What i will add here to your short but true summary/analysis of the Syrian Drama is my pointing at the planning of the fall of Assad, the finalising of a regime-change that started around 2011.
1. Slow Regime Changing is the preferred way of working of the Monster in the City of London, where the shadows lie, and the Evil Lies and Narratives are being brewed. Preferred over the brute force of destroying a country to cause that (Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan). The American Muscles show more and more weakness and fail too often and Trump amplified that trend.
2. The Assad-government fell on the correct time to help the attempt by the Israel-Tentacle (hoping it would get enough support from the American Zionist Tentacle) in the Regime-Change attempt on Iran (a long existing project). As did the recent regime changes in the Caucasus and the India-Pakistani war, to remove Pakistan from choosing side with Iran, as they still did, with some help by China...
3. The distributed power in its tentacles is sometimes causing tentacles to fight each other, like the Turkish/Caucasian one (the CIA / Fethullah Gülen heritage), that created the ISIS-tentacle and the Israeli tentacle that used to work together with each other in the Syrian War.
In a recent interview Alex Krainer explains the working of the ME-Tentacle of the Monster in Syria since 1917 (!) to understand the working of the Monster over time.
I did hear, not so long ago, that according to some analysts there's high chance of a major conflict between Israel and Turkey in the next 5 years. As of now it seems the Israeli plan of using the Druze against the Turkish-backed jihadis has failed (nothing new under the sun: Israel did use Lebanese militia to do the dirty work in 1982).
Yes and not... Israel primary goal is fracturing and splintering the neighbouring middle east as much as possible before the US-led western empire sunset mutes in a ruinous rout and fall follows. Since this is Türkiye and US goal as well, for the time being, Syrian short-time destiny is, in accord with an updated Yinon Plan, to be divided in weak, instable, warring, client statelets for as far as we can currently foresee... Druses, Alawites, Curds and Sunnis are the four major candidates, but only if they can be done small and weak enough no to cause problem to the region present dominators, Israel and Türkiye, otherwise additional splintering will be performed... Gulf states hoping for a safe route to Europe for their gas are the true loser here, at the moment
Problem is, both Turkey and Israel aim to be *the* major power in the Middle East. A Cold War-style partitioning of the neighbouring countries in spheres of influence is indeed possible, but unsustainable in the medium and long term for both, for economic and political reasons (Turkish economy has been shaky for years; Israel's been devastated by its wars. Both Erdogan and Netanyahu invested a lot of political capital respectively in the neo-Ottoman project and Greater Israel). In the short term it'll likely end up like you said, a bit further down the road we will see mutual sabotages, terrorist attacks and proxy conflicts which may very well translate into direct military confrontations, especially if either government gets in trouble at home. They'll probably "play nice" as long as there's a USA capable of reigning them in, but considering that the USA is politically under Israeli control, and that the USA needs Turkish weapons manufacturing (you heard about the famed munitions factory that supposedly had to double the yearly output of artillery shells for the US? Besides its failure to meet expectations, it seems to have been built, equipped and staffed entirely by Turkish workers)... I'd say the losers are the USA, Europe, AND the Gulf states, unless the latter manage to strike a deal with Iran and China.
All you say has truth in it... bottom line: Syria's future is a, more or less hot, civil war with any or all the abovementioned agents meddling and destabilizing the area
Sadly yes, and the same will be for Iraq, Lebanon and Jordan unless someone else (Iran probably, through Hezbollah and its contacts with loyalist ex-Syrian army and Iraqi resistance groups) steps in.
Thank you Julian for bringing this to the light.
What i will add here to your short but true summary/analysis of the Syrian Drama is my pointing at the planning of the fall of Assad, the finalising of a regime-change that started around 2011.
1. Slow Regime Changing is the preferred way of working of the Monster in the City of London, where the shadows lie, and the Evil Lies and Narratives are being brewed. Preferred over the brute force of destroying a country to cause that (Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan). The American Muscles show more and more weakness and fail too often and Trump amplified that trend.
2. The Assad-government fell on the correct time to help the attempt by the Israel-Tentacle (hoping it would get enough support from the American Zionist Tentacle) in the Regime-Change attempt on Iran (a long existing project). As did the recent regime changes in the Caucasus and the India-Pakistani war, to remove Pakistan from choosing side with Iran, as they still did, with some help by China...
3. The distributed power in its tentacles is sometimes causing tentacles to fight each other, like the Turkish/Caucasian one (the CIA / Fethullah Gülen heritage), that created the ISIS-tentacle and the Israeli tentacle that used to work together with each other in the Syrian War.
Gülen->https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fethullah_G%C3%BClen
About Gülen and CIA->https://rojhelat.info/en/2155
In a recent interview Alex Krainer explains the working of the ME-Tentacle of the Monster in Syria since 1917 (!) to understand the working of the Monster over time.
Alex Krainer->https://www.youtube.com/live/XR85PSEWzoY?si=kZWfASuyWbCkfaae&t=149
I show and say all this to try to bring in the total view of the complex Geopolitical picture, in stead of just isolated pieces.
"There are more things in heaven and earth, friend, than are dreamt of in your philosophy. "
Just saying. 😉
Cassandra
I did hear, not so long ago, that according to some analysts there's high chance of a major conflict between Israel and Turkey in the next 5 years. As of now it seems the Israeli plan of using the Druze against the Turkish-backed jihadis has failed (nothing new under the sun: Israel did use Lebanese militia to do the dirty work in 1982).
Yes and not... Israel primary goal is fracturing and splintering the neighbouring middle east as much as possible before the US-led western empire sunset mutes in a ruinous rout and fall follows. Since this is Türkiye and US goal as well, for the time being, Syrian short-time destiny is, in accord with an updated Yinon Plan, to be divided in weak, instable, warring, client statelets for as far as we can currently foresee... Druses, Alawites, Curds and Sunnis are the four major candidates, but only if they can be done small and weak enough no to cause problem to the region present dominators, Israel and Türkiye, otherwise additional splintering will be performed... Gulf states hoping for a safe route to Europe for their gas are the true loser here, at the moment
Problem is, both Turkey and Israel aim to be *the* major power in the Middle East. A Cold War-style partitioning of the neighbouring countries in spheres of influence is indeed possible, but unsustainable in the medium and long term for both, for economic and political reasons (Turkish economy has been shaky for years; Israel's been devastated by its wars. Both Erdogan and Netanyahu invested a lot of political capital respectively in the neo-Ottoman project and Greater Israel). In the short term it'll likely end up like you said, a bit further down the road we will see mutual sabotages, terrorist attacks and proxy conflicts which may very well translate into direct military confrontations, especially if either government gets in trouble at home. They'll probably "play nice" as long as there's a USA capable of reigning them in, but considering that the USA is politically under Israeli control, and that the USA needs Turkish weapons manufacturing (you heard about the famed munitions factory that supposedly had to double the yearly output of artillery shells for the US? Besides its failure to meet expectations, it seems to have been built, equipped and staffed entirely by Turkish workers)... I'd say the losers are the USA, Europe, AND the Gulf states, unless the latter manage to strike a deal with Iran and China.
All you say has truth in it... bottom line: Syria's future is a, more or less hot, civil war with any or all the abovementioned agents meddling and destabilizing the area
Sadly yes, and the same will be for Iraq, Lebanon and Jordan unless someone else (Iran probably, through Hezbollah and its contacts with loyalist ex-Syrian army and Iraqi resistance groups) steps in.
My review/analysis of recent events in Syria: https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/whats-happened-in-syria?r=25fc37