffic to VPNs which am expecting to soon become a household name for the 20 and under. Hell, my 11 year old knows what a VPN is now
2) open the yes of people who truly think we are "free". You cant have freedom if you control what people can read, see or hear
These non-nuclear niche weapons are absolutely necessary for the survival of Russia, and in readying for the near imminent eventually hot war with China. Sino-Russia, rather. NATO Doctrine is this: If Russia falls, China falls; If China falls, Russia falls.
It serves NATO best to attempt to draw each threatening element out one at a time in a tightly controlled limited fashion. This is where America (and NATO doctrines generally) dominate. With China as the end goal in mind, nearly every step in conflict today is centered around or hinges on U.S. (and Israeli, apparently) plans to counter Belt & Road. Belt and road has the potential to give greater access to fossil fuels for developing nations (like insincerely agreed to in the COPs), redistributing some 65 trillion in global trade, and creating an astonishing new $5T-7T in new GDP...but with benefits to developing nations more. The down side is massive potential economic impact for the U.S. The likes of which may have never been seen. This is seen as an existential threat to America thus the blatently evil appearing behavior. Israel needs a greater Israel to forward their Ameri-Israel version. The benefits for both nations should they succeed are tremendous; but at the same old (cost to the developing world).
The US could not win a hot war with Russia or China even separately, despite all the propaganda about advanced US technology. I have worked in the Japanese defense sector. Yes, the F35 has cool bells and whistles. But you do not shoot down your enemy with either a bell or a whistle, especially when you canโt get off the ground half the time. Waste of money. Ditto Aegis. AIM120D.
In response to some questions in notes re: Why putting TOS type warheads on hypersonic delivery vehicles is "questionable"?
----------
The thermobaric effect as produced by TOS and similar devices must disperse the fuel into a large volume of air and then drive the fuel/air mixture into a true detonation just when it is at the optimum mixture. The high speed and atmospheric friction heating encountered by hypersonic delivery vehicles would pre ignite any such fuels immediately on release, resulting in a longer period of deflagration rather than dispersal and then a true detonation. Same amount of chemical energy might be released in the longer duration and fuel rich burn but the shock wave generated all at once over a large area around the cloud of optimized (lean!) explosive mixture overdriven into a true detonation which is the desired effect would be far less or non existent.
In the 1920s - 1930s the US Bureau of Mines did a large series of what were called โgallery testsโ, working out what happens during mine explosions from methane gas buildups in mines. The general results were that it takes a large booster charge fired in a lean mixture to produce the highest speed of propagation in a fuel/air cloud, which gives the most destructive effects.
If you have ever played with carburator settings on a 4 cycle engine, you are probably aware that going TOO lean is damaging to an engine, causing sharp detonations on ignition (โknockingโ) rather than the desired longer, slower push on piston from a richer fuel mix deflagration?
Thermobaric effects in open air require careful engineering and precise ignition timing for greatest destructive power, I have played with this a bit. There is another option, using a fuel mixture which will happily detonate on its own WITHOUT an overdriven booster at center of cloud as soon as it disperses enough to have mixed with the required quantity of oxygen- The fuels which will work with that technique are NASTY, any leak in storage/transport can be disastrous. They also would tend to decompose from fairly low temperatures compared to what a hypersonic delivery vehicle might allow them to experience before reaching a near surface target.
----------
I AM kicking around a few ideas about substances which are not normally considered to be fuels but which might be capable of the second type (no HE initiation required) fuel/air cloud detonation under the very energetic conditions provided by dispersal at hypersonic speeds. I am certain that the relavent design bureaus are way ahead of me in such thought experiments-
Fun stuff, no, Russia being attacked by the USA and Israel and UK and Germany and other fucking NATO actors. Imagine that. And Donbas, since 2014? Nah, Putin ain't some smarty, for sure, and it's satellites, dude, and hacking and cloud servers and so many other AI-AGI and digital tools of the Empire and 14 Eyes.
Russia doesn't even have the Chinese supporting Russia directly. It's Russia by itself, and that looks fucked up. Think of years of incursions into Russia, while the U$A of Israel enjoys ZERO incursions or bombs bursting in air.
It's embarassing how the tail between the legs Putin displays. Kicked out of here and there. Hundred thousand dead Russians, hundreds of thousands wounded, both physically and mentally.
Rapist Trump and Company have eyes on the art of the steal, and Putin is not some master of BRICS countries. India ain't toeing the line, nor is Iran, or . . . .
A country disguised as a gas station and military hardware joint?
Fun stuff talking about attacks with almost no care about US, fucker, citizens of the fucking globe caught in these cocksuckers' military-financial-retail-medical-mining-AI-big ag madness.
I can't see thermobaric effects being viable from a hypersonic delivery vehicle, certainly not with the classes of fuel chemicals and dispersion/detonation techniques presently us d for conventional/rocket artillery and aircraft delivered munitions.
Unless a thermobaric payload were built on some class of fuels I'm not aware of or able to deduce has the possibility for such use, I can't see how it would be an optimum choice (or even an achievable effect).
Fuels now used are primarily hydrocarbons and/or relatively low density metals, all have either too low a maximum temperature of stability, too low density for chemical energy yielded to be a net energy gain or both.
I'll keep thinking about it. Long chain, high energy density borane fuels ("zip fuels") as proposed for hypersonic ramjets? Maybe silanes?
From what I gathered from the Mercouris program, the Oreshnik was to strike first and penetrate/pulverize. The new TOS-like but longer range weapon was to strike immediately afterward as a thermobaric weapon immolating the surface. Why two strikes? Not sure. He thought the second was primarily anti-personnel. But what would survive the first strike anyway? It is curious.
Excellent analysis all around.
Regardless of bias too many are frustrated with the pace, whereas Iโve always argued thatโs both intentional and vastly beneficial.
Slow and steady wins the race.
Great article again Julian, I made a comment today on the duran video with Alexander, John Messianhier & Glenn Diesen. Again a good discussion with 3 intelligent men. But my comment pointed out, that their discussion about Trumps actions toward Russia missed out the Elephant in the room once again. I still can't get my head around how they feel the be all & end all of the conflict will be down to Trumps decisions. Hardly mentioning the Russian point of view or what they will be wanting. After all every single rational person who takes a big interest & keeps up to speed to what is going on. Would know the Russians would absolutely stupid to accept anything Trump or the Americans put to them. Unless it was set in stone that everyone of Russia's terms were agreed & acted upon. Russia has been lied to cheated & deceived far too many times. Mainly by the Americans, but the EU & UK vassels have easily acted as bad as the Americans. These mouth pieces are willing to destroy their own countries futures. Rather than accept a Russian victory & a peace on Russia's terms. Just look at the Globalist traitor Starmer playing his part. The most recent extremist anti Russian worthless agreement with an illegitimate Ukrainian dictator Clown prince Zelensky. It's plain ridiculous, Russia will carry on decimating Ukraines military at its pace. While the UK & EU decimate their own economies. Russia isn't going to throw these weapons about just because they can. If they're needed for a specific target then they will use them. Russia had proved for 3 solid years it isn't going to indiscrimately fire missiles everywhere. Every target had been calculated & chosen for effect. It's frustrating hearing intelligent people ignoring what is obvious to me. I'm positive Alexander still believes America is an untouchable military power that has an unblemished record in military conflicts. When the facts are they've got a terrible military record, in fact it's nearly as bad as its record of keeping it's deals.
Elephants leave massive amounts of shit. The Pundit-3 just got clogged up in the shit.
Again you wrote an excellent assessment with superb points. Putin's rats parable describe Miss Lindsey Graham and little Marco Rubio and their ilk to a T! It also describes EU "leaders".
Regarding the range of Oreshnik, the courtyard of the Pentagon could be struck by Avangard penetrator.
The entire Pentagon would be gone in moments โ without a nuclear explosion.
Nice, eh? No fallout either unless something is stored there.
I see hypersonics like Oreshnik and kin, Sarmat) Avangard, Kinzahls and kin aand Supersonic Maneuverable Anti-ship Cruise Missiles (whew) as a new era that has rendered Nuclear Weapons and Bunkers OBSOLETE! Damn that's a long sentence! ๐คฃ
Here's the best part. The oligarchs, warmongers and war profiteers will have nowhere to hide.
Yes. BUT do these unintelligent people KNOW this or are they still thinking USA is John Wayne?
What! America is NOT John Wayne? I am shattered.
I wrote a comment about that on Smoothiex12.com Andrei Martyanov's site. To summarize, America is afflicted with fatal overconfidence. It's the kind of overconfidence common among supremacists.
Correct.
I think Alexander Mercouris means well but in my opinion he is too invested in getting approval of the Anglo-Saxon world to whom most of his analysis is geared. He is not alone in this. Even "RT "is guilty of trying to appease the West with often dubious headlines and articles which makes one wonder whether they are truly aware that Russia is in an existential conflict with its adversaries. BTW the destruction of the Soviet Union was facilitated by Gorbachev and his clique making strategic concessions that were aimed at placating the West but which undermined the foundations of Soviet power and unity. "Just saying" to quote Alexander himself.
I agree with you. Mercouris is a very smart man. Maybe too smart. Certainly smarter than me. But his intelligence allows him what I call โrationalization roomโ โ extra space for contradicting reality, I am old and not so smart. I donโt have energy for that kind of accomodation.
โprobably smarter than meโฆโ
Come on Julian. Certainly not. With all respect to your modesty. ๐ช
Thanks Julian. We seem to be on the same wavelength.
USA does not seem to know it is dying - imploding AND way behind China/Russia/Iran with regard to weapons systems.
This new treaty with Iran will hopefully stop US belligerence.
US has this OLD MENTALITY: Sanction countries in the hope of starving the people who will 'rise up' and depose the Rulers. What a nasty way of doing business.
US is incapable of Diplomacy!
NOT happened: Instead countries are doing the reverse. They are building up their own countries with help from the Asian Pacific region.
NOT many countries want to deal with western lies.
As it is: You know I live in France (Europe) and because of the EU and endless propaganda about Russia we are going down.down ..down. It's going to take some time for Europe to realise that the US is not our friend and never has been.
I think that the EU and NATO are dead..
We are all dying. And we are mostly in denial. Some people get worse as they age. Others improve. The US is not going gracefullyโฆ.
In fact, I believe human mortality paired with sentience means we need the human superpower of denial to cope. When you are in decline on the second half of the life cycle, denial is all you got.
Time and Time again its been proven this tactic (sanction starve a country force its citizens to rise against it) has never worked which is why we eventually resolve to aerial bombing campaigns and invasion ala Iraq, Libya, etc
Iranians are a very proud and intelligent people. Theyve done quite a lot with 4 decades of sanctions on their heads. They wont fold easily. The young ones who resent the government still love their country and will die fightimg any encroachment
We have war gamed this scenario in 2000 and it didnt work out in our favor.
I generally like Trump but his obsession with Iran to please his zionist masters will turn his supporters against him quicker than operation warp speed. You cant MAGA while in a war with Iran
WHO the hell dies just because it is YOUR Country?
This is 'old!'
Since Americans have never been in a position of being attacked and starved by sanctions.........does Trump REALLY have an obsession about Iran.
Where did you see this?
What are you rambling about?
I agree. Especially your last sentence.
But i do have problems with the easy use of concepts like: "USA or US", Reality shows me in my sensing, that those concepts are empty.
In Geopolitics the real Powers are not Nations nor Alliances. Those are ruled by the real powers and their Elites, often in Lobby Networks, think tanks, Tax-free Foundations, NGO's and Action groups, spread around, backed with money and Media. Those work Globally.
They lie deep, mostly hidden in what other concepts try to name "Deep States", without a precise definition, because as i sense there are deeper constructs and older powers that influence those 'Deep States'.
The only, mostly temporally, OTHER powers are when the popular vote or Revolutions escapes the borders set by the deep states, like currently in the US and maybe in Romania as in some small eastern European countries.
And then ofc there is BRICS & Putin.
Just saying.
Sander
You are absolutely correct in my view. A โnationโ is not a singular thing โ it is a collectivityโand not necessarily confined to national boundaries.
I can't stop.
Your mention of the cornered rabid rat is so perfect. Russia is doing exactly as you describe. Russia is plugging away slowly, methodically and relentlessly. They're doing it in the best way to minimize losses of their own as they maximize losses on the Ukro-Nazis. They're draining NATO's reserves and coffers. They're defeating NATO as they defeat Ukronazistan.
The cornered rat is Putinโs parable. Something from his childhood.
How about a Poseidon up the Chesapeake Bay into the Potomac! Oh my!
Poseidon would leave the entire east coast of the US uninhabitable. Good riddance New York!
Yeah, and another in San Francisco Bay!๐คฃ
Very well written piece. However, anyone who has been following Russian weapons development would already be aware of this material.
I keep wondering who will take over America first, the Russians or Chinese. I m betting on the Chinese since they are more economically inclined in the sense they have the capabilities to purchase large swathes of industry while co-opting the rest.
From the YouTube videos I have been seeing, RedNote (TikTok's replacement due to the US ban) seems to be doing standup job convincing America's young that it is clearly time for a change...
If I were Russian or Chinese, I would avoid Swamps. โAmerikaโ is a swamp.
Russia & China don't want to take over America no body does. Why do people in the West have this opinion that foreign countries behave the same way as them? Nobody is interested in this, they'd simply want to trade & not be threatened by the psychopaths there. Is that such a bad thing?
Well, you are correct bout not wanting to be bothered by the sociopaths who call themselves our political leadership.
However, the problem is that if we don't eliminate them one way or the other, they will continue to plague the world, no matter what we or the rest of the planet want.
Sociopaths are indoctrinated to adhere to a script in their lives. This is why the Ukraine and Zionist leadership refuse to yield even when realities are staring them in the face.
This is simply not an issue that we in the United States or China, Russia, and Iran, along with the rest of the world can simply ignore.
Thus, the Russians will bomb them out or China will simply buy them out... and turn them into paupers...
Why would China take over America? No one took over abundantly indebted Greece except the Wall Street Jewish debt wranglers who walked away once full, which would suit China just fine. I think most Americans who remain after the clash and fall would prefer to live like modern Greeks, peacefully and somewhat impoverished and reliant on a flaccid State and enjoying tourism dollars while sitting in outdoor cafes sipping wines and liquors from dawn to dusk.
If only I could move to Greece.
Banning TikTok is misfiring badly. The powers that be are in a bind with RedNote ...
RedNote is happy! The Americans have just given a Chinese web business a boost.
I completely agree...
Besides, if anyone wants to continue using TikTok, all they have to do is install a good VPN on their device and that should get around any location ban against it.
I always thought that such a ban demonstrated how truly stupid our US political leadership really is...
A good point. More and more people are using VPNs.
When tiktok allowed *uncensored* pictures and videos of the destruction of Gaza and murder of her people; as well as alternate views against the narrative put out about Ukraine by the Western media; it became a bridge too far for the elites.
Thats largely why its being banned.
On the flip side; like you said; this will
1) drive a lot of sales and traffic to VPNs which am expecting to soon become a household name for the 20 and under. Hell, my 11 year old knows what a VPN is now
2) open the yes of people who truly think we are "free". You cant have freedom if you control what people can read, see or hear
I'm 76 and have been using VPNs for years ..... as have my kids and their kids ......
Once again, I completely agree with you...
Our political leadership is so bloody stupid that I don't know how they even get up in the morning without assistance...
TikTok China is now being inundated with new sign ups from the west. Teach yourself Mandarin lessons online are now also very popular .....
I am old, I am old, I am old.
Tiktok, tiktok, tiktok
Is all I know.
These non-nuclear niche weapons are absolutely necessary for the survival of Russia, and in readying for the near imminent eventually hot war with China. Sino-Russia, rather. NATO Doctrine is this: If Russia falls, China falls; If China falls, Russia falls.
It serves NATO best to attempt to draw each threatening element out one at a time in a tightly controlled limited fashion. This is where America (and NATO doctrines generally) dominate. With China as the end goal in mind, nearly every step in conflict today is centered around or hinges on U.S. (and Israeli, apparently) plans to counter Belt & Road. Belt and road has the potential to give greater access to fossil fuels for developing nations (like insincerely agreed to in the COPs), redistributing some 65 trillion in global trade, and creating an astonishing new $5T-7T in new GDP...but with benefits to developing nations more. The down side is massive potential economic impact for the U.S. The likes of which may have never been seen. This is seen as an existential threat to America thus the blatently evil appearing behavior. Israel needs a greater Israel to forward their Ameri-Israel version. The benefits for both nations should they succeed are tremendous; but at the same old (cost to the developing world).
The US could not win a hot war with Russia or China even separately, despite all the propaganda about advanced US technology. I have worked in the Japanese defense sector. Yes, the F35 has cool bells and whistles. But you do not shoot down your enemy with either a bell or a whistle, especially when you canโt get off the ground half the time. Waste of money. Ditto Aegis. AIM120D.
In response to some questions in notes re: Why putting TOS type warheads on hypersonic delivery vehicles is "questionable"?
----------
The thermobaric effect as produced by TOS and similar devices must disperse the fuel into a large volume of air and then drive the fuel/air mixture into a true detonation just when it is at the optimum mixture. The high speed and atmospheric friction heating encountered by hypersonic delivery vehicles would pre ignite any such fuels immediately on release, resulting in a longer period of deflagration rather than dispersal and then a true detonation. Same amount of chemical energy might be released in the longer duration and fuel rich burn but the shock wave generated all at once over a large area around the cloud of optimized (lean!) explosive mixture overdriven into a true detonation which is the desired effect would be far less or non existent.
In the 1920s - 1930s the US Bureau of Mines did a large series of what were called โgallery testsโ, working out what happens during mine explosions from methane gas buildups in mines. The general results were that it takes a large booster charge fired in a lean mixture to produce the highest speed of propagation in a fuel/air cloud, which gives the most destructive effects.
If you have ever played with carburator settings on a 4 cycle engine, you are probably aware that going TOO lean is damaging to an engine, causing sharp detonations on ignition (โknockingโ) rather than the desired longer, slower push on piston from a richer fuel mix deflagration?
Thermobaric effects in open air require careful engineering and precise ignition timing for greatest destructive power, I have played with this a bit. There is another option, using a fuel mixture which will happily detonate on its own WITHOUT an overdriven booster at center of cloud as soon as it disperses enough to have mixed with the required quantity of oxygen- The fuels which will work with that technique are NASTY, any leak in storage/transport can be disastrous. They also would tend to decompose from fairly low temperatures compared to what a hypersonic delivery vehicle might allow them to experience before reaching a near surface target.
----------
I AM kicking around a few ideas about substances which are not normally considered to be fuels but which might be capable of the second type (no HE initiation required) fuel/air cloud detonation under the very energetic conditions provided by dispersal at hypersonic speeds. I am certain that the relavent design bureaus are way ahead of me in such thought experiments-
Nothing new here. We all know the outlines of the war now. The only question now is whether US will go nuclear to stop Russia .
Fun stuff, no, Russia being attacked by the USA and Israel and UK and Germany and other fucking NATO actors. Imagine that. And Donbas, since 2014? Nah, Putin ain't some smarty, for sure, and it's satellites, dude, and hacking and cloud servers and so many other AI-AGI and digital tools of the Empire and 14 Eyes.
Russia doesn't even have the Chinese supporting Russia directly. It's Russia by itself, and that looks fucked up. Think of years of incursions into Russia, while the U$A of Israel enjoys ZERO incursions or bombs bursting in air.
It's embarassing how the tail between the legs Putin displays. Kicked out of here and there. Hundred thousand dead Russians, hundreds of thousands wounded, both physically and mentally.
Rapist Trump and Company have eyes on the art of the steal, and Putin is not some master of BRICS countries. India ain't toeing the line, nor is Iran, or . . . .
A country disguised as a gas station and military hardware joint?
Fun stuff talking about attacks with almost no care about US, fucker, citizens of the fucking globe caught in these cocksuckers' military-financial-retail-medical-mining-AI-big ag madness.
https://paulokirk.substack.com/p/deportations-gulags-interments-electronic
I can't see thermobaric effects being viable from a hypersonic delivery vehicle, certainly not with the classes of fuel chemicals and dispersion/detonation techniques presently us d for conventional/rocket artillery and aircraft delivered munitions.
Unless a thermobaric payload were built on some class of fuels I'm not aware of or able to deduce has the possibility for such use, I can't see how it would be an optimum choice (or even an achievable effect).
Fuels now used are primarily hydrocarbons and/or relatively low density metals, all have either too low a maximum temperature of stability, too low density for chemical energy yielded to be a net energy gain or both.
I'll keep thinking about it. Long chain, high energy density borane fuels ("zip fuels") as proposed for hypersonic ramjets? Maybe silanes?
Carbon disulfide?!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zip_fuel#:~:text=Zip%20fuel%2C%20also%20known%20as,was%20eventually%20cancelled%20in%201959.
As you suggest, there are alternatives. It is not an insurmountable problem
Mercouris was talking about a longer range version of the TOS as a follow up strike after an Oreshnik strike.
Really? Did I get it wrong? I took it as suggesting an Oreshnik version that functioned as a long-range super- TOS. I will go back and check.
From what I gathered from the Mercouris program, the Oreshnik was to strike first and penetrate/pulverize. The new TOS-like but longer range weapon was to strike immediately afterward as a thermobaric weapon immolating the surface. Why two strikes? Not sure. He thought the second was primarily anti-personnel. But what would survive the first strike anyway? It is curious.
Or a high speed transport/lower speed delivery system?
@Spercepolnes
Waste of energy, counterproductive. Bad engineering, requires more vehicle for less terminal effects.